2014: ACE - ATL = 65.1 EPAC = 182.25 WPAC =273.577
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 14.2625 EPAC = 87.09 ; WPAC = 127.942
The Pacific basins remain above average to date. Atlantic has finally fallen slightly below average as the ACE normals begins to climb at a faster pace. Lets see where we stand in a few weeks as peak of Atlantic season is quickly approaching. This is where bulk of ACE averages are collected and can hint at what the finish may be like.
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 14.2625 EPAC = 91.1125 ; WPAC = 127.94
Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week as of 8/18/2014. The Atlantic and WPAC have not added any, mostly EPAC. WPAC will remain under the influence of a bad MJO being in the unfavorable phases while the Atlantic has now slipped to below average with more significant activity needed in order to keep pace with rising ACE climo. Watch the EPAC the next two weeks could rack up some serious points.
N. Hemisphere: 238.8870 [Normal: 192 - 124% of normal]
Western Pacific: 127.942 [Normal: 106 - 120% of normal]
North Atlantic: 14.2625 [Normal: 17 - 83% of normal]
Eastern Pacific: 92.275 [Normal: 61 - 151% of normal]
North Indian: 4.4075 [Normal: 7 - 62% of normal]
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
N. Hemisphere: 238.8870 [Normal: 192 - 124% of normal]
Western Pacific: 127.942 [Normal: 106 - 120% of normal]
North Atlantic: 14.2625 [Normal: 17 - 83% of normal]
Eastern Pacific: 92.275 [Normal: 61 - 151% of normal]
North Indian: 4.4075 [Normal: 7 - 62% of normal]
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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- xtyphooncyclonex
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UPDATE:
West Pacific - stuck at 127.942 due to unfavorable MJO; seasonal ACE is still well above normal
North Atlantic - stuck at 14.63; 94L is struggling to be named, but has contributed some ACE units
East Pacific - increased a lot making it now at 100.718; expected to rack up more values as Marie is forecast to be major hurricane
West Pacific - stuck at 127.942 due to unfavorable MJO; seasonal ACE is still well above normal
North Atlantic - stuck at 14.63; 94L is struggling to be named, but has contributed some ACE units
East Pacific - increased a lot making it now at 100.718; expected to rack up more values as Marie is forecast to be major hurricane
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- xtyphooncyclonex
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East Pacific is now at exactly 103 due to Karina, Lowell and Marie. As Marie intensifies further, it is possible that the ACE would reach the yearly normal ACE or even exceed it (138) and that it is the highest value since 2011.
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- xtyphooncyclonex
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Please update the numbers. East Pacific is now at 104.073 due to many major hurricanes so far and for a high number of incidences of storms coexisting.
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 14.2625 EPAC = 110.728 ; WPAC = 127.94
I notice East Pacific is most affected by El Nino. El Nino is most favorable for East Pacific, since its closest to where El Nino is occuring.
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- xtyphooncyclonex
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 14.2625 EPAC = 110.728 ; WPAC = 127.94
EPAC storms by Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE)
Iselle.................................22.9425
Julio..................................21.665
Amanda.............................18.7475
Marie**.............................13.4175
Karina*...............................12.7275
Cristina..............................12.4025
Lowell................................4.97
Genevieve***...............................3
Hernan...............................2.9375
Douglas..............................2.7975
Elida..................................1.0925
Fausto...............................0.8475
Wali...................................0.4425
Boris..................................0.3675
TOTAL...............................118.3575
***Crossed the IDL; 21.3925 of its energy was racked up when it was over the WPAC.
**CURRENTLY ACTIVE @ 125 KTS
*CURRENTLY ACTIVE @ 35 KTS
Iselle.................................22.9425
Julio..................................21.665
Amanda.............................18.7475
Marie**.............................13.4175
Karina*...............................12.7275
Cristina..............................12.4025
Lowell................................4.97
Genevieve***...............................3
Hernan...............................2.9375
Douglas..............................2.7975
Elida..................................1.0925
Fausto...............................0.8475
Wali...................................0.4425
Boris..................................0.3675
TOTAL...............................118.3575
***Crossed the IDL; 21.3925 of its energy was racked up when it was over the WPAC.
**CURRENTLY ACTIVE @ 125 KTS
*CURRENTLY ACTIVE @ 35 KTS
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 14.2625 EPAC = 121.24; WPAC = 127.94
EPAC is close to surpass the WPAC,wow. I never thought the EPAC would be the leader above the WPAC but is going to occur. Updated the latest EPAC numbers with the 2 PM PDT advisory at 115kts.
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 14.2625 EPAC = 121.24; WPAC = 127.94
cycloneye wrote:EPAC is close to surpass the WPAC,wow. I never thought the EPAC would be the leader above the WPAC but is going to occur. Updated the latest EPAC numbers with the 2 PM PDT advisory at 115kts.
For what it's worth, (an ACE point or two), it's very likely that a tropical storm was just completely missed by JMA and JTWC.
viewtopic.php?f=76&t=116660&start=0&st=0&sk=t&sd=a
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 14.2625 EPAC = 121.24; WPAC = 127.94
cycloneye wrote:EPAC is close to surpass the WPAC,wow. I never thought the EPAC would be the leader above the WPAC but is going to occur. Updated the latest EPAC numbers with the 2 PM PDT advisory at 115kts.
