2014 WPAC Season

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euro6208
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#461 Postby euro6208 » Mon Aug 25, 2014 5:58 am

somethingfunny wrote:
euro6208 wrote:The last time we had less than 2 TC in August?

Back in 1977


http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/w_pacific/1977/index.php


1997 had Supertyphoon Winnie, Typhoon Amber, and Tropical Storms Yule, Zita, and Cass all form and exist entirely within August within the WPAC....along with Scott, Tina, Victor, and Bing existing within August but extending into July or September.

Has there ever been an August in the WPAC without a single tropical cyclone formation? Nakri and Halong originated in July and Genevieve originated in the East and that's all the WPAC has had all month long thus far.


Looked through the JTWC achieve, None so far...

Like 1977, I found a few years with only one formation in August late 40's early 50's...
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#462 Postby euro6208 » Mon Aug 25, 2014 6:02 am

Latest EURO and GFS runs continues to show a quiet period ahead...

CMC has this...I counted +5 TC's in this run... :lol:

Image
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#463 Postby mrbagyo » Mon Aug 25, 2014 10:25 pm

hahaha, :cheesy: next in line in PAGASA's naming list --- "KANOR" - that name has been a legend here in the Philippines...
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#464 Postby euro6208 » Tue Aug 26, 2014 9:22 am

http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mimic-tpw/wpac/main.html

Plenty of Moisture with no signs of dry air as shown in this Total Precipitable Water that covers a very large area...
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#465 Postby euro6208 » Tue Aug 26, 2014 12:39 pm

Image

CMC...
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#466 Postby euro6208 » Wed Aug 27, 2014 11:12 am

Image
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#467 Postby euro6208 » Wed Aug 27, 2014 12:02 pm

Image

12Z GFS showing something long range...EURO nothing though...

Image

CMC agrees too in almost the same location but stronger...
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#468 Postby euro6208 » Thu Aug 28, 2014 1:30 am

Image
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#469 Postby euro6208 » Thu Aug 28, 2014 1:34 am

Image
Image

Current and 180 hour forecast. Those darker colors sure doesn't want to go away...
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#470 Postby euro6208 » Thu Aug 28, 2014 1:42 am

Image

Big MJO next month...
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#471 Postby euro6208 » Thu Aug 28, 2014 1:55 am

00Z GFS has a far weaker storm maybe only a TD while CMC deepens this to 967 mb :lol: southeast of Japan...
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#472 Postby euro6208 » Thu Aug 28, 2014 9:45 am

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fvNlN52qCkA

Western Pacific Storm Chasers?
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#473 Postby euro6208 » Thu Aug 28, 2014 12:31 pm

Image

12Z has a LPA east of Marianas...

Image

NAVGEM...nothing...
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#474 Postby euro6208 » Fri Aug 29, 2014 1:16 am

Image

JMA (10 min) records show first time since 1950...
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#475 Postby euro6208 » Fri Aug 29, 2014 10:45 am

Latest models quiet so far... 8-)
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#476 Postby mrbagyo » Fri Aug 29, 2014 10:53 am

euro6208 wrote:Latest models quiet so far... 8-)


West Pacific is Tanking hard.
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#477 Postby somethingfunny » Sat Aug 30, 2014 2:12 am

euro6208 wrote:Image

JMA (10 min) records show first time since 1950...


I'm pretty sure that 98W was a tropical storm though.
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#478 Postby euro6208 » Sat Aug 30, 2014 2:57 am

somethingfunny wrote:
euro6208 wrote:
JMA (10 min) records show first time since 1950...


I'm pretty sure that 98W was a tropical storm though.


I'm pretty sure in postseason analysis it will be upgraded to an unnamed TS 13W...
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#479 Postby euro6208 » Sat Aug 30, 2014 5:53 am

Image

EURO 240 hours

Image

06Z 120 hours

Image

06Z 336 hours

Image

06Z 384 hours
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Re: 2014 WPAC Season

#480 Postby euro6208 » Sat Aug 30, 2014 9:37 pm

Image

2 Tropical Cyclones

Image

Fengshen makes landfall in Japan

Image

Kalmaegi does a 360 loop and strengthens!

CMC develops both systems as well, EURO develops only Fengshen...
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