possibility of GOM action later in week? (is INVEST 98L)
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- wxman57
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Re: possibility of GOM action later in week?
Quite impressive this morning. Tight LLC and convection increasing rapidly. Might be classified as a TD shortly.
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Good morning Chris. Looks like one of those small, quick, spinups, the northwest Gulf is so famous for. I have the center from KHGX radar and offshore platforms near 27.4 north and 93.9 west. Winds look to only be about 20-25 knots max. Still quite a bit of west-southwest shear but I agree that it could become a TD as it moves generally west to west-southwest.
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- JtSmarts
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Re: possibility of GOM action later in week?
Hmmm, wonder what the NHC will say at 8. They could dramatically increase develop chances from 10%.
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Re: possibility of GOM action later in week?
Moving a good bit slower this morning so it'll have more time over the warm gulf waters. Is the shear progged to conitue?
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Re: possibility of GOM action later in week?
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M a r k
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- cycloneye
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Re: possibility of GOM action later in week?
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a weak low
pressure area located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico has
increased during the past few hours. Some additional development is
possible before the system moves inland over southern Texas and
northern Mexico on Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
pressure area located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico has
increased during the past few hours. Some additional development is
possible before the system moves inland over southern Texas and
northern Mexico on Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
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Re: possibility of GOM action later in week?
cycloneye wrote:Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a weak low
pressure area located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico has
increased during the past few hours. Some additional development is
possible before the system moves inland over southern Texas and
northern Mexico on Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Well at least they doubled the chances .....I would put the chance for development much better than 20 percent.
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Re: possibility of GOM action later in week?
Wow I thought they would go higher than that. Recon is scheduled to lift off in about 5 hrs.
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Re: possibility of GOM action later in week?
wxman57 wrote:Quite impressive this morning. Tight LLC and convection increasing rapidly. Might be classified as a TD shortly.
wxman57 is ex 97L the system you think might develop in in caribbean later this weekend.
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- cycloneye
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Re: possibility of GOM action later in week?
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Re: possibility of GOM action later in week?
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M a r k
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