2014: ACE - ATL = 65.1 EPAC = 182.25 WPAC =273.577

[dexterlabio]

^WPAC hasn't got a fair share of MJO for 2 months now. EPAC is really taking advantage of the Kelvin wave, but even without it, EPAC still delivers. I admit, catching up ACE with EPAC is a bit of challenge for WPAC now, given that the active phase of MJO has never reached the area since early August...

But who knows... last year many thought the WPAC season was dead, until the last week of September with Super typhoon Usagi..then ended with a bang with STY Haiyan.. The last quarter of Wpac season features a number of significant TC's, especially during El Nino.

[euro6208]

WPAC, you have been surpassed!!!

Not for long.

The Epac ACE has been above the Wpac's ACE for weeks now, and there is only a weak-moderate TS ongoing in the Wpac for the next little bit so it could be long. This is very impressive.

The EPAC led by more than 20 ACE earlier this season ...WPAC/EPAC 11,31...Then increased markedly to 70/36 in just a month...

EPAC only leads by 16 and if the GFS/EURO forecast holds true, we could be looking at a very active period ahead...

Let's see if this normal typhoon season can beat this 1992 hurricane season (most active season in epac) lookalike...fascinating...

[hurricanes1234]

EPAC continues to be several units ahead of WPAC. Has a calendar year ever ended with the EPAC having a higher ACE, and therefore, more activity than the WPAC?

[xtyphooncyclonex]

^ Perhaps 1998. An extremely inactive WPAC and near normal EPAC.


BTW, 2014 EPAC ACE YTD of around 156 has already surpassed 2006 yearly total of 155.

[euro6208]

EPAC continues to be several units ahead of WPAC. Has a calendar year ever ended with the EPAC having a higher ACE, and therefore, more activity than the WPAC?

EPAC has never beaten the WPAC in ACE.

Also the most active seasons including the most active, 1992, are just normal seasons in the WPAC. That's how super active the WPAC really is and people failed to realize.

[galaxy401]

EPAC continues to be several units ahead of WPAC. Has a calendar year ever ended with the EPAC having a higher ACE, and therefore, more activity than the WPAC?

EPAC has never beaten the WPAC in ACE.

Also the most active seasons including the most active, 1992, are just normal seasons in the WPAC. That's how super active the WPAC really is and people failed to realize.

Yes we get it, you have been saying it hundreds of times already.

The WPAC has only been beaten twice from what I remember. 2005 and 2010 and both by the Atlantic.

[cycloneye]

Updated the numbers at title of the three basins as of the 15:00 UTC advisories of the three TC's being active. North Atlantic has 35+ and EPAC continue to get numbers.

[Ntxw]

Numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site as of 9/21/2014. If the season ended today (NOAA officially uses ACE to express seasonal activity, whether a season is considered above, near, or below normal) the Atlantic would rank 13th lowest just ahead of 2013, 1986, 1962 (12th) and just behind 1993. The EPAC is 12th busiest just ahead of 2006 and behind 1982. I don't have numbers for WPAC as I've not had success finding complete data for this basin. Couple of tropical storms out there globally but nothing major the next few days, so relatively quiet right now.
______________________________

N. Hemisphere: 340.6425 [Normal: 366 - 93%] Near normal

Western Pacific: 142.675 [Normal: 178 - 80%] Below normal

North Atlantic: 35.95 [Normal: 72 - 49%] Below Normal

Eastern Pacific: 157.61 [Normal: 108 - 145%] Above normal

North Indian: 4.4075 [Normal: 7 - 62% of normal]



http://policlimate.com/tropical/

[cycloneye]

Updated the numbers as of the 15:00 UTC advisories of Rachel and Kammuri.EPAC continues to be way ahead of WPAC.

[Yellow Evan]

At this point, I think there's a chance the EPAC may finish ahead of the WPAC.

[cycloneye]

Updated the ACE numbers for WPAC as it begins to gain ground against the EPAC with Typhoon PHANFONE and Invest 90W that is poised to be another powerful Typhoon down the road. EPAC will have too a TC from Invest 90E but how much ACE Simon will get is the question as it will not have plenty of time to be too strong.

[cycloneye]

WPAC is making a big comeback and is going to surpass the EPAC as it has two systems Typhoon Phanfone and strenghening Tropical Storm Vongfong adding ace units.EPAC has Simon that should not let WPAC go ahead too much but if Vongfong lasts longer and gets much stronger then WPAC will go on a sprint.

[xtyphooncyclonex]

WPAC is now AHEAD and catching UP!
WPAC is 167.12
EPAC is 166.158

[cycloneye]

WPAC gets a little bit away from EPAC with the 15:00 UTC updates of the Typhoons although Simon may not let WPAC sprint away for now.

[Yellow Evan]

Well, you also have to remember the WPAC was handed 20+ ACE units due to Genevieve. If those count for the EPAC, it's game over at this point.

[euro6208]

Well, you also have to remember the WPAC was handed 20+ ACE units due to Genevieve. If those count for the EPAC, it's game over at this point.

Reality is Genevieve crossed over to the WPAC and that's where it peaked...

[cycloneye]

WPAC has gone on a sprint as now SuperTyphoon Vongfong is raking up ACE numbers bigtime and Simon is on it's last legs. Numbers have been updated at title with the 1500z updates of both Cyclones.

http://policlimate.com/tropical/

[Ntxw]

Numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site (updated via wxbell) as of 10/07/2014. WPAC has picked up modestly ahead with Phanfone and Vongfong. EPAC added a few and Atlantic remained stable. The WPAC likely will slow down some after Vongfong (perhaps another rogue) but the fast uptick will likely face some sinking air as CCKW moves over into the EPAC. The Pacific Ocean is holding up global ACE. Also worth a mention is a system is possible by the next update over in the Bay of Bengal.
______________________________

N. Hemisphere: 396.9170 [Normal: 427 - 92%] Near normal

Western Pacific: 183.562 [Normal: 210 - 87%] Below normal

North Atlantic: 35.95 [Normal: 86 - 41%] Below Normal

Eastern Pacific: 173.12 [Normal: 122 - 141%] Above normal

North Indian: 4.4075 [Normal: 7 - 62% of normal]



http://policlimate.com/tropical/

[euro6208]

19W VONGFONG
Current 75 knots
Peak 155 knots
ACE 41.5625

What an incredible storm...Highest ACE for any storm in the world this year also beats the ACE for the 2013 and 2014 Atlantic season ACE...Catching up to climo...

WPAC ACE
Current 211.695
Normal YTD 215
% of Normal YTD 98%
Yearly Climo 302

98% of normal which is 215

[euro6208]