Note=Excellent discussion taking place here but it has gone from the sst's to ENSO. What I did was to move the ENSO posts to the ENSO thread so you can continue the discussion.
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Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
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cycloneye
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
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cycloneye
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
Not a good picture to start the 2014 season.
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cycloneye
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
Look how are things right now so cold. 
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
I don't comment much on the atlantic side but i must say that this season will be ultra super slow. El nino, Instability and that image above, lack of sst will encourage alot of people away from the tropics this year...
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xtyphooncyclonex
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
cycloneye wrote:Look how are things right now so cold.
I guess you guys in the Atlantic would wait for a while for things to get started.
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
They must be using old data because the northern GOM has actually warmed up nicely during this past week thanks to mid level ridging and this map does not look as much detailed as other sites.
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
xtyphooncyclonex wrote:cycloneye wrote:Look how are things right now so cold.
I guess you guys in the Atlantic would wait for a while for things to get started.
I think you guys pay too much attention to SST "anomaly", the most important thing is that SSTs are already warm enough in areas where climatologically we get tropical cyclone development during the month of June in the Atlantic Basin.
TCHP in the NW Caribbean is currently even greater than the eastern Pacific area.
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
I agree the absolute anoms don't have a great effect on storms peak season because waters are always warm enough. What anoms can help figure is where higher and lower pressures between adjacent regions will be located which can influence subsidence vs rising air favorability.
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
Quite remarkable how much warmer the SW Atlantic is right now compared to a year ago - particularly the area north of 20N latitude and between 60W and 80W longitude - i.e, the area extending well east of the Bahamas to the U.S. S.E. Coast
No doubt this contributed to Arthur's ability to intensify
July 3. 2014:
July 3, 2013:
No doubt this contributed to Arthur's ability to intensify
July 3. 2014:
July 3, 2013:
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'CaneFreak
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
Excellent point and I think this will be important to remember as we go deeper in the season. Something tells me that these may be the waters where we see a lot more development this season (unlike the typical MDR type of season).
jinftl wrote:Quite remarkable how much warmer the SW Atlantic is right now compared to a year ago - particularly the area north of 20N latitude and between 60W and 80W longitude - i.e, the area extending well east of the Bahamas to the U.S. S.E. Coast
No doubt this contributed to Arthur's ability to intensify
July 3. 2014:
July 3, 2013:
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