Long Range Models

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
bvigal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2276
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:49 am
Location: British Virgin Islands
Contact:

Re: Long Range Models

#576 Postby bvigal » Sun Oct 05, 2008 6:08 am

Here ya go, from GFS, a nice fish storm to track!
Oct 9, 18z
Image

Oct 14, 12z
Image
0 likes   

User avatar
bvigal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2276
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:49 am
Location: British Virgin Islands
Contact:

Re: Long Range Models

#577 Postby bvigal » Mon Oct 06, 2008 6:21 am

GFS still showing this development, but today's run shows it a little more W before turning N.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/index_ten_m_loop.shtml

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
548 AM AST MON OCT 6 2008

...GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO BE AGGRESSIVE IN THE INTENSIFICATION OF A
TROPICAL WAVE THAT HAS JUST EXITED AFRICA. WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THIS AS OCEANIC CONDITIONS ACROSS THE TROPICAL ATLC REMAIN
ANOMALOUSLY WARM AND FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT INSTABILITY ACROSS
THIS REGION.

Image

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
bvigal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2276
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:49 am
Location: British Virgin Islands
Contact:

Re: Long Range Models

#578 Postby bvigal » Mon Oct 06, 2008 6:27 am

Canadian:
Image
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: duilaslol, Ulf and 25 guests