Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

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drezee
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#321 Postby drezee » Tue Jun 01, 2010 6:37 pm

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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#322 Postby jasons2k » Tue Jun 01, 2010 6:56 pm

One difference between now and 2005 are the temps in the Gulf of Alaska.
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#323 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 03, 2010 2:17 pm

ECMWF forecasts more negative NAO at least thru mid June.

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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#324 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 03, 2010 2:23 pm

It looks like the Atlantic has warmed a little bit after a small cooldown in mid may.

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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#325 Postby HouTXmetro » Thu Jun 03, 2010 2:25 pm

cycloneye wrote:ECMWF forecasts more negative NAO at least thru mid June.

Image


So which is more condusive to Tropical Activity, negative or positive NAO?
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#326 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 03, 2010 2:30 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:
cycloneye wrote:ECMWF forecasts more negative NAO at least thru mid June.

Image


So which is more condusive to Tropical Activity, negative or positive NAO?


Definitly negative because less trade winds mean more warmer ssts.
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#327 Postby BigA » Thu Jun 03, 2010 2:43 pm

cycloneye wrote:Definitly negative because less trade winds mean more warmer ssts.


Doesn't a negative NAO also tend to decrease trades, which generally mean less wind shear?
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#328 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Jun 03, 2010 2:49 pm

The Northern Gulf coast waters are a lot warmer than normal this year.

Image

Same date last year

Image
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#329 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 03, 2010 2:58 pm

BigA wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Definitly negative because less trade winds mean more warmer ssts.


Doesn't a negative NAO also tend to decrease trades, which generally mean less wind shear?


Well,as this topic is about the ssts,I talked in terms of warmer waters with weaker trade winds. Yes,less trades mean less easterly shear.
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#330 Postby BigA » Thu Jun 03, 2010 3:07 pm

cycloneye wrote:
BigA wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Definitly negative because less trade winds mean more warmer ssts.


Doesn't a negative NAO also tend to decrease trades, which generally mean less wind shear?


Well,as this topic is about the ssts,I talked in terms of warmer waters with weaker trade winds. Yes,less trades mean less easterly shear.



My bad, I forgot about the topic. No worries.
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#331 Postby HouTXmetro » Thu Jun 03, 2010 3:32 pm

THE GOM has been below normal for most of the year. This a STUNNING Reversal. :eek:
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#332 Postby somethingfunny » Thu Jun 03, 2010 6:29 pm

I've heard that the Loop Current has pinched off an eddy, temporarily protecting South Florida from the spreading oil spill. How long do these eddies last, and what effects do they have on currents and SSTs?
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#333 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jun 04, 2010 12:26 pm

This is an image of SST today vs 2005. The Northern Gulf is even warmer now then in 2005, also warmer off Africa. Also note we are pretty much on par with 2005 across most of the MDR....amazing

Image
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#334 Postby KWT » Fri Jun 04, 2010 12:44 pm

My gosh that is quite unreal!

If that map was against the average SST's for the time of year I'd be impressed, the fact its actually vs 2005 is stunning!
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#335 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 04, 2010 1:26 pm

Wow,how fast the GOM has warmed in only a relative short period of time.It was the other day that it was cold.If you compare 2005 with 2010,it is warmer this year.

2005

Image

2010

Image
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#336 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jun 04, 2010 1:40 pm

And we are still stuck in this pattern. Above normal temps into the upper 90's next week. With some of the predictions of landfalls in the Gulf region, this is bad news
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#337 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jun 04, 2010 1:46 pm

Here is another image comparing 2010 to 2005....This is scary! This is comparing to 2005!

2010

Image

2005

Image
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#338 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jun 04, 2010 1:54 pm

The New Euro long range shows a monster ridge in place over the Eastern U.S., the Gulf will continue to bake.

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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies

#339 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 04, 2010 1:54 pm

And this is much more troublesome as the Heat Potential this year is way up than last year.

June 3 2009

Image

June 3 2010

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#340 Postby KWT » Fri Jun 04, 2010 2:22 pm

We really are well ahead of where we were in 2009 thats for sure, the difference in the MDR is amazing!
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