GFS still showing this development, but today's run shows it a little more W before turning N.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/index_ten_m_loop.shtmlAREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
548 AM AST MON OCT 6 2008
...GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO BE AGGRESSIVE IN THE INTENSIFICATION OF A
TROPICAL WAVE THAT HAS JUST EXITED AFRICA. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THIS AS OCEANIC CONDITIONS ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLC REMAIN
ANOMALOUSLY WARM AND FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT INSTABILITY ACROSS
THIS REGION.