Impressive in that it's not the WPAC has been slacking, it's above normal. To be near it is quite a feat, the EPAC is experiencing what a normal WPAC season experiences to date. That's saying quite a bit given EPAC total annual activity is usually half that on average of the WPAC.
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 15.695 EPAC = 121.24; WPAC = 127.942
Updated numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site for this week as of 8/26/2014. Impressive EPAC continues to add with Marie putting up most of the numbers. One of the fastest starts to date for the EPAC closer to seen in the 80s and 90s. WPAC is slow/non existent but will pick up in a few weeks. These two basins, the Pacific Ocean as a whole is maintaining above normal global ACE. Atlantic has Cristobal which will add a few, probably not enough to get back to normal since ACE average rises nearly 2 per day moving into peak depending when it transitions from tropical to extratoprical.
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N. Hemisphere: 271.6520 [Normal: 224 - 121% of normal]
Western Pacific: 127.942 [Normal: 120 - 106% of normal]
North Atlantic: 16.9625 [Normal: 24 - 70% of normal]
Eastern Pacific: 122.34 [Normal: 71 - 172% of normal] *Closing in on annual total average ACE at 138
North Indian: 4.4075 [Normal: 7 - 62% of normal]
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
______________________________
N. Hemisphere: 271.6520 [Normal: 224 - 121% of normal]
Western Pacific: 127.942 [Normal: 120 - 106% of normal]
North Atlantic: 16.9625 [Normal: 24 - 70% of normal]
Eastern Pacific: 122.34 [Normal: 71 - 172% of normal] *Closing in on annual total average ACE at 138
North Indian: 4.4075 [Normal: 7 - 62% of normal]
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 20.1125 EPAC = 125.33; WPAC = 127.942
Holiday tomorrow, so I'm going to post this a little earlier this week. Numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site as of 8/31/2014. Global ACE will be slow this week with little TC activity currently and none expected for several days in any basin. 99L may form something but it is very close to land so ACE count probably won't be much. Week 2 of Sept definitely 3 may pick up again in ACE.
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N. Hemisphere: 280.0795 [Normal: 250 - 112% of normal]
Western Pacific: 127.942 [Normal: 132 - 96% of normal]
North Atlantic: 21.515 [Normal: 32 - 67% of normal]
Eastern Pacific: 126.215 [Normal: 77 - 163% of normal] *Closing in on annual total average ACE at 138
North Indian: 4.4075 [Normal: 7 - 62% of normal]
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
______________________________
N. Hemisphere: 280.0795 [Normal: 250 - 112% of normal]
Western Pacific: 127.942 [Normal: 132 - 96% of normal]
North Atlantic: 21.515 [Normal: 32 - 67% of normal]
Eastern Pacific: 126.215 [Normal: 77 - 163% of normal] *Closing in on annual total average ACE at 138
North Indian: 4.4075 [Normal: 7 - 62% of normal]
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 20.1125 EPAC = 125.33; WPAC = 127.942
ACE/Storm By Basin
N. Hemisphere: 8.75 ACE/Storm
Western Pacific: 9.84 ACE/Storm
North Atlantic: 7.17 ACE/Storm
Eastern Pacific: 8.95 ACE/Storm
North Indian: 4.41 ACE/Storm
The Atlantic ACE/Storm is far higher than 2013.
N. Hemisphere: 8.75 ACE/Storm
Western Pacific: 9.84 ACE/Storm
North Atlantic: 7.17 ACE/Storm
Eastern Pacific: 8.95 ACE/Storm
North Indian: 4.41 ACE/Storm
The Atlantic ACE/Storm is far higher than 2013.
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Re: 2014: ACE - ATL = 20.1125 EPAC = 125.33; WPAC = 127.942
Ptarmigan wrote:ACE/Storm By Basin
N. Hemisphere: 8.75 ACE/Storm
Western Pacific: 9.84 ACE/Storm
North Atlantic: 7.17 ACE/Storm
Eastern Pacific: 8.95 ACE/Storm
North Indian: 4.41 ACE/Storm
The Atlantic ACE/Storm is far higher than 2013.
Sure is better ACE per storm than 2013. Being 3 out of 3 certainly helps! The Bermuda triangle has been on fire.
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Wow! Look at how close EPAC is to WPAC! I won't be surprised to see 93E make it surpass WPAC if it forms and develops.
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- Steve820
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The EPac is getting really close to beating the WPac in ACE. The WPac has been pretty inactive lately and the EPac is really catching up! I hope the WPac will be able to fight back soon!
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Re:
Steve820 wrote:The EPac is getting really close to beating the WPac in ACE.
When's the last time the EPAC outdid the WPAC in total ACE for the season?
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There was a revision on the Atlantic ACE. Updated number should be 19.9725 and 62% of normal. Sorry I missed it this morning.
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Re: Re:
Hammy wrote:Steve820 wrote:The EPac is getting really close to beating the WPac in ACE.
When's the last time the EPAC outdid the WPAC in total ACE for the season?
AFAIK never.
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