PGI 43L. Due on coast Sep 11 (Is Invest 93L)

#1 Postby **ColinDelia** » Sat Sep 04, 2010 11:40 am

12z GFS.

(graphics removed cuz I hotlinked them and now they are old/gone)

#2 Postby **ColinDelia** » Sat Sep 04, 2010 11:44 am

348 hours. Approaching 50W

#3 Postby **South Texas Storms** » Sat Sep 04, 2010 11:52 am

yeah the gfs is going crazy with developing cape verde wave after wave. it looks like we are going to have a very busy september.

Scorpion · #4 Postby **Scorpion** » Sat Sep 04, 2010 11:55 am

It's definitely not a slam dunk they'll be fish either, of course the GFS is well known for recurving too early.

#5 Postby **ColinDelia** » Sun Sep 05, 2010 5:42 am

6z GFS.

252 hours. Into the drink...

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#6 Postby **gatorcane** » Sun Sep 05, 2010 11:33 pm

Huge trough there. Very fishy if you ask me.

Florida1118 · #7 Postby **Florida1118** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 1:07 am

gatorcane wrote:Huge trough there. Very fishy if you ask me.

Quite fishy. Doesnt seem to hit the Islands either so even better news. Might be Bermudas problem later though.

weatherwindow · #8 Postby **weatherwindow** » Mon Sep 06, 2010 7:44 am

imo, as we will rapidly approach mid-sept...about the only reasonable chance of a storm passing south of the big islands is an honest to goodness low rider...in this environment, -nao etc, it appears that we will need something coming off at 8-10deg N to miss the transient troughiness in the east atlantic...is there any evident of such an animal in the wave train at this moment :?:

....thx in advance for the info....rich

#9 Postby **ColinDelia** » Wed Sep 08, 2010 4:18 am

PGI 42L is reaching coast now. So this must not be PGI42L

0z. GFS not developing this

0z. ECMWF does develop it

#10 Postby **ColinDelia** » Wed Sep 08, 2010 11:30 am

GFS gets pretty far North pretty fast with this one.

#11 Postby **ColinDelia** » Thu Sep 09, 2010 11:38 am

GFS still has this one the coast on the 11th/12th

9/12. 1009 mb. SE of Cape Verde Islands
9/13. 1005 mb. S of CVI
9/14. 1000 mb. SW of CVI
9/15. 993 mb. W of CVI. 32W
9/16. 991 mb. Heading NW

(Another CV storm reaches the water and starts to develop on the 16th)

#12 Postby **ColinDelia** » Fri Sep 10, 2010 3:24 am

Almost to the drink

#13 Postby **ColinDelia** » Fri Sep 10, 2010 3:28 am

CMC, ECMWF, GFS and NOGAPS all develop this one and rather quickly.

dwsqos2 · #14 Postby **dwsqos2** » Fri Sep 10, 2010 12:10 pm

The 12Z gfs is even weaker in the short term thanks probably to that stupid upper trough that draws it northward quickly.

#15 Postby **ColinDelia** » Fri Sep 10, 2010 5:59 pm

Heh. the 18z GFS goes North to 30N before kicking it back SW all the way to 23N.

Aquawind · #16 Postby **Aquawind** » Fri Sep 10, 2010 6:09 pm

That would be an exception in the ridging department this year..

#17 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri Sep 10, 2010 9:24 pm

dwsqos2 · #18 Postby **dwsqos2** » Fri Sep 10, 2010 11:24 pm

To be a fish, a system must actually develop, which is not guaranteed in this case.

#19 Postby **ColinDelia** » Sat Sep 11, 2010 3:53 am

0z GFS really backs off on this one .. and sends it North pretty fast

alan1961 · #20 Postby **alan1961** » Sat Sep 11, 2010 5:18 am

Stepping into the water

PGI 43L. Due on coast Sep 11 (Is Invest 93L)

PGI 43L. Due on coast Sep 11 (Is Invest 93L)

Re: GFS develops yet another wave. due on coast Sep 11

Re: GFS develops yet another wave. due on coast Sep 11

Re: GFS develops yet another wave. due on coast Sep 11

Re:

Re: PGI42L. GFS develops yet another wave. due on coast Sep 11

Re: PGI 43L. Due on coast Sep 11

Re: PGI 43L. Due on coast Sep 11

Re: PGI 43L. Due on coast Sep 11. Lot of model support

Re: PGI 43L. Due on coast Sep 11. Lot of model support

Re: PGI 43L. Due on coast Sep 11. Lot of model support

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