2015 ACE - ATL: 59.94 - EPAC: 287.667 - WPAC: 478.335
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139008
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: 2015: ACE - ATL=0.16 - EPAC - CPAC - WPAC= 60.065
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- xtyphooncyclonex
- Category 5
- Posts: 3688
- Age: 22
- Joined: Sat Dec 08, 2012 9:07 am
- Location: Cebu City
- Contact:
WPAC is now at 70.395, and how much more will we get from potential STY Dolphin?
Last year we had to wait until July 24th to reach this.
Meanwhile the ATL is at 1.9325 and the rest are unchanged.
Last year we had to wait until July 24th to reach this.
Meanwhile the ATL is at 1.9325 and the rest are unchanged.
0 likes
REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139008
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: 2015: ACE - ATL=1.1825 - EPAC - CPAC - WPAC=92.24
Almost 2015 will take #1 spot on most ACE units before May 31rst with the basin at 92.24 units as of 21:00 UTC warning on Typhoon Dolphin.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- xtyphooncyclonex
- Category 5
- Posts: 3688
- Age: 22
- Joined: Sat Dec 08, 2012 9:07 am
- Location: Cebu City
- Contact:
Re: 2015: ACE - ATL=1.1825 - EPAC - CPAC - WPAC=92.24
cycloneye wrote:Almost 2015 will take #1 spot on most ACE units before May 31rst with the basin at 92.24 units as of 21:00 UTC warning on Typhoon Dolphin.
2015 over the WPAC will take the #1 spot for sure after the 06z BT by JTWC, maybe increasing the intensity to 120-130 kts for Typhoon Dolphin. In previous typhoon seasons, we had to wait for months just to reach this level. I am also sure that the ACE will exceed 100 units for the basin tomorrow or Monday.
Recent year comparison when we reached 93-94
2009 - Sept 17
2010 - near the end of the season, too inactive
2011 - Aug 8 (active start, but quieted down after)
2012 - Aug something
2013 - Sept 24 (late start, exploded later)
2014 - Aug 6
0 likes
REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
- xtyphooncyclonex
- Category 5
- Posts: 3688
- Age: 22
- Joined: Sat Dec 08, 2012 9:07 am
- Location: Cebu City
- Contact:
Highest on record history since 1971, now at 96.1725 even far ahead of 1997. Could we later surpass the total yearly ACE of that year? This is a truly amazing season. Now watch it go past 100.
0 likes
REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139008
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re:
xtyphooncyclonex wrote:Highest on record history since 1971, now at 96.1725 even far ahead of 1997. Could we later surpass the total yearly ACE of that year? This is a truly amazing season. Now watch it go past 100.
1976.
http://weather.graphics/wpac_ace_thru_May31
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139008
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: 2015: ACE - ATL=1.1825 - EPAC - CPAC - WPAC=100.093
With the 03:00 UTC warning of SuperTyphoon Dolphin at 140kts,the ACE for the 2015 WPAC Typhoon season has reached 100 units.(100.093)
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- xtyphooncyclonex
- Category 5
- Posts: 3688
- Age: 22
- Joined: Sat Dec 08, 2012 9:07 am
- Location: Cebu City
- Contact:
Re: Re:
cycloneye wrote:xtyphooncyclonex wrote:Highest on record history since 1971, now at 96.1725 even far ahead of 1997. Could we later surpass the total yearly ACE of that year? This is a truly amazing season. Now watch it go past 100.
1976.
http://weather.graphics/wpac_ace_thru_May31
1976's YEARLY ACE was much lower than 1997's and the latter exploded in activity during September and October. I already knew 1976 was the highest in terms of ACE thru May. I hope the statement is clarified
0 likes
REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
Re: 2015: ACE - ATL=1.1825 - EPAC - CPAC - WPAC=101.782
Highest ACE on record...
OMG what will this year bring.
It's only May!
OMG what will this year bring.
It's only May!
0 likes
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139008
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: 2015: ACE - ATL=1.1825 - EPAC - CPAC - WPAC=108.46
Dolphin last warning was issued and the ACE for WPAC is up to 108.46.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: 2015: ACE - ATL=1.1825 - EPAC - CPAC - WPAC=109.168
WPAC ACE for 2015 is 109.168
Normal YTD is only 25, about 436% of normal!
Normal YTD is only 25, about 436% of normal!
