Possible new wave over africa? (Is Invest 90L)
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Possible new wave over africa? (Is Invest 90L)
Don't know if this would turn tropical or not, but looks pretty heavy.
(water vapor)
(visible) It doesn't look all too visible but decided to post anyway
(IR2)
from the ssd.noaa.gov site
disclamer, i know almost nothing about hurricanes but am quickly gaining interest. I am a tornado guy
(water vapor)
(visible) It doesn't look all too visible but decided to post anyway
(IR2)
from the ssd.noaa.gov site
disclamer, i know almost nothing about hurricanes but am quickly gaining interest. I am a tornado guy
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Okay guys, just because I want to BE a meteorologist, want to go to school for meteorology, DOES NOT MAKE ME A METEOROLOGIST. Anything I say about tropical weather is either me learning something new, or is just an opinion and nothing more than that. I can almost guarantee you that I will be wrong about pretty much everything.
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The models are developing this wave so it will need to be watched in the Cape Verde islands
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Re: Possible new wave over africa?
An area of low pressure could form between the west coast of Africa
and the Cape Verde Islands by Friday. Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for additional development through the
weekend while the system moves westward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
and the Cape Verde Islands by Friday. Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for additional development through the
weekend while the system moves westward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
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Re:
somethingfunny wrote:Does this have a Pouch identifier?
All about Pouch 027L.
http://www.met.nps.edu/~mtmontgo/storms2014/P27L.html
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Re: Possible new wave over africa? (Pouch 027L)
A tropical wave is expected to move off the coast of west Africa
on Thursday. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive
for some development through the weekend while the system
moves westward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.
on Thursday. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive
for some development through the weekend while the system
moves westward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.
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Re: Possible new wave over africa? (Pouch 027L)
6Z GFS at 90 hours
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M a r k
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Global Model Runs Discussion
The Ukmet is onboard with this.
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Re: Possible new wave over africa? (Pouch 027L)
Cool I actually spotted something, haha. I will be watching this.
hope it isnt just a repeat of the last one
hope it isnt just a repeat of the last one
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Okay guys, just because I want to BE a meteorologist, want to go to school for meteorology, DOES NOT MAKE ME A METEOROLOGIST. Anything I say about tropical weather is either me learning something new, or is just an opinion and nothing more than that. I can almost guarantee you that I will be wrong about pretty much everything.
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Re: Possible new wave over africa? (Pouch 027L)
12Z GFS looks to be a little stronger
90h
186h
90h
186h
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Re: Global Model Runs Discussion
blp wrote:The Ukmet is onboard with this.
This makes it look like it is going to possibly go pretty far north very early. Again, I have no idea, I am just going by what i see on the pic, but it mwan it is wayyyyyy too early to tell anyway
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Okay guys, just because I want to BE a meteorologist, want to go to school for meteorology, DOES NOT MAKE ME A METEOROLOGIST. Anything I say about tropical weather is either me learning something new, or is just an opinion and nothing more than that. I can almost guarantee you that I will be wrong about pretty much everything.
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Re: Possible new wave over africa? (Pouch 027L)
A tropical wave is expected to move off the coast of west Africa
late Thursday. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for some development through the weekend while the system
moves westward at 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.
late Thursday. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for some development through the weekend while the system
moves westward at 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.
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Re: Possible new wave over africa? (Pouch 027L)
Umm,a setback from one of the global models as 12z UKMET doesn't develop.
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Re: Possible new wave over africa? (Pouch 027L)
12Z Euro at 96h does not have it.
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Re: Possible new wave over africa? (Pouch 027L)
Looks like the Euro is speeding up the next wave and dropping the idea of two storms?
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Re: Possible new wave over africa? (Pouch 027L)
i dont get what you're saying, what do you mean two storms? ii know you said dropping them but was there supposed to be two from this wave?
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Okay guys, just because I want to BE a meteorologist, want to go to school for meteorology, DOES NOT MAKE ME A METEOROLOGIST. Anything I say about tropical weather is either me learning something new, or is just an opinion and nothing more than that. I can almost guarantee you that I will be wrong about pretty much everything.
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Re: Possible new wave over africa? (Pouch 027L)
YoshiMike wrote:i dont get what you're saying, what do you mean two storms? ii know you said dropping them but was there supposed to be two from this wave?
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GFS and Euro had two waves emerging from Africa, one at 72 and one at 120 hours. The Euro had the first wave, the Pouch mentioned in this thread, as the weaker one and now seems to slow down the emergence of this wave and/or speed up the second so that only a single wave and storm is depicted in the model run. Not unusual, but not sure if it's accurate.
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