2014: ACE - ATL = 65.1 EPAC = 182.25 WPAC =273.577

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Meow

Re:

#21 Postby Meow » Thu May 29, 2014 2:09 am

Steve820 wrote:EPac's ACE is pretty insane for this time of year, and it was all because of Amanda. The WPac should gradually catch on and make the lead soon though. The Atlantic, meanwhile, will probably have an inactive season this year but hopefully the overall ACE will end up higher than 2013! We don't want another extremely pathetic season this year, don't we? 8-)

Haiyan contributed more ACE than the whole 2013 Atlantic hurricane season... We hope it won’t happen again this year.
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Re: Re:

#22 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Thu May 29, 2014 6:09 am

Meow wrote:
Steve820 wrote:EPac's ACE is pretty insane for this time of year, and it was all because of Amanda. The WPac should gradually catch on and make the lead soon though. The Atlantic, meanwhile, will probably have an inactive season this year but hopefully the overall ACE will end up higher than 2013! We don't want another extremely pathetic season this year, don't we? 8-)

Haiyan contributed more ACE than the whole 2013 Atlantic hurricane season... We hope it won’t happen again this year.

It could. The El Niño brings favorable conditions to the Pacific basins, leading to a higher probability of more category 4 and 5 storms contributing lots of ACE each, and will be longer lived. There would be lots of intense storms in the WPac and the EPac & SPac too. Plus the likelyhood of an inactive Atlantic season.... Yeah.
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 0 ; EPAC =18.4225 WPAC = 11.5425

#23 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 29, 2014 12:25 pm

The final total ACE numbers for Amanda are 18.7475.
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 0 ; EPAC =18.4225 WPAC = 11.5425

#24 Postby TropicalAnalystwx13 » Thu May 29, 2014 3:57 pm

cycloneye wrote:The final total ACE numbers for Amanda are 18.7475.

18.5775 units according to my calculation. I'm not sure how Ryan Maue calculates his ACE, but it doesn't appear to be at 6 hour intervals for 35kt+ cyclones like the definition states. Or maybe he goes by the Best Track (ATCF) instead of NHC public advisories.
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 0 ; EPAC =18.4225 WPAC = 11.5425

#25 Postby cycloneye » Thu May 29, 2014 4:01 pm

TropicalAnalystwx13 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:The final total ACE numbers for Amanda are 18.7475.

18.5775 units according to my calculation. I'm not sure how Ryan Maue calculates his ACE, but it doesn't appear to be at 6 hour intervals for 35kt+ cyclones like the definition states. Or maybe he goes by the Best Track (ATCF) instead of NHC public advisories.


Best Track (ATCF)
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 0 ; EPAC =18.4225 WPAC = 11.5425

#26 Postby TropicalAnalystwx13 » Thu May 29, 2014 6:09 pm

cycloneye wrote:
TropicalAnalystwx13 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:The final total ACE numbers for Amanda are 18.7475.

18.5775 units according to my calculation. I'm not sure how Ryan Maue calculates his ACE, but it doesn't appear to be at 6 hour intervals for 35kt+ cyclones like the definition states. Or maybe he goes by the Best Track (ATCF) instead of NHC public advisories.


Best Track (ATCF)

That makes sense. The issue with that, however, is that NHC doesn't always follow the values that they enter into the ATCF database, meaning Ryan Maue's totals could be incorrect by a small margin.
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 0 ; EPAC =18.7475 WPAC = 11.5425

#27 Postby euro6208 » Fri May 30, 2014 11:12 am

WPAC ACE only 42 percent normal...
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 0 ; EPAC =18.7475 WPAC = 11.5425

#28 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Fri May 30, 2014 7:08 pm

euro6208 wrote:WPAC ACE only 42 percent normal...

Our basin is quiet for the past few weeks since Tapah formed. This is because the West Pacific has been in a dry MJO for quite a while now.. There has been not a single invest for 2 weeks or more. Meanwhile, the basin to our east had a major hurricane which had a significant contribution for such an early time of year, and set records.
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 0 ; EPAC =30.0625 WPAC = 11.5425

#29 Postby Ntxw » Sat Jun 14, 2014 6:32 pm

Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week as of 6/14/2014 (now integrated to wxbell tropical). NHEM ACE is near to slightly above normal held up mostly by the EPAC as the other basins are below normal, not yet included for Atlantic as it still averages 0. EPAC is seeing it's greatest ACE accumulation to date for the same period in any year since records have been kept there.
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N. Hemisphere: 47.6275 [Normal: 46 - 103% of normal]

