2014 TCRs

[galaxy401]

The first report (Boris) has come out so might as well start the discussion topic.

Atlantic:
Arthur http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL012014_Arthur.pdf (Original: 85 knts/973 mb, Update: 972 mb)
Two http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL022014_Two.pdf (Original: 30 knts/1012 mb, Update: Unchanged)
Bertha http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL032014_Bertha.pdf (Original: 70 knts/998 mb, Update: Unchanged)
Cristobal http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL042014_Cristobal.pdf (Original: 75 knts/970 mb, Update: 965 mb)
Dolly http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL052014_Dolly.pdf (Original: 45 knts/1002 mb, Update: 1000 mb)
Edouard http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL062014_Edouard.pdf (Original: 100 knts/955 mb, Update: 105 knts)
Fay http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL072014_Fay.pdf (Original: 65 knts/986 mb, Update: 70 knts/983 mb)
Gonzalo http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL082014_Gonzalo.pdf (Original: 125 knts/940 mb, Update: Unchanged)
Hanna http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL092014_Hanna.pdf (Original: 35 knts/1000 mb, Update: Unchanged)

E Pacific:
Amanda http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP012014_Amanda.pdf (Original: 135 knts/932 mb, Update: Unchanged)
Boris http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP022014_Boris.pdf (Original: 35 knts/999 mb, Update: 40 knts/998 mb)
Cristina http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP032014_Cristina.pdf (Original: 130 knts/935 mb, Update: Unchanged)
Douglas http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP042014_Douglas.pdf (Original: 40 knts/1000 mb, Update: 45 knts/998 mb)
Elida http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP052014_Elida.pdf (Original: 45 knts/1003 mb, Update: 1002 mb)
Fausto http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP062014_Fausto.pdf (Original: 40 knts/1004 mb, Update: Unchanged)
Genevieve http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP072014_Genevieve.pdf (Original: EPAC: 115 knts/960 mb, WPAC: 140 knts/915 mb, Update: Unchanged)
Hernan http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP082014_Hernan.pdf (Original: 65 knts/992 mb, Update: Unchanged)
Iselle http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP092014_Iselle.pdf (Original: 120 knts/947 mb, Update: Unchanged)
Julio http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP102014_Julio.pdf (Original: 105 knts/962 mb, Update: 960 mb)
Karina http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP112014_Karina.pdf (Original: 70 knts/988 mb, Update: 75 knts/983 mb)
Lowell http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP122014_Lowell.pdf (Original: 65 knts/982 mb, Update: 980 mb)
Marie http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP132014_Marie.pdf (Original: 140 knts/918 mb, Update: Unchanged)
Norbert http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP142014_Norbert.pdf (Original: 105 knts/957 mb, Update: 110 knts/950 mb)
Odile http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP152014_Odile.pdf (Original: 115 knts/922 mb, Update: 120 knts/918 mb)
Sixteen-E http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP162014_Sixteen-E.pdf (Original: 30 knts/1006 mb, Update: 1005 mb)
Polo http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP172014_Polo.pdf (Original: 65 knts/981 mb, Update: 979 mb)
Rachel http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP182014_Rachel.pdf (Original: 75 knts/981 mb, Update: 980 mb)
Simon http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP192014_Simon.pdf (Original: 115 knts/946 mb, Update: Unchanged)
Trudy http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP202014_Trudy.pdf (Original: 50 knts/999 mb, Update: 55 knts/998 mb)
Vance http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP212014_Vance.pdf (Original: 95 knts/965 mb, Update: 964 mb)

[Yellow Evan]

BTW, Boris's landfall was removed.

[Hammy]

I've noticed several systems in the pacific over the years where a storm 'makes landfall' and then is removed in the post analysis--do the mountains prevent weaker systems from successfully making it ashore?

[Yellow Evan]

I've noticed several systems in the pacific over the years where a storm 'makes landfall' and then is removed in the post analysis

This hasn't happened since I started tracking the EPAC in 2004 sans arguably one.

[TropicalAnalystwx13]

I've noticed several systems in the pacific over the years where a storm 'makes landfall' and then is removed in the post analysis--do the mountains prevent weaker systems from successfully making it ashore?

Yes. Dry air off the high mountains of Mexico typically disrupts systems as they move towards the coast.

[CrazyC83]

In that case, didn't they have a hard time finding the LLC?

[galaxy401]

Cristina and Elida have been issued.

[galaxy401]

Fausto is now out.

[galaxy401]

Amanda is now out. No category 5 though.

[CrazyC83]

I think the fact that one agency only had T6.5 precluded an upgrade to Cat 5.

[Yellow Evan]

I think the fact that one agency only had T6.5 precluded an upgrade to Cat 5.

Agreed, but SAB was limited to T6.5 due to constraints. It's the Igor of the EPAC.

[supercane4867]

I think the fact that one agency only had T6.5 precluded an upgrade to Cat 5.

Agreed, but SAB was limited to T6.5 due to constraints. It's the Igor of the EPAC.

Both SAB and TAFB had Igor at T7.0. The only reason for no cat.5 in that case was ADT didn't quite reach CI7.0 which I think is more embarrassing than Amanda

[galaxy401]

First report from the Atlantic, TD Two, now out.

[CrazyC83]

Interesting the TD2 reports says it might have been briefly a tropical storm, based on an ASCAT pass. However, the data was not conclusive enough to warrant an upgrade, since the satellite signature was pathetic at the time (T1.5)

[Hammy]

Interesting the TD2 reports says it might have been briefly a tropical storm, based on an ASCAT pass. However, the data was not conclusive enough to warrant an upgrade, since the satellite signature was pathetic at the time (T1.5)

Hopefully with the higher-resolution quikscat replacement, there will be a little less uncertainty in these types of systems in the future. Odd to note as well that the Atlantic systems are so slow to come out, meanwhile several Pacific systems (including some of the stronger ones) already had reports out for some time prior to this.

[galaxy401]

Interesting the TD2 reports says it might have been briefly a tropical storm, based on an ASCAT pass. However, the data was not conclusive enough to warrant an upgrade, since the satellite signature was pathetic at the time (T1.5)

Hopefully with the higher-resolution quikscat replacement, there will be a little less uncertainty in these types of systems in the future. Odd to note as well that the Atlantic systems are so slow to come out, meanwhile several Pacific systems (including some of the stronger ones) already had reports out for some time prior to this.

It should be noted that the Pacific reports have been early in the season. Most of them existed before TD Two in the Atlantic.

[CrazyC83]

Honestly I would have gone ahead and upgraded TD2. Yes, the satellite signature was not supportive, but Bertha and Cristobal both became hurricanes (Recon-proven) with T2.5 and T3.0 signatures.

[galaxy401]

After a brief pause, Hurricane Hernan is now out.

[galaxy401]

Karina is now out. The NHC also updated Boris's report to include some wind reports from Mexico.

[CrazyC83]

Karina was one of the longest lived EPAC storms in the satellite era (which never entered the CPAC).