could be some anxious moments for Florida in the coming 10 days if the models pan out, but as of now it definitly looks like a pre tropical cyclone
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Wave just east of Lesser Antillles (is Invest 90L)
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Hurricaneman
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Re: Wave just east of Lesser Antillles
Yep the NHC has jumped on board. No surprise with the Euro showing something. Who thought we would get this active in October after that dreadful September.
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Wave just east of Lesser Antillles
Another point is that the Euro brings this down to 970 in the Bahamas which is quite strong for the Euro. Very interesting.
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Re: Wave just east of Lesser Antillles
Interesting how much more attention the NHC puts on the ECMWF once it becomes consistent with developing a system 
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Re:
Hurricaneman wrote:could be some anxious moments for Florida in the coming 10 days if the models pan out, but as of now it definitly looks like a pre tropical cyclone
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
I do not think at this time there is any reason for us in FL to be anxious about this potential system, with the AO and NAO forecasted by the GFS ensembles to stay negative I doubt it will get close to FL.
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gatorcane
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Strong model support but it will be quite difficult for this to make it all the way to the SE US Coast. Still need to watch it though as the ECMWF brings it all the way into the Southern Bahamas SE of Florida as a strong hurricane before slowly recurving in the long-range on that model so the synoptic pattern may change.
Another look at the 240 hour graphic blow - note this is way long-range:
Another look at the 240 hour graphic blow - note this is way long-range:
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Hurricaneman
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Last edited by tolakram on Fri Oct 10, 2014 10:19 am, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: added 90l thread link
Reason: added 90l thread link
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