2014 EPAC Season

[galaxy401]

Trudy ends the streak of each named storm becoming a hurricane. Quite an impressive streak though.

[Kingarabian]

Super long GFS has Ana recurving and hitting SoCal (lol).

Also has development in the deep Epac and a potential basin crosser.

Also has a strong hurricane off Mexico.

MJO/WWB?

[hurricanes1234]

What letter do you all think we'll make it to?

[Yellow Evan]

What letter do you all think we'll make it to?

W probs. Maybe V, maybe X.

[Yellow Evan]

Super long GFS has Ana recurving and hitting SoCal (lol).

Also has development in the deep Epac and a potential basin crosser.

Also has a strong hurricane off Mexico.

MJO/WWB?

We have MJO help and a slight CCKW coming.

[Yellow Evan]

Guess what?

An area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles
south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec late this weekend or early next
week. Environmental conditions are conducive for gradual development
of this system after that time while the low drifts generally
northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT THU OCT 23 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A trough of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south-
southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is producing disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are not
expected to be favorable for tropical cyclone formation during the
next couple of days. However, these conditions are forecast to
become conducive for development of this system after that time
while the low drifts generally northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT OCT 25 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Showers and thunderstorms have increased near a broad area of low
pressure centered a couple hundred miles south of the Gulf of
Tehuantepec. Environmental conditions are forecast to become
increasingly conducive for some development after Sunday, and
tropical cyclone formation is likely by the middle of next week
while the system drifts toward the west-northwest or northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Blake

[cycloneye]

Invest 93E is up

[euro6208]

Ana, 2nd furthest north hurricane in the Central Pacific...

[Iune]

What about Fausto 2002, it looks to be a bit more north than Ana.

[Yellow Evan]

What about Fausto 2002, it looks to be a bit more north than Ana.

Was not a hurricane at Ana's latitude.

[Iune]

Oh, I misinterpreted your statement I just thought it was most northern system that achieved hurricane status.

[Ntxw]

EPAC's seasonal ACE currently stands around 190 points or 8th place. It only needs a few points to surpass 1984 and 1985 to move into 6th which I think will probably happen with the next potential system. If it can crack 200 points then it may have a shot at 1993, 1983, and 1978 and move into the top 5 if we can crank out 2 more decent hurricanes from. The top two 1992 and 1990 looks to remain out of reach realistically.

[cycloneye]

I know is getting very late to get there but does anyone has the list of the Greek names for EPAC?

[Extratropical94]

The Greek Alphabet goes like this:

Alpha
Beta
Gamma
Delta
Epsilon
Zeta
Eta
Theta
Iota
Kappa
Lambda
Mu
Nu
Xi
Omicron
Pi
Rho
Sigma
Tau
Upsilon
Phi
Chi
Psi
Omega

[cycloneye]

A low pressure system located about 1100 miles southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is showing some signs
of organization. Slow development of this system is possible before
upper-level winds become less favorable by early next week. The low
is expected to move toward the west-southwest at 5 to 10 mph over
the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low..10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

[hurricanes1234]

Does it look like anything else will develop before the end of the season?

[Yellow Evan]

Does it look like anything else will develop before the end of the season?

Maye when MJO comes around.

[HurricaneRyan]

We got Vance. Maybe we'll get Winnie or Xina