Central Atlantic Invest (Is Invest 96L)

[Sanibel]

NOAA satellite Floater just Invested that Central Atlantic disturbance I called in the other thread.


It looks too weak and sheared to form.

[Gustywind]

NOAA satellite Floater just Invested that Central Atlantic disturbance I called in the other thread.


It looks too weak and sheared to form.

That's it

TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 14N55W TO 22N53W MOVING W AT 10-15
KT. THE WAVE REMAINS RELATIVELY WEAK AND COINCIDES WITH LOW TO
MIDDLE LEVEL TROUGHING BETWEEN 49W-57W. THE WAVE IS BEGINNING TO
MOVE BENEATH THE INFLUENCE OF SOUTHWESTERLY MIDDLE TO UPPER
LEVEL FLOW ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
CENTERED NEAR 26N57W WHICH IS PROVIDING AN OVERALL HIGH WIND
SHEAR ENVIRONMENT AND AN OVERALL LACK OF ANY SIGNIFICANT DEEP
CONVECTION AT THIS TIME.

[Gustywind]

From SSD...

24/1745 UTC 14.0N 44.7W T1.0/1.0 INVEST

[cycloneye]

As soon this is designated as 96L if they do so,the thread will be locked.

SSD Floater of Invest without number

[northjaxpro]

If I am wrong I will eat much crow, but the Atlantic basin is about as dead as can be. Getting very late now in the season for waves east of 50 degrees longitude to develop. The shear graveyard which is Caribbean continues on, and with some degree of an El Nino type of pattern settling in now, I am just about ready to call it a season folks. We may see a weak TS in October, but outside of Arthur's landfall on the NC Outer Banks back in June, it has been a very quiet season in 2014. Let's be extremely grateful for that and count our blessings once again.

[WeatherGuesser]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED SEP 24 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Brown

[floridasun78]

so this invest or was error by SSD?

[Hammy]

so this invest or was error by SSD?

It appears to be something similar to the tight system last year near Barbados, where there is no development probability (yet) but they decided it was still worth putting a floater over to monitor.

[floridasun78]

so this invest or was error by SSD?

It appears to be something similar to the tight system last year near Barbados, where there is no development probability (yet) but they decided it was still worth putting a floater over to monitor.

so let see because nhc or navy not issue invest for area i been watching area since sunday

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED SEP 24 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A small low pressure area has formed about 1100 miles east of the
Windward Islands. Upper-level winds are only marginally conducive,
and any additional development should be slow to occur as the
system drifts northward during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven

[wyq614]

So, if it does not develop in 2 days, it won't develop at all then

[floridasun78]

moving north i dont think never go td !!!!!!!The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.[td100]

[cycloneye]

Invest 96L is up