Disturbed Weather in NW Gulf/Texas

[Haris]

0z UKMET looks similar to its 12z run and the 0z Canadian. Stalls a weak low in south TX for several days leading to some very heavy rainfall totals.

THIS IS AN AWESOME TREND!!!!

[Rgv20]

0z UKMET looks similar to its 12z run and the 0z Canadian. Stalls a weak low in south TX for several days leading to some very heavy rainfall totals.

72-120 hours it has the low park in the same place....that would be some really bad flooding down here

0zUKMET 72hr


96hr


120hr

[Haris]

[CyclonicFury]

2 AM TWO STILL 20%/20%

000
ABNT20 KNHC 170502
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Jun 17 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The combination of a surface trough and an upper-low is producing a
large but disorganized area of showers and thunderstorm primarily
over the central Gulf of Mexico. This system is producing strong
gusty winds to the northeast of the trough. Environmental conditions
do not support significant development, however, heavy rains and
gusty winds are likely to spread across the central Gulf of Mexico
on Saturday. This activity will reach portions of the Texas and
southwestern Louisiana coasts on Sunday. For more details on this
system please see products issued by your local weather office and
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Avila

[Haris]

im staying up for the euro!

Im predicting a very wet run for TX!!!

[Cpv17]

im staying up for the euro!

Im predicting a very wet run for TX!!!

My guess is it’ll be a wet run for the RGV, but not so much for SE or CTX. Maybe 2-4”

[Haris]

euro shfts n to mid tx coast!

one more run N and we are in business!

[Haris]

25" near san antonio!!!!!

[Haris]

[Cpv17]

Will be interesting to see what the EPS shows.

[Nimbus]

Looks like there is some low pressure right along the northern gulf coast that might help steer this moisture a little further north to the mid Texas coastline. Hope the stall scenario doesn't cause a lot of flooding.

[Clearcloudz]

WPC 7 day rainfall Outlook

[Clearcloudz]

Latest HRRR not too excited about much if any rain for Sunday.

[cycloneye]

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jun 17 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The combination of a surface trough and an upper-level low pressure
system is producing a large but disorganized area of showers and
thunderstorms over the west-central Gulf of Mexico. This system is
producing strong gusty winds over the northern and northwestern
Gulf. Environmental conditions do not support significant
development, however, heavy rains and gusty winds are likely to
continue across the northwestern Gulf of Mexico today. This
activity will reach portions of the Texas and southwestern Louisiana
coasts later today. For more details on this system, please see
products issued by your local weather office and High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at https://ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

Forecaster Pasch

[tolakram]

WPC 7 day rainfall Outlook

[i mg]http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1529232977[/img]

Please check your PMs.

[Clearcloudz]

looks like the EURO was right, rotation starting to build in the bay of campeche



@DaDaBuh

[Clearcloudz]

@DaDaBuh

[TexasF6]

Looks like a low is trying to spin up in the northwestern tier of the BOC. Probably part of the larger gyre, BUT--you all know well that the Gulf of Mexico is notorius for the unexpected. The rainfall totals are scary.

[Clearcloudz]

Invest 92L coming!!!!



@DaDaBuh

[Clearcloudz]

@DaDaBuh