Wave East of the Windward Islands

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

Wave East of the Windward Islands

#1 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 05, 2010 7:38 pm

Image

very impressive system, to say the least
Last edited by HURAKAN on Tue Aug 10, 2010 8:32 am, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31415
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#2 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 05, 2010 7:44 pm

Its a biggie for sure, I'm guessing it'll probably serve as something of a catalyst for possibly getting something going out of that large ITCZ mass that has sat there for a while.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 145323
Age: 68
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: Wave off African coast

#3 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 05, 2010 8:22 pm

If 93L develops, it may cause this wave to ride west as high pressure forms behind 93L.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#4 Postby Gustywind » Thu Aug 05, 2010 8:35 pm

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
TexasF6
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 816
Joined: Mon Aug 09, 2004 9:33 pm
Location: Austin, TX

#5 Postby TexasF6 » Thu Aug 05, 2010 8:42 pm

The one behind that huge area of convective mess looks like Danielle to me....nice rotation....nice cdo already....this is just my opinion, and is not, in any way, official NHC speak :flag: :cheesy:
Last edited by TexasF6 on Thu Aug 05, 2010 8:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

Re:

#6 Postby Gustywind » Thu Aug 05, 2010 8:45 pm

TexasF6 wrote:The one behind that huge area of convective mess looks like Danielle to me....nice rotation....nice cdo already....this is just my opinion, and is not, in any way, official NHC speak :flag: :cheesy: hey gustywind? that image is old!

So change it :)
0 likes   

User avatar
TexasF6
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 816
Joined: Mon Aug 09, 2004 9:33 pm
Location: Austin, TX

Re: Wave off African coast

#7 Postby TexasF6 » Thu Aug 05, 2010 8:57 pm

Hey Gustywind! I'm not sure how to upload...i have tried...but to no sucess :flag: :double:
0 likes   

User avatar
TexasF6
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 816
Joined: Mon Aug 09, 2004 9:33 pm
Location: Austin, TX

Re: Wave off African coast

#8 Postby TexasF6 » Thu Aug 05, 2010 8:58 pm

0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#9 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 05, 2010 9:08 pm

Loop - http://sat24.com/Region.aspx?country=af ... &type=loop

This system is very aggressive
0 likes   

User avatar
BigA
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1317
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2005 10:56 pm

Re: Wave off African coast

#10 Postby BigA » Thu Aug 05, 2010 9:12 pm

IMHO there's an outside chance that we could get Danielle and Earl out of 93L and this system. Would say better than even odds that we get Danielle out of either 93L or this.

Cycloneye, you suggested that if 93L develops it could cause high pressure to push this wave more west, as opposed to wnw or nw? Why would this be the case? Do ridges usually build in following cyclones that curve north?
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#11 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Aug 05, 2010 9:16 pm

Maybe this could be an "Issac-Joyce" situation like we saw in 2000 ... both developed more or less where these systems are and Issac went north while Joyce went mostly west.
0 likes   

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11161
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: Wave off African coast

#12 Postby Ivanhater » Thu Aug 05, 2010 10:04 pm

Image
0 likes   
Michael

StormClouds63
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 583
Age: 62
Joined: Tue May 13, 2008 11:56 am
Location: Southwest Louisiana

Re: Wave off African coast

#13 Postby StormClouds63 » Thu Aug 05, 2010 10:19 pm

I don't think both systems develop ... 2nd wave looks more impressive this evening. 93L very disorganized. Does the future Danielle go fishing with Colin or stay more west? I'm not sure. Perhaps if it develops quickly, more likely for recurvature?
0 likes   

Weatherfreak000

#14 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Thu Aug 05, 2010 10:30 pm

I like this area. A good spot to look for development.
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#15 Postby Gustywind » Fri Aug 06, 2010 5:43 am

Tropical Weather Discussion
Issued: Friday, August 6, 2010 635 am EDT/535 am CDT
:rarrow: http://www.crownweather.com/?page_id=325

Elsewhere In The Tropical Atlantic:
There is still plenty more to talk about this morning, so go grab that second cup of coffee, I know I am before I continue writing.

There is another system to mention that has just moved off of the coast of Africa and is located near 25 West Longitude or due south of the Cape Verde Islands. I see no reasons why this system will not develop. The only thing that may this particular system from developing is if it gets too close to Invest 93-L/Danielle. So, this system will also be closely monitored over the coming days.


If this isn’t enough for you, another tropical disturbance now located over west-central Africa near 5 East Longitude will track into the eastern Atlantic early next week and may also be a candidate for development later next week.
0 likes   

User avatar
Gustywind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 12334
Joined: Mon Sep 03, 2007 7:29 am
Location: Baie-Mahault, GUADELOUPE

#16 Postby Gustywind » Fri Aug 06, 2010 7:31 am

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
ConvergenceZone
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5194
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 1:40 am
Location: Northern California

#17 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Aug 06, 2010 9:24 am

The once robust convection in the Atlantic 2 days ago, seems to have all but faded. Just when I thought the switch was ready to turn on...It pulls a head fake and once again, not much to talk about....
0 likes   

User avatar
CourierPR
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1335
Age: 71
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 7:53 pm
Location: Pompano Beach, Florida

Re:

#18 Postby CourierPR » Fri Aug 06, 2010 10:16 am

ConvergenceZone wrote:The once robust convection in the Atlantic 2 days ago, seems to have all but faded. Just when I thought the switch was ready to turn on...It pulls a head fake and once again, not much to talk about....
Have you looked at the sat loop in the post before yours? :wink:
0 likes   

User avatar
ConvergenceZone
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5194
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 1:40 am
Location: Northern California

Re: Wave off African coast

#19 Postby ConvergenceZone » Fri Aug 06, 2010 10:19 am

Yes, that's what I looked at. 2 days ago there was an insane amount of convection, much much more than compared to now.
0 likes   

User avatar
BigA
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1317
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2005 10:56 pm

#20 Postby BigA » Fri Aug 06, 2010 8:54 pm

Looking at the latest loops, it's unpoofing. It's a lot farther south than 93L, but I'd imagine the steering flow would be similar, unless a high built back behind 93L.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: abajan, gib, Hypercane_Kyle, Ian2401, sasha_B and 45 guests