Non tropical low NE of the Leeward Islands

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SeGaBob

Non tropical low NE of the Leeward Islands

#1 Postby SeGaBob » Sun Nov 30, 2014 2:01 pm

Last chance for something to form this season...

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST SUN NOV 30 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A non-tropical low pressure area could develop a few hundred miles
northeast of the northern Leeward Islands by Thursday or Friday.
This system could gradually acquire subtropical characteristics
while it moves slowly northward to north-northeastward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Last edited by SeGaBob on Mon Dec 08, 2014 11:24 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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gatorcane
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#2 Postby gatorcane » Sun Nov 30, 2014 2:16 pm

The 12Z ECMWF shifted more west and turns this into a strong extra-tropical system that looks to impact the Canada Maritimes in the long-range

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Frank2
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Re: Area expected to form NE of the Leeward Islands (0/20%)

#3 Postby Frank2 » Sun Nov 30, 2014 4:28 pm

GFS shows a hurricane-type system by Day 5 and 6 #lol

http://weather.unisys.com/gfs/gfs.php?i ... ion=us&t=l
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SeGaBob

#4 Postby SeGaBob » Sun Nov 30, 2014 7:14 pm

Down to 10%
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CrazyC83
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#5 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Nov 30, 2014 9:44 pm

I guess Mother Nature knows the I name is cursed and the best way to avoid it is to keep that name unused...
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Re: Area expected to form NE of the Leeward Islands (0/10%)

#6 Postby AJC3 » Sat Dec 06, 2014 9:25 am

Image of the XTC that has formed in that area....

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