NE GOM.....

[Dean4Storms]

Some convection and turning showing up and now the 12Z GEM develops a closed Low. Might need watching, never know.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-vis.html


http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/CMC_12z/cmc60.html

[JKingTampa]

No end in sight for rain here in St. Petersburg lol.

[tropicwatch]

No worries we have 40, 50, & 60kt wind shear in town

[fwbbreeze]

Hey Dean...check the NWS radar out of Mobile. Strangest thing I think I have seen.

[ronjon]

Some convection and turning showing up and now the 12Z GEM develops a closed Low. Might need watching, never know.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-vis.html


http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/CMC_12z/cmc60.html

The 12z NAVGEM shows development too. Noticed some 850 mb vorticity in the latest run of 12z GFS too. Something to watch over the next several days as the tail end of the trough can sometimes develop.

[tropicwatch]

Hey Dean...check the NWS radar out of Mobile. Strangest thing I think I have seen.

We have the same thing going on in the panhandle too.

[StarmanHDB]

Based on the last few frames of the vis sat, I'm definitely seeing some type of (cyclonic) turning around 27N, 88W.

[wxman57]

Based on the last few frames of the vis sat, I'm definitely seeing some type of (cyclonic) turning around 27N, 88W.

Surface obs and visible imagery indicate rotation near 28N/90W.

[StarmanHDB]

Based on the last few frames of the vis sat, I'm definitely seeing some type of (cyclonic) turning around 27N, 88W.

Surface obs and visible imagery indicate rotation near 28N/90W.

Thanks WX! It must be the angle of my perch. Great view from here!

[tropicwatch]

There is a fairly large elongated area of vorticity in the central gulf.

[ronjon]

18z GFS now develops low pressure in the gulf and slowly meanders it to the northcentral gulf coast.

[Dean4Storms]

Going to need watching, got some SE winds picking up through the day here.

[Nimbus]

Wasn't supposed to show up on radar till it crossed back over Florida and headed up the gulf stream.
Oh well at least its not an invest and Florida got the rain for the wells.

FEMA has my house listed as in an extreme flood risk area but no problems here.
Neighbors are getting some flooding though.

http://www.myfoxtampabay.com/story/2541 ... s-in-tampa

[HurricaneBelle]

Posted this in the Odile remnants in gulf thread before I noticed this one:

It appears that's there some sort of circulation (mid-level or otherwise) off the FL West Coast, noticing that echoes north of the Tampa Bay area are heading west into the gulf while those south are heading east onshore.

https://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/image ... flanim.gif

[tropicwatch]

Watched the UConn USF game that was played Tampa. Heavy rain during the entire game.

[caneman]

IT has been a deluge here in the Clearwater area.

[Frank P]

Storms have been on the increase late this afternoon and the area has drifted to the south central GOM....

[floridasun78]

Storms have been on the increase late this afternoon and the area has drifted to the south central GOM....

i watching this area to see move into nw carribbean

[tailgater]

Some rotation down south Mobile, T-storms limited, shear nearby and likely to head NE but maybe a slight chance IHMO probably less than5% but hey it's quiet in here during the peak of Hurricane season.
Pros please wiegh in


850mb voricity


Lower Convergence

Upper Divergence


shear

200mb voricity not a good sign for development


Sorry about all the images

[TheStormExpert]

Off topic but, wind shear has seem to calm some throughout the Caribbean (especially NW Caribb.) for now.