Expert forecasts for 2016 North Atlantic Hurricane Season
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cycloneye
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2016: UKMET forecast is up
UKMET forecast is up at first post.
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tarheelprogrammer
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2016: UKMET forecast is up
Wanted to post this article by Mark Sudduth detailing how this upcoming hurricane season looks to be leaning toward an active season.
http://hurricanetrack.com/2016/05/12/co ... ne-season/
http://hurricanetrack.com/2016/05/12/co ... ne-season/
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cycloneye
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2016 N Atlantic Hurricane Season
Can't provide link to JB new forecast but here is his message via Twitter.
@BigJoeBastardi · 4m4 minutes ago
Updating long standing hurricane ace,impact forecasts for clients,prem members.High impact season for western atlantic basin still message
@BigJoeBastardi · 4m4 minutes ago
Updating long standing hurricane ace,impact forecasts for clients,prem members.High impact season for western atlantic basin still message
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2016 N Atlantic Hurricane Season
Mexico's Met Service (SMN-Conagua) has released its forecast for this season:
Atlantic: 13/6/2
East Pacific: 17/9/4
http://smn.cna.gob.mx/tools/DATA/Ciclones%20Tropicales/Proyecci%C3%B3n/2016.pdf
Atlantic: 13/6/2
East Pacific: 17/9/4
http://smn.cna.gob.mx/tools/DATA/Ciclones%20Tropicales/Proyecci%C3%B3n/2016.pdf
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cycloneye
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2016: Croenweather May 14 forecast is up
Check Crown Weather Services latest forecast at first post of thread.
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Kingarabian
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2016 N Atlantic Hurricane Season
Macrocane wrote:Mexico's Met Service (SMN-Conagua) has released its forecast for this season:
Atlantic: 13/6/2
East Pacific: 17/9/4
http://smn.cna.gob.mx/tools/DATA/Ciclones%20Tropicales/Proyecci%C3%B3n/2016.pdf
Epac more active than the ATL?
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Hurricaneman
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2016 N Atlantic Hurricane Season
Kingarabian wrote:Macrocane wrote:Mexico's Met Service (SMN-Conagua) has released its forecast for this season:
Atlantic: 13/6/2
East Pacific: 17/9/4
http://smn.cna.gob.mx/tools/DATA/Ciclones%20Tropicales/Proyecci%C3%B3n/2016.pdf
Epac more active than the ATL?
Seems like thats what they're expecting
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cycloneye
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2016 N Atlantic Hurricane Season
May 27 at 11:30 AM EDT is the date and time when NOAA will release their May outlook.
Eric Blake @EricBlake12
Working on the 2016 @NOAA #Hurricane season outlook today- release date May 27 at 1130a EDT! http://www.noaa.gov/noaa-issue-2016-atl ... ook-may-27 …
Eric Blake @EricBlake12
Working on the 2016 @NOAA #Hurricane season outlook today- release date May 27 at 1130a EDT! http://www.noaa.gov/noaa-issue-2016-atl ... ook-may-27 …
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Hurricaneman
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2016 N Atlantic Hurricane Season
Did you put Levi Cowen's forecast yet its here
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/blog/201 ... n-outlook/
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/blog/201 ... n-outlook/
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2016 N Atlantic Hurricane Season
I don't know if Jim Williams from Hurricane City would be included here but I like to here his predictions and read his city database. He released this on the 15th.
Quote from Jim
http://hurricanecity.com/blogs/2016/05/jims-hurricane-city-predictions-for-2016/
Quote from Jim
I am basing my predictions this year on a busy season of roughly 14 to 16 named storms give or take.
http://hurricanecity.com/blogs/2016/05/jims-hurricane-city-predictions-for-2016/
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SFLcane
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2016 N Atlantic Hurricane Season
Well.... if his predictions are right Florida could be in for a busy year and the gulfcoast. High threats Bahamas , keys
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cycloneye
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2016 N Atlantic Hurricane Season
Both Levi and Jim Williams outlooks are at list.
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tropicwatch
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2016 N Atlantic Hurricane Season
The higher end of the forecast numbers might be reached if we get a second named storm before the season officially begins. 
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Tropicwatch
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EyewallKnight
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2016 N Atlantic Hurricane Season
It looks like there is something to keep an eye on in the Caribbean. Models are hinting at a low forming a little more than a week out. Still early, but still something to watch. Water temps are good, low shear, sufficient moisture. It's definitely interesting to consider. 
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tolakram
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2016 N Atlantic Hurricane Season
Weatherbell update out.
Total ACE: 105-135
New named storms: 11-14 (12 - 15 including Alex)
Hurricanes: 6-8
Major Hurricanes: 2-4
Chief analog years
1988, 1995, 1998, 2007 & 2010
Total ACE: 105-135
New named storms: 11-14 (12 - 15 including Alex)
Hurricanes: 6-8
Major Hurricanes: 2-4
Chief analog years
1988, 1995, 1998, 2007 & 2010
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M a r k
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OuterBanker
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2016 N Atlantic Hurricane Season
tolakram wrote:Weatherbell update out.
Total ACE: 105-135
New named storms: 11-14 (12 - 15 including Alex)
Hurricanes: 6-8
Major Hurricanes: 2-4
Chief analog years
1988, 1995, 1998, 2007 & 2010
Also, his higest risk area in his earlier forecast which was between east Tx to Fl panhandle. It is now from mid Mx to north of Boston. Quite a change I'd say.
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tarheelprogrammer
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2016 N Atlantic Hurricane Season
tolakram wrote:Weatherbell update out.
Total ACE: 105-135
New named storms: 11-14 (12 - 15 including Alex)
Hurricanes: 6-8
Major Hurricanes: 2-4
Chief analog years
1988, 1995, 1998, 2007 & 2010
This is the image I found of their update. A little different I think.
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TheStormExpert
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2016 N Atlantic Hurricane Season
What time does NOAA release their hurricane season forecasts for the Atlantic and East Pacific today?
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cycloneye
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2016 N Atlantic Hurricane Season
TheStormExpert wrote:What time does NOAA release their hurricane season forecasts for the Atlantic and East Pacific today?
It will be released on Friday at 11:30 AM EDT.
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TheStormExpert
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Re: Expert forecasts for 2016 N Atlantic Hurricane Season
cycloneye wrote:TheStormExpert wrote:What time does NOAA release their hurricane season forecasts for the Atlantic and East Pacific today?
It will be released on Friday at 11:30 AM EDT.
Ok, thanks!
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