2016 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out to Day 16)

[Hammy]

GFS seems to be showing a possible hybrid storm in the opening days of December, it has a hybrid/warm core appearance on simulated IR.

[MetroMike]

GFS seems to be showing a possible hybrid storm in the opening days of December, it has a hybrid/warm core appearance on simulated IR.

Can't happen, hurricane season will be over.

[abajan]

GFS seems to be showing a possible hybrid storm in the opening days of December, it has a hybrid/warm core appearance on simulated IR.

Can't happen, hurricane season will be over.

Of course, you're joking or being sarcastic, right? Once conditions are right, cyclones can form at any time of the year - even in the South Atlantic, as Brazil discovered not that long ago.

[BZSTORM]

off season tropical and hybrid subtropical storms are not as uncommon as one would think. Because this season ahs had so many unusual systems I did a bit of googling and found this wikipedia page on the subject there has been 17 recorded cyclone systems in Atlantic in DEc since records began. Just to put the freaky on it all 1887 was the year 2 such systems developed and one was a system which dissipated off the Costa Rica coast. Makes for interesting reading, makes you wonder what was so special about 1887 climatic wise.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_o ... hurricanes

[Exalt]

GFS seems to be showing a possible hybrid storm in the opening days of December, it has a hybrid/warm core appearance on simulated IR.

Can't happen, hurricane season will be over.

You have to be joking right..? The first hurricane of the season was an offseason.

[tolakram]

Yes, I think he was joking since Mike has experienced a number of seasons.

[MetroMike]

Yes, I think he was joking since Mike has experienced a number of seasons.

Yes I would never let my guard down just because the official season is about over. I've been on this board since 2004 and sometimes I have to poke fun.

[abajan]

Yes, I think he was joking since Mike has experienced a number of seasons.

Yes I would never let my guard down just because the official season is about over. I've been on this board since 2004 and sometimes I have to poke fun.

Thanks for clearing that up. I wasn't sure.

[abajan]

Any of you heard anything about the models hinting at development in the SW Caribbean? It's mentioned here and I was just wondering.

[Macrocane]

GFS develops a trough that is righ now in the eastern Caribbean into a possible tropical cyclone in the EPAC early next week.

[hurricanes1234]

GFS develops a trough that is righ now in the eastern Caribbean into a possible tropical cyclone in the EPAC early next week.

What?!

Sure would be a rare occurrence if it does happen!

[Frank2]

We're stuck in a weak monsoon trough here in South Florida - raining since sunrise, though not heavily, so perhaps the models are correct as there is enough moisture with each passing trough...

[cycloneye]

Fantasy or reallity?

[gatorcane]

The ECMWF which just ran shows something too albeit weaker