New model info about ENSO shows that more models are neutral

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cycloneye
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New model info about ENSO shows that more models are neutral

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jan 24, 2003 5:42 pm

http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/ENSO-summary.shtml

Well rapidly this is my first post about ENSO after my computer crash for 3 weeks.

This is the latest model forecast for ENSO and it shows that more models are neutral and only 2 are still forecasting el nino until late spring.

This comfirms what TWW,Suprecane,Kevin and I haved said for a long time and that is el nino is not going to be a factor this comming season but instead neutral to a weak la nina will be present.
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Anonymous

#2 Postby Anonymous » Fri Jan 24, 2003 8:15 pm

Chances are that El Nino will weaken faster than what the models are forecasting. The only model still forecasting warm conditions in September is the CPC model....which is one of the worst ENSO models.
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