Low NE. of Leeward Islands (20%)

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TheEuropean
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Low NE. of Leeward Islands (20%)

#1 Postby TheEuropean » Tue Nov 29, 2011 2:25 pm

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES
NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING
A LARGE AREA OF DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS IT
INTERACTS WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT
CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...AND THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL OR
SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES
NORTHEASTWARD OR NORTHWARD AT AROUND 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
Last edited by TheEuropean on Wed Nov 30, 2011 1:02 am, edited 1 time in total.
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tolakram
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Re: Low NE. of Leeward Islands (10%)

#2 Postby tolakram » Tue Nov 29, 2011 4:00 pm

Model support is fading fast, but most still show something small.
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Re: Low NE. of Leeward Islands (10%)

#3 Postby TheEuropean » Wed Nov 30, 2011 1:02 am

Now up to 20%:

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST WED NOV 30 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED
ABOUT 350 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS HAS
BECOME BETTER DEFINED THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...THE ASSOCIATED
SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY NORTHWARD AT AROUND
15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

Season is over, but not today? It's over on Dec. 31st.
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Re: Low NE. of Leeward Islands (20%)

#4 Postby tolakram » Wed Nov 30, 2011 7:44 am

Locked, is Invest 90L

viewtopic.php?f=59&t=112283
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