2013: ACE - ATL = 29.71 ; EPAC = 75.355 ; WPAC = 268.332

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Ptarmigan
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2013: ACE - ATL = 29.71 ; EPAC = 75.355 ; WPAC = 268.332

#1 Postby Ptarmigan » Sun Jun 23, 2013 2:12 pm

As of 6/23/2013


Atlantic

Code: Select all

01L (Andrea) 2.9925
02L (Barry) 1.205


East Pacific

Code: Select all

01E (Alvin) 1.0925
02E (Barbara) 2.0875
03E (active)


West Pacific

Code: Select all

01W (Sonamu) 2.3025
02W
03W (Yagi) 2.5825
04W (Leepi) 1.1025
05W (Bebinca) 0.735
Last edited by Ptarmigan on Tue Jun 25, 2013 10:59 am, edited 2 times in total.
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#2 Postby TropicalAnalystwx13 » Mon Jun 24, 2013 8:04 pm

Where are these values coming from? They don't agree with the ACE values I've been calculating.
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Re:

#3 Postby Ptarmigan » Tue Jun 25, 2013 9:17 am

TropicalAnalystwx13 wrote:Where are these values coming from? They don't agree with the ACE values I've been calculating.


Got it from here.
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 4.1975 ; EPAC = 3.18 ; WPAC = 6.7225

#4 Postby wxman57 » Tue Jun 25, 2013 9:27 am

Ryan Maue has lower values of ACE in the Atlantic and East Pacific. Atlantic ACE less than 2 for Andrea and Barry combined. Andrea 1.32, Barry .565:

http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 1.885; EPAC = 4.73; WPAC = 6.765; NIND = 5

#5 Postby Ptarmigan » Tue Jun 25, 2013 10:57 am

As of 6/25/2013 (Revised)

Atlantic

Code: Select all

01L (Andrea) 1.32
02L (Barry) 0.565


East Pacific

Code: Select all

01E (Alvin) 1.0925
02E (Barbara) 1.3475
03E (Cosme)


West Pacific

Code: Select all

01W (Sonamu) 2.59
02W
03W (Yagi) 2.5825
04W (Leepi) 1.1025
05W (Bebinca) 0.49


North Indian

Code: Select all

01B (Mahasen) 5.3775
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 1.885; EPAC = 4.73; WPAC = 6.765; NIND = 5

#6 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 12, 2013 7:51 am

What are the updated numbers? :) I know the Atlantic has started very low in the ACE and EPAC/WPAC are way up.
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 1.885; EPAC = 4.73; WPAC = 6.765; NIND = 5

#7 Postby Vandymit » Fri Jul 12, 2013 9:13 am

Ryan Mauve has it at 3.93. The normal ACE on this date is 3. So, that means we are pretty much average.
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#8 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Wed Jul 17, 2013 9:32 am

BASIN CURRENT YTD
N. Hemisphere
55.9175
Western Pacific
29.6275
North Atlantic
3.93
Eastern Pacific
16.9825
North Indian
5.3775
Global
180.2125
*S. Hemisphere Season:
191.827
*season runs from October to June

Maximum Wind Speed & ACE per storm (ATCF operational intensity estimates, knots)
North Atlantic
2013 Season
June
Andrea 01L (55 ACE = 1.32)
Barry 02L (40 ACE = 0.565)
July
Chantal 03L (55 ACE = 2.045)
Dorian
Erin, Fernand, Gabrielle, Humberto
Ingrid, Jerry, Karen, Lorenzo
Melissa, Nestor, Olga, Pablo
Rebekah, Sebastien, Tanya, Van, Wendy Western North Pacific
2013 Season
January
Sonamu 01W (45 ACE = 2.59)
February
Shanshan 02W (25 ACE = 0.0)
June
Yagi 03W (55 ACE = 2.5825)
Leepi 04W (35 ACE = 1.1025)
Bebinca 05W (35 ACE = 0.49)
Rumbia 06W (65 ACE = 3.67)
July
Soulik 07W (125 ACE = 19.1925)
Cimaron 08W (* ACE = *)
Jebi, Mangkhut, Utor, Trami
Kong-rey, Yutu, Toraji, Man-yi
Usagi, Pabuk, Wutip, Sepat
Fitow, Danas, Nari, Wipha
Francisco, Lekima, Krosa, Haiyan
Podul, Lingling, Kajiki, Faxai
Peipah, Tapah, Mitag, Hagibis
Neoguri, Rammasun, Matmo, Halong
Eastern Pacific
2013 Season
May
Alvin 01E (45 ACE = 1.0925)
Barbara 02E (65 ACE = 1.3475)
June
Cosme 03E (75 ACE = 4.3025)
Dalila 04E (70 ACE = 6.44)
July
Erick 05E (70 ACE = 5.135)
Flossie, Gil, Henriette
Ivo, Juliette, Kiko, Lorena
Manuel, Narda, Octave, Priscilla
Raymond, Sonia, Tico, Velma
Wallis, Xina, York, Zelda N. Indian & Arabian Sea
2013 Season
May
Mahasen 01B (50 ACE = 5.3775)
Phailin, Helen, Lehar
Madi, Na-nauk, Hudhud, Nilofar
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#9 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Fri Jul 19, 2013 9:39 pm

Your page seems outdated.....
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 4.0625; EPAC = 16.4925; WPAC = 6.765

#10 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jul 22, 2013 10:29 pm

As of today here are the updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site:
______________________________

N. Hemisphere: 56.8025 [Normal: 110]

Western Pacific: 30.5125 [Normal: 64]

North Atlantic: 3.93 [Normal: 6]

Eastern Pacific: 16.9825 [Normal: 32]

North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]