0 likes
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139008
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: 2015: ACE - ATL=1.1825 - EPAC -4.3275 - CPAC - WPAC=109.168
EPAC begins to rack up the units with Andres and is going to get many more when Blanca forms in a few days
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139008
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: 2015 ACE - ATL: 2.12 - EPAC: 14.3975 CPAC - WPAC: 109.168
EPAC at 14.3975 as of June 1 at 18z data from Andres and Blanca. For sure Blanca will add many ACE units before it goes.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: 2015 ACE - ATL: 2.12 - EPAC: 25.1225 CPAC - WPAC: 109.168
Numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site as of 6/6/2016. All basins are above normal including the Atlantic to date thanks to Ana last month. The Pacific is contributing the majority of the global ACE as a result of big El Nino and the +PDO effects. Some staggering numbers for June. In a little over a week area of best lift will return to the WPAC as the cycle repeats with the passage of the next MJO currently under progress through the IO.
______________________________
N. Hemisphere: 146.093 [Normal: 40]
Western Pacific: 109.1685 [Normal: 29]
North Atlantic: 2.12 [Normal: 0]
Eastern Pacific: 34.805 [Normal:3]
North Indian: 0 [Normal: 6]
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
______________________________
N. Hemisphere: 146.093 [Normal: 40]
Western Pacific: 109.1685 [Normal: 29]
North Atlantic: 2.12 [Normal: 0]
Eastern Pacific: 34.805 [Normal:3]
North Indian: 0 [Normal: 6]
http://policlimate.com/tropical/
0 likes
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.
- galaxy401
- Category 5
- Posts: 2298
- Age: 28
- Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:04 pm
- Location: Casa Grande, Arizona
2015 ACE - ATL: 4.72 - EPAC: 49.16 - CPAC - WPAC: 109.168
N. Hemisphere: 166.863 (YTD: 48)
Western Pacific: 109.168 (YTD: 33)
North Atlantic: 4.72 (YTD: 0)
Eastern Pacific: 49.16 (YTD: 6)
North Indian: 3.815 (YTD: 7)
Still way above average but it will probably start moderating a little since the basins are now currently quiet.
Western Pacific: 109.168 (YTD: 33)
North Atlantic: 4.72 (YTD: 0)
Eastern Pacific: 49.16 (YTD: 6)
North Indian: 3.815 (YTD: 7)
Still way above average but it will probably start moderating a little since the basins are now currently quiet.
0 likes
Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139008
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: 2015 ACE - ATL: 4.72 - EPAC: 49.16 - CPAC - WPAC: 114.203
WPAC at of 7/3/15 at 21:00 UTC is at 114.203 ACE units.Is expected the basin will get plenty of ACE in the next few days with three TC's around and two of them poised to be strong ones. EPAC may begin to get ACE soon as things are turning more favorable.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- xtyphooncyclonex
- Category 5
- Posts: 3688
- Age: 22
- Joined: Sat Dec 08, 2012 9:07 am
- Location: Cebu City
- Contact:
N. Hemisphere: 199.8705 [Normal: 40]
Western Pacific: 143.748 [Normal: 29]
North Atlantic: 3.1475 [Normal: 0]
Eastern Pacific: 49.16 [Normal:3]
North Indian: 3.815 [Normal: 6]
Western Pacific: 143.748 [Normal: 29]
North Atlantic: 3.1475 [Normal: 0]
Eastern Pacific: 49.16 [Normal:3]
North Indian: 3.815 [Normal: 6]
0 likes
REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.
Re: 2015 ACE - ATL: 3.1475 - EPAC: 49.16 - CPAC - WPAC: 143.748
THIS IS CRAZY
Current ACE is more than half of what we expect yearly, 302, and it's still July 9th!
Current ACE for 2015 is the 2nd highest on record only trailing 2004...
Current ACE is more than half of what we expect yearly, 302, and it's still July 9th!
Current ACE for 2015 is the 2nd highest on record only trailing 2004...
0 likes
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Re: 2015 ACE - ATL: 3.1475 - EPAC/CPAC: 51.0775 - WPAC: 175.34
WPAC racing away...
0 likes
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
- xtyphooncyclonex
- Category 5
- Posts: 3688
- Age: 22
- Joined: Sat Dec 08, 2012 9:07 am
- Location: Cebu City
- Contact:
With Nangka finishing at 45.34 units, Halola at 10.2 and Chan-hom at 23.61, the WPAC is already way above average YTD, now at 186.23 units which is 3.15 times higher than the average value at 59. It's expected to gain more units since Halola is predicted to reintensify possibly into a typhoon and reforming a new circulation.
Meanwhile in the other side of the Pacific, the EPAC finished with 77.3125 which is among the highest on record YTD and is nearly thrice the average of 27. Dolores concluded with 14.82 units.
Meanwhile in the other side of the Pacific, the EPAC finished with 77.3125 which is among the highest on record YTD and is nearly thrice the average of 27. Dolores concluded with 14.82 units.
0 likes
REMINDER: My opinions that I, or any other NON Pro-Met in this forum, are unofficial. Please do not take my opinions as an official forecast and warning. I am NOT a meteorologist. Following my forecasts blindly may lead to false alarm, danger and risk if official forecasts from agencies are ignored.