Tropical Wave north of the Greater Antilles

[cycloneye]

This wave has looked impressive since it was in Eastern Africa.Lets see how the models treat this one down the road.Click symbol to see a closeup view.Image updates every 15 minutes.

[HURAKAN]

I saw it yesterday and it continues to look impressive. "Fred" could be quite a storm!

[HURAKAN]

A look from this perspective

[ConvergenceZone]

Wow, that's one of the best looking waves with the best structure I've ever seen in midland Africa. What impresses me the most is the structure of it. It will be interesting to see if it can hold together.

[Sanibel]

Yeah, I noticed that yesterday. Definitely hurricane #2. With the seasonal slot and possible adjustment of the Atlantic ridge maybe that is the one we should be worried about...

[HURAKAN]

Very impressive!

[cycloneye]

This is one of the most impressive waves that I haved seen in the last two years.

[otowntiger]

This is one of the most impressive waves that I haved seen in the last two years.

The question of course remains, can it hold together as it leaves shore.

BTW, O/T but that image really does illustrate the fautly initialization of all those models for 94L. It seems way west and south of there. It also illustrates how disorganized it is, but interesting nonetheless.

[Frank2]

It is well organized ATTM, that's for certain...

Of course if it does come off that well orgainzed the chance of an early recurve is pretty high...

Frances (1980) drove everyone crazy at the NHC when it became a hurricane soon after passing the CVI (everyone was nervous after the Hurricane Allen experience in early August), but Frances made a very fast recurve soon after...

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/c ... _track.png

Frank

[otowntiger]

It is well organized ATTM, that's for certain...

Of course if it does come off that well orgainzed the chance of an early recurve is pretty high...

Frances (1980) drove everyone crazy at the NHC when it became a hurricane soon after passing the CVI (everyone was nervous after the Hurricane Allen experience in early August), but Frances made a very fast recurve soon after...

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/c ... _track.png

Frank

Thats' a very good point Frank. We shouldn't get very excited over much of nothing in the Tropics until it actually happens. This is probably going to be one of those years in which there is not much excitement. The strong storms are re-curving the weak ones are, well weak and pitiful.

[CourierPR]

Several years ago, Joe Bastardi, of AccuWeather, wrote in a column that there was evidence to show that Donna in 1960 came off Africa as a hurricane.

[KWT]

What an impressive wave..IF it keeps up then we could be seeing a depression form right as it comes off land, long way to go yet still!

[I-wall]

Several years ago, Joe Bastardi, of AccuWeather, wrote in a column that there was evidence to show that Donna in 1960 came off Africa as a hurricane.

How is that possible? I though you had to have warm waters underneath the storm to provide enough energy for the storm to strenthen into a hurricane.

[Annie Oakley]

Hurakan and Cycloneye-those pics and graphics are stunning! Thanks for showing them....uhhhh-do you guys ever sleep lol?
Cyclogenesis-yes-cyclogenesis. Has to have a birth certificate right?

[HURAKAN]

Hurakan and Cycloneye-those pics and graphics are stunning! Thanks for showing them....uhhhh-do you guys ever sleep lol?
Cyclogenesis-yes-cyclogenesis. Has to have a birth certificate right?

I do sleep. About 5 to 6 hours every night. But during the hurricane season I can't wait for the sleeping time to be over to continue tracking storms. Here is the latest! WOW!

[Annie Oakley]

Wow indeed! It is huge! I mean-the Continent of Africa is very large-just look at the size of the storm compared to the little corner of Africa it is in. So this is the rainy season in Africa? I feel sorry for whoever is in this potential 'Fred's' path.

[HURAKAN]

Great image

[HURAKAN]

Current Weather Conditions:
Niamey-Aero, Niger

Code: Select all

24 Hour Summary
   
   Time
EDT (UTC)    Temperature
F (C)    Dew Point
F (C)    Pressure
Inches (hPa)    Wind
MPH    Weather
Latest    7 PM (23) Aug 28    78 (26)    69 (21)    29.83 (1010)    SSE 9    
   6 PM (22) Aug 28    78 (26)    71 (22)    29.80 (1009)    SSE 9    
   5 PM (21) Aug 28    82 (28)    71 (22)    29.77 (1008)    SSE 12    
   4 PM (20) Aug 28    86 (30)    77 (25)    29.74 (1007)    SSE 9    
   3 PM (19) Aug 28    89 (32)    77 (25)    29.74 (1007)    S 7    
   2 PM (18) Aug 28    91 (33)    73 (23)    29.71 (1006)    SSW 6    
   1 PM (17) Aug 28    93 (34)    69 (21)    29.71 (1006)    SW 6    
   Noon (16) Aug 28    95 (35)    69 (21)    29.71 (1006)    W 8    
   11 AM (15) Aug 28    95 (35)    68 (20)    29.74 (1007)    W 8    
   10 AM (14) Aug 28    96 (36)    69 (21)    29.74 (1007)    W 9    
   9 AM (13) Aug 28    93 (34)    69 (21)    29.77 (1008)    WNW 10    
   8 AM (12) Aug 28    95 (35)    71 (22)    29.80 (1009)    WNW 10    
   7 AM (11) Aug 28    93 (34)    71 (22)    29.83 (1010)    W 10    
   6 AM (10) Aug 28    91 (33)    71 (22)    29.83 (1010)    W 13    
   5 AM (9) Aug 28    87 (31)    71 (22)    29.85 (1011)    W 14    
   4 AM (8) Aug 28    84 (29)    73 (23)    29.85 (1011)    W 13    
   3 AM (7) Aug 28    82 (28)    73 (23)    29.83 (1010)    W 8    
   2 AM (6) Aug 28    80 (27)    73 (23)    29.80 (1009)    W 8    
   1 AM (5) Aug 28    80 (27)    73 (23)    29.80 (1009)    W 8    
   Midnight (4) Aug 28    80 (27)    73 (23)    29.80 (1009)    W 10    
   11 PM (3) Aug 27    82 (28)    73 (23)    29.77 (1008)    W 10    
   10 PM (2) Aug 27    80 (27)    73 (23)    29.80 (1009)    WSW 8    
   9 PM (1) Aug 27    82 (28)    75 (24)    29.80 (1009)    WSW 6    
Oldest    8 PM (0) Aug 27    82 (28)    75 (24)    29.83 (1010)    WSW 6    

[Annie Oakley]

Oh please interpret that weather stuff for us civilians lol! Honestly-I am curious what it must be like with that blast going through. In fact-we need to hear from weather enthusiasts in Africa!

[HURAKAN]

Oh please interpret that weather stuff for us civilians lol! Honestly-I am curious what it must be like with that blast going through. In fact-we need to hear from weather enthusiasts in Africa!

This city was impacted in the last 24 hours by this system and reported west winds, which is very unusual for a city in the tropics that should normally get east winds except if there is a low pressure at the surface or local effects. Now, local effects typically don't last 12 hours or more. Also, the normal atmospheric pressure worldwide is 1013.25 mb and this city reported at one point 1006 mb, which is quite low. I just posted that information to show how interesting this system is.