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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 4.0625; EPAC = 16.4925; WPAC = 6.765

#11 Postby Meow » Fri Jul 26, 2013 11:56 am

Ntxw wrote:As of today here are the updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site:
______________________________

N. Hemisphere: 56.8025 [Normal: 110]

Western Pacific: 30.5125 [Normal: 64]

North Atlantic: 3.93 [Normal: 6]

Eastern Pacific: 16.9825 [Normal: 32]

North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]

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Typhoon Soulik really helped the Western Pacific a lot. :ggreen:
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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 4.0625; EPAC = 16.4925; WPAC = 6.765

#12 Postby dexterlabio » Mon Jul 29, 2013 2:43 am

I know it's "acceptable" that TC activity is low for the Atlantic because the heart of the season has not set in yet. It's a different story for WPAC though. This basin can spawn a typhoon as early as May. And based on climatology, TC activity is high for the months of July and August but so far we've only seen one typhoon (Soulik).

I'm starting to think that after an active season last year, we'll be seeing a less active WPAC season this year. But what do I know lol. This could become one of those late bloomer seasons where majority of cyclone activity was concentrated in a short period.
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#13 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jul 29, 2013 2:31 pm

Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week 7/29:
______________________________

N. Hemisphere: 63.64 [Normal: 128]

Western Pacific: 30.5125 [Normal: 74]

North Atlantic: 6.64 [Normal: 6]

Eastern Pacific: 21.11 [Normal: 39]

North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]

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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 4.0625; EPAC = 16.4925; WPAC = 6.765

#14 Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Jul 29, 2013 2:43 pm

dexterlabio wrote:I know it's "acceptable" that TC activity is low for the Atlantic because the heart of the season has not set in yet. It's a different story for WPAC though. This basin can spawn a typhoon as early as May. And based on climatology, TC activity is high for the months of July and August but so far we've only seen one typhoon (Soulik).

I'm starting to think that after an active season last year, we'll be seeing a less active WPAC season this year. But what do I know lol. This could become one of those late bloomer seasons where majority of cyclone activity was concentrated in a short period.


Late blooming seasons can be very active in the Atlantic. 1961, 1998, and 2004 come to mind. The Galveston Hurricane of 1900 was the first one recorded in 1900. I am sure more storms formed in 1900, but probably not a lot as there was an El Nino that time. I notice that some of the deadliest seasons occurred in late starting seasons. I get the feeling late blooming seasons are more dangerous as people become more complacent.
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#15 Postby Ntxw » Mon Aug 05, 2013 10:24 am

Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week 8/5:
______________________________

N. Hemisphere: 73.5250 [Normal: 146]

Western Pacific: 33.0825 [Normal: 82]

North Atlantic: 6.55 (was revised from last reading) [Normal: 9]

Eastern Pacific: 28.515 [Normal: 47]

North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]

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CPC 8/5/13=Nino 3.4 (-0.2C) Nino 3 (-0.8C) Nino 1+2 (-1.3C)

#16 Postby wxman57 » Mon Aug 05, 2013 11:15 am

Here's Ryan Maue's website with current and normal ACE levels:

http://policlimate.com/tropical/

East Pac is at 28.5, normal is 47 for this point in the season. That's 61.7% of normal.

West Pac is at 33, normal is 82 - that's 40% of normal.

Atlantic is at 6.6, normal is 9 for today's date.
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Re: CPC 8/5/13=Nino 3.4 (-0.2C) Nino 3 (-0.8C) Nino 1+2 (-1.3C)

#17 Postby Ptarmigan » Tue Aug 06, 2013 9:32 am

wxman57 wrote:Here's Ryan Maue's website with current and normal ACE levels:

http://policlimate.com/tropical/

East Pac is at 28.5, normal is 47 for this point in the season. That's 61.7% of normal.

West Pac is at 33, normal is 82 - that's 40% of normal.

Atlantic is at 6.6, normal is 9 for today's date.


ATL is within normal. WPAC and EPAC seem quieter than normal. Wonder why. Of course if a season has a rather quiet start, it can go into overdrive.
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Re:

#18 Postby Ntxw » Mon Aug 12, 2013 4:57 pm

Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week as of 8/12:
______________________________

N. Hemisphere: 95.8125 [Normal: 169 - 57% of normal]

Western Pacific: 44.89 [Normal: 94 - 48% of normal]

North Atlantic: 6.55 [Normal: 12 - 54% of normal]

Eastern Pacific: 38.995 [Normal: 55 - 71% of normal]

North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]

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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 6.555 ; EPAC = 25.31 ; WPAC = 30,5125

#19 Postby Ntxw » Mon Aug 19, 2013 11:13 am

Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week as of 8/19:
______________________________

N. Hemisphere: 109.0950 [Normal: 192 - 57% of normal]

Western Pacific: 53.1375 [Normal: 106 - 50% of normal]

North Atlantic: 7.775 [Normal: 17 - 45% of normal]

Eastern Pacific: 38.995 [Normal: 61 - 64% of normal]

North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]

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Re: 2013: ACE - ATL = 6.555 ; EPAC = 25.31 ; WPAC = 30,5125

#20 Postby Ntxw » Mon Aug 26, 2013 10:27 am

Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week as of 8/26, Fernand added some values to the Atlantic and I will try to update it as any new data comes in:
______________________________

N. Hemisphere: 116.3950 [Normal: 224 - 52% of normal]

Western Pacific: 56.8475 [Normal: 120 - 47% of normal]

North Atlantic: 8.3025 [Normal: 24 - 35% of normal]

Eastern Pacific: 39.52 [Normal: 71 - 56% of normal]

North Indian: 5.3775 [Normal: 7]

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Edit Update: Site adjusted North Atlantic value down a bit from Ferdnand
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