BOC distrabance???

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Matt-hurricanewatcher

BOC distrabance???

#1 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Sep 07, 2008 5:28 am

Interesting blow up,,,Maybe worth watching if it can stay in place. This year seems to have a lot of these systems moving fairly quickly inland so maybe not to promising. We will see.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/avn-l.jpg
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

Re: BOC distrabance???

#2 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Sep 07, 2008 5:37 am

Gfs and Cmc develop a weak low pressure down over the southern BOC. Both move it slowly northwestward or something like that.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 18_m.shtml
Gfs shows a low pressure area...
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TheEuropean
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#3 Postby TheEuropean » Sun Sep 07, 2008 6:59 am

019
AXNT20 KNHC 071148
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT SUN SEP 07 2008

A SURFACE TROUGH
REMAINS OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ALONG 93W/94W S OF 23N.
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH HAS INCREASED OVERNIGHT
AND NOW SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF MODERATE TO
STRONG CONVECTION OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE AND SE MEXICO NEAR
VERACRUZ WHICH IS REPORTING LIGHT TO MODERATE. NE WINDS OF 15-20
KT ARE NOTED WHILE WINDS HAS VEERED TO THE E BEHIND THE FRONTAL
SYSTEM.

It's something to watch, I think.
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Re: BOC distrabance???

#4 Postby lrak » Sun Sep 07, 2008 12:16 pm

Real close to the coast, but with a NW movement it might happen.

Veracruz WNW at 23mph
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MMVR.html

Tampico N at 7mph
http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MMTM.html
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#5 Postby artist » Mon Sep 08, 2008 7:54 pm

this area is looking better tonight
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Re: BOC distrabance???

#6 Postby artist » Mon Sep 08, 2008 8:13 pm

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...FORECAST FOCUS FOR
THE SHORT TERM IS ON A MASS OF TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVING NORTH
ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK TROPICAL WAVE.
CONVECTION FROM THAT
MOISTURE INFLUX HAS BROKEN OUT ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THIS
AFTERNOON...AND IS EXPECTED TO LIFE NORTHWARD AS DEEP MOISTURE
ADVECTS INTO THE REGION. EXPECT BEST COVERAGE AND RAINFALL TOTALS TO
BE ALONG THE RIO GRANDE...ALTHOUGH SCATTERED PRECIPITATION FURTHER
EAST MAY SIMILARLY BE HEAVY AT TIMES. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO BE
LARGELY DIURNAL.

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/view/prodsBySta ... discussion
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