Western Pacific: 11.985 [Normal: 32 - 37% of normal]

North Atlantic: 0 [Normal: 0 - 0% of normal]

Eastern Pacific: 31.235 [Normal: 5 - 624% of normal]

North Indian: 4.4075 [Normal: 7 - 62% of normal]



http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 0 ; EPAC = 31.5175 WPAC = 11.5425

#30 Postby euro6208 » Mon Jun 16, 2014 7:49 am

Season ACE for WPAC is now 12.875

Normal Year to Date is 33 (39% of Normal)

Subtropical Storm 94W (Locally named as Mitag) garnered 0.9325

Tropical Storm Hagibis garnered 1.3325
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 0 ; EPAC = 31.5175 WPAC = 11.5425

#31 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Mon Jun 16, 2014 10:00 am

euro6208 wrote:Season ACE for WPAC is now 12.875

Normal Year to Date is 33 (39% of Normal)

Subtropical Storm 94W (Locally named as Mitag) garnered 0.9325

Tropical Storm Hagibis garnered 1.3325

LOCALLY MITAG? Did you mean locally known as Ester in the Philippines?
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#32 Postby hurricanes1234 » Mon Jun 16, 2014 12:05 pm

The only basin in the northern hemisphere that is really performing is the EPAC. All others are below average, and the Atlantic's ACE of 0 is the average to date. Quite surprising that WPAC has been this inactive.
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#33 Postby Steve820 » Mon Jun 16, 2014 5:27 pm

I'm also surprised the WPac has been this inactive. The EPac's ACE has been crazy though, especially for mid-June, mainly because of those Amanda and Cristina beasts. Hopefully a storm forms in the Atlantic before the end of this month. If a storm doesn't form by then, we'll all announce, season cancel! :Can:
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 0 ; EPAC = 31.5175 WPAC = 12.875

#34 Postby Hurricane Alexis » Mon Jun 16, 2014 6:05 pm

Steve820 wrote:I'm also surprised the WPac has been this inactive. The EPac's ACE has been crazy though, especially for mid-June, mainly because of those Amanda and Cristina beasts. Hopefully a storm forms in the Atlantic before the end of this month. If a storm doesn't form by then, we'll all announce, season cancel! :Can:


Too soon for season cancel. The peak month isn't June. And it's likely there is not gonna be a storm this month, considering the conditions across the basin.
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 0 ; EPAC = 31.5175 WPAC = 12.875

#35 Postby Steve820 » Mon Jun 16, 2014 7:14 pm

Hurricane Alexis wrote:
Steve820 wrote:I'm also surprised the WPac has been this inactive. The EPac's ACE has been crazy though, especially for mid-June, mainly because of those Amanda and Cristina beasts. Hopefully a storm forms in the Atlantic before the end of this month. If a storm doesn't form by then, we'll all announce, season cancel! :Can:


Too soon for season cancel. The peak month isn't June. And it's likely there is not gonna be a storm this month, considering the conditions across the basin.

I already know that, I meant later in the season.
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#36 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Jul 02, 2014 9:26 pm

Could someone please update the atlantic ACE :D
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 4.895 ; EPAC = 35.1625 ; WPAC = 13.905

#37 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 04, 2014 6:47 am

All three basins were updated. Wow,the Atlantic began with a bang. West Pacific may get close to EPAC with Neoguri.
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#38 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Fri Jul 04, 2014 7:23 am

Neoguri will really rack up the WPac ACE, and together with 2 more possible typhoons forming per the latest model runs. Neoguri is expected to be near or at super typhoon strength.
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 6.3025 ; EPAC = 35.4075; WPAC = 14.9575

#39 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 04, 2014 8:43 pm

Updated numbers as of 00z.
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 6.3025 ; EPAC = 35.4075; WPAC = 14.9575

#40 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jul 04, 2014 11:44 pm

Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week as of 7/4/2014. Atlantic is onto a good start with Arthur putting the basin well over average. EPAC is still ahead of numbers, and WPAC though behind will likely be raking up some big values with potential intense Super Typhoon to be Neoguri. Globally ACE is doing well relative to average, perhaps a sign we have moistened up the tropics compared to the past few years.
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N. Hemisphere: 61.0750 [Normal: 69 - 88% of normal]

Western Pacific: 14.9575 [Normal: 45 - 33% of normal]

North Atlantic: 6.3025 [Normal: 1 - 630% of normal]

Eastern Pacific: 35.4075 [Normal: 15 - 236% of normal]

North Indian: 4.4075 [Normal: 7 - 62% of normal]



http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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