2014 WPAC Season

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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#481 Postby euro6208 » Sun Aug 31, 2014 2:56 am

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Another Typhoon for Japan...
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#482 Postby euro6208 » Sun Aug 31, 2014 3:05 am

CMC

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GFS

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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#483 Postby euro6208 » Sun Aug 31, 2014 7:07 am

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Persistent area of LP maybe a TD that doesn't do much for 8 days!

CMC on the other hand develops this into a 957 mb typhoon!

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Developing Fung-Wong over the CNMI...
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#484 Postby euro6208 » Sun Aug 31, 2014 7:38 am

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Past 30 days, look how dry the West Pacific is...lol...

Remarkable for the climatological peak of the season...
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#485 Postby euro6208 » Sun Aug 31, 2014 7:54 am

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It's coming...
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#486 Postby euro6208 » Mon Sep 01, 2014 3:28 am

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Impressive circulation with this ULL that some models transition and develop down the road ranging from a weak depression to a strong typhoon...
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#487 Postby euro6208 » Mon Sep 01, 2014 3:53 am

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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#488 Postby Ptarmigan » Mon Sep 01, 2014 9:21 pm

I have never seen a quiet WPAC in August as it is normally active.
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#489 Postby Steve820 » Tue Sep 02, 2014 10:50 pm

The WPac has been unusually quiet during August. Seriously, when's the next named storm going to form?
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#490 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Wed Sep 03, 2014 5:22 am

Steve820 wrote:The WPac has been unusually quiet during August. Seriously, when's the next named storm going to form?

If the models pan out, it would be next week. The GFS and ECMWF have been showing a fairly strong typhoon for several runs (IDK now) which straddles and skirts the coast of Tokyo area. The CMC shows a very active month, with many tropical storms and typhoons forming, but is still fantasyland. :P
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#491 Postby somethingfunny » Wed Sep 03, 2014 5:31 am

Do you know if this potential typhoon all of the models have been latching onto is 90W or 91W?
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#492 Postby mrbagyo » Wed Sep 03, 2014 9:59 am

mrbagyo wrote:hahaha, :cheesy: next in line in PAGASA's naming list --- "KANOR" - that name has been a legend here in the Philippines...


Pagasa officially dropped the name "Kanor" and replaced it with "Karding"
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Re:

#493 Postby euro6208 » Wed Sep 03, 2014 10:09 am

somethingfunny wrote:Do you know if this potential typhoon all of the models have been latching onto is 90W or 91W?


I think it's 91W as now it is upgraded to a MEDIUM from JTWC and looks to be the dominant system...
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#494 Postby euro6208 » Wed Sep 03, 2014 11:18 am

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#495 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Thu Sep 04, 2014 4:26 am

Well reverse would happen. If there was a strong supressive MJO, there would be a strong convective and inducive MJO. The basin's starting to wake up and possibly will explode like last year's season.
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#496 Postby euro6208 » Thu Sep 04, 2014 10:36 am

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WPAC at September 05...

Impressive dull!

Although it is getting more active with widespread convection...

Perfect SST, Moist Environment, Low shear, No dry air...

Monster reawakening...
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#497 Postby somethingfunny » Thu Sep 04, 2014 12:26 pm

Image CANADIAN MODEL SHENANIGANS Image

Image
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#498 Postby euro6208 » Fri Sep 05, 2014 12:29 am

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Fengshen and little Kalmaegi
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#499 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Fri Sep 05, 2014 4:23 am

Cyclone pattern this year somewhat resembles a typical El Niño year. Perhaps the WPAC will encounter its most inte se season since 2004 or 2006
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#500 Postby euro6208 » Fri Sep 05, 2014 10:17 am

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No longer develops Kalmaegi but still shows Typhoon Fengshen...
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