Tropical Wave WSW of the Cape Verde Islands

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Hurricaneman
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Tropical Wave WSW of the Cape Verde Islands

#1 Postby Hurricaneman » Sun Jul 06, 2014 2:34 pm

This tropical wave seems to have a good MLC but could this develop farther west
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#2 Postby hurricanes1234 » Sun Jul 06, 2014 2:42 pm

I noticed this large wave yesterday as well when I looked at the TWO. In my opinion it has to first cross the Sahara dust before any potential development occurs.
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#3 Postby TheAustinMan » Sun Jul 06, 2014 4:45 pm

It's a good looking storm for this time of year, but I'm very doubtful it'll develop. First it will have to push through the intense Saharan Air Layer between the Lesser Antilles and Cape Verde, and then make its way through intense tradewinds and at the moment increasing wind shear in the Eastern Caribbean. Conditions in the western Caribbean don't seem to be all that great either. (Forecast track based on 700-850 mbar steering flows) I may be proven wrong but I think the chances are very slim with all these obstacles in its path.

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Re: Tropical Wave South of the Cape Verde Islands

#4 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 06, 2014 7:58 pm

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 08N21W TO 14N24W MOVING W AT 15-20
KT. THE WAVE EMERGED OFF THE WEST AFRICAN COAST YESTERDAY AND
CONTINUES TO KEEP A RELATIVELY IMPRESSIVE SATELLITE PRESENTATION
THROUGH TODAY. AN EARLIER ASCAT PASS AROUND 06/1132 UTC
INDICATED THE WAVE EXHIBITED STRONG WINDS ALONG AND EAST OF THE
WAVE AXIS ACROSS AN AREA S-SE OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. AS OF
THIS EVENING...SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 04N-09N
BETWEEN 21W-29W.
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Re: Tropical Wave South of the Cape Verde Islands

#5 Postby blp » Mon Jul 07, 2014 2:43 pm

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#6 Postby Steve820 » Mon Jul 07, 2014 4:22 pm

I really don't think it'll develop. There's too many obstacles in its path.
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#7 Postby Gustywind » Mon Jul 07, 2014 4:35 pm

SAL party in store for this impressive sat appareance twave... Let's wait and see if something could happen from this feature.
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#8 Postby USTropics » Mon Jul 07, 2014 9:01 pm

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 11N29W TO 03N30W MOVING W AT 20 KT. A
MID-LEVEL VORTEX IS NEAR 07N30W. THE SYSTEM HAS MAINTAINED AN
IMPRESSIVE SATELLITE PRESENTATION WITH DEEP CONVECTION INTACT
SINCE LEAVING WEST AFRICA. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS W OF
THE WAVE AXIS FROM 6N-9N BETWEEN 31W-34W. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
WITHIN 90 NM OF THE TROUGH AXIS S OF 6N.

It is far enough south that it's sort of in a pocket clear of SAL at the present moment.

Image
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