2015 ACE - ATL: 59.94 - EPAC: 287.667 - WPAC: 478.335

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cycloneye
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Re: 2015: ACE - ATL=0.16 - EPAC - CPAC - WPAC= 60.065

#21 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 08, 2015 12:45 pm

Ryan Maue is counting Ana.

http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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#22 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sat May 09, 2015 8:29 pm

WPAC is now at 70.395, and how much more will we get from potential STY Dolphin?

Last year we had to wait until July 24th to reach this.

Meanwhile the ATL is at 1.9325 and the rest are unchanged.
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Re: 2015: ACE - ATL=1.1825 - EPAC - CPAC - WPAC=92.24

#23 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 15, 2015 3:34 pm

Almost 2015 will take #1 spot on most ACE units before May 31rst with the basin at 92.24 units as of 21:00 UTC warning on Typhoon Dolphin.
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Re: 2015: ACE - ATL=1.1825 - EPAC - CPAC - WPAC=92.24

#24 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sat May 16, 2015 12:00 am

cycloneye wrote:Almost 2015 will take #1 spot on most ACE units before May 31rst with the basin at 92.24 units as of 21:00 UTC warning on Typhoon Dolphin.

2015 over the WPAC will take the #1 spot for sure after the 06z BT by JTWC, maybe increasing the intensity to 120-130 kts for Typhoon Dolphin. In previous typhoon seasons, we had to wait for months just to reach this level. I am also sure that the ACE will exceed 100 units for the basin tomorrow or Monday.

Recent year comparison when we reached 93-94
2009 - Sept 17
2010 - near the end of the season, too inactive :lol:
2011 - Aug 8 (active start, but quieted down after)
2012 - Aug something :think:
2013 - Sept 24 (late start, exploded later)
2014 - Aug 6
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#25 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sat May 16, 2015 8:45 am

Highest on record history since 1971, now at 96.1725 even far ahead of 1997. :eek: Could we later surpass the total yearly ACE of that year? This is a truly amazing season. Now watch it go past 100.
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Re:

#26 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 16, 2015 8:48 am

xtyphooncyclonex wrote:Highest on record history since 1971, now at 96.1725 even far ahead of 1997. :eek: Could we later surpass the total yearly ACE of that year? This is a truly amazing season. Now watch it go past 100.


1976.


http://weather.graphics/wpac_ace_thru_May31
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Re: 2015: ACE - ATL=1.1825 - EPAC - CPAC - WPAC=100.093

#27 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 16, 2015 9:11 pm

With the 03:00 UTC warning of SuperTyphoon Dolphin at 140kts,the ACE for the 2015 WPAC Typhoon season has reached 100 units.(100.093)
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Re: Re:

#28 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sat May 16, 2015 9:25 pm

cycloneye wrote:
xtyphooncyclonex wrote:Highest on record history since 1971, now at 96.1725 even far ahead of 1997. :eek: Could we later surpass the total yearly ACE of that year? This is a truly amazing season. Now watch it go past 100.


1976.


http://weather.graphics/wpac_ace_thru_May31

1976's YEARLY ACE was much lower than 1997's and the latter exploded in activity during September and October. I already knew 1976 was the highest in terms of ACE thru May. I hope the statement is clarified :)

Image
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Re: 2015: ACE - ATL=1.1825 - EPAC - CPAC - WPAC=101.782

#29 Postby euro6208 » Sun May 17, 2015 6:46 am

Highest ACE on record...

OMG what will this year bring.

It's only May!
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Re: 2015: ACE - ATL=1.1825 - EPAC - CPAC - WPAC=108.46

#30 Postby cycloneye » Tue May 19, 2015 9:19 am

Dolphin last warning was issued and the ACE for WPAC is up to 108.46.
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Re: 2015: ACE - ATL=1.1825 - EPAC - CPAC - WPAC=109.168

#31 Postby euro6208 » Fri May 22, 2015 8:11 am

WPAC ACE for 2015 is 109.168

Normal YTD is only 25, about 436% of normal!
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Re: 2015: ACE - ATL=1.1825 - EPAC -4.3275 - CPAC - WPAC=109.168

#32 Postby cycloneye » Sat May 30, 2015 8:41 am

EPAC begins to rack up the units with Andres and is going to get many more when Blanca forms in a few days
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Re: 2015 ACE - ATL: 2.12 - EPAC: 14.3975 CPAC - WPAC: 109.168

#33 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 01, 2015 3:10 pm

EPAC at 14.3975 as of June 1 at 18z data from Andres and Blanca. For sure Blanca will add many ACE units before it goes.
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Re: 2015 ACE - ATL: 2.12 - EPAC: 25.1225 CPAC - WPAC: 109.168

#34 Postby Ntxw » Sat Jun 06, 2015 11:42 am

Numbers from Dr. Ryan Maue's site as of 6/6/2016. All basins are above normal including the Atlantic to date thanks to Ana last month. The Pacific is contributing the majority of the global ACE as a result of big El Nino and the +PDO effects. Some staggering numbers for June. In a little over a week area of best lift will return to the WPAC as the cycle repeats with the passage of the next MJO currently under progress through the IO.
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N. Hemisphere: 146.093 [Normal: 40]

Western Pacific: 109.1685 [Normal: 29]

North Atlantic: 2.12 [Normal: 0]

Eastern Pacific: 34.805 [Normal:3]

North Indian: 0 [Normal: 6]



http://policlimate.com/tropical/
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2015 ACE - ATL: 4.72 - EPAC: 49.16 - CPAC - WPAC: 109.168

#35 Postby galaxy401 » Wed Jun 17, 2015 6:19 pm

N. Hemisphere: 166.863 (YTD: 48)

Western Pacific: 109.168 (YTD: 33)

North Atlantic: 4.72 (YTD: 0)

Eastern Pacific: 49.16 (YTD: 6)

North Indian: 3.815 (YTD: 7)

Still way above average but it will probably start moderating a little since the basins are now currently quiet.
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Re: 2015 ACE - ATL: 4.72 - EPAC: 49.16 - CPAC - WPAC: 114.203

#36 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jul 03, 2015 4:40 pm

WPAC at of 7/3/15 at 21:00 UTC is at 114.203 ACE units.Is expected the basin will get plenty of ACE in the next few days with three TC's around and two of them poised to be strong ones. EPAC may begin to get ACE soon as things are turning more favorable.
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#37 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Wed Jul 08, 2015 5:10 pm

N. Hemisphere: 199.8705 [Normal: 40]

Western Pacific: 143.748 [Normal: 29]

North Atlantic: 3.1475 [Normal: 0]

Eastern Pacific: 49.16 [Normal:3]

North Indian: 3.815 [Normal: 6]
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Re: 2015 ACE - ATL: 3.1475 - EPAC: 49.16 - CPAC - WPAC: 143.748

#38 Postby euro6208 » Thu Jul 09, 2015 7:38 am

THIS IS CRAZY

Image

Current ACE is more than half of what we expect yearly, 302, and it's still July 9th!

Current ACE for 2015 is the 2nd highest on record only trailing 2004...
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Re: 2015 ACE - ATL: 3.1475 - EPAC/CPAC: 51.0775 - WPAC: 175.34

#39 Postby euro6208 » Sun Jul 12, 2015 6:39 am

WPAC racing away...

Image
Image
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#40 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sun Jul 19, 2015 12:09 am

With Nangka finishing at 45.34 units, Halola at 10.2 and Chan-hom at 23.61, the WPAC is already way above average YTD, now at 186.23 units which is 3.15 times higher than the average value at 59. It's expected to gain more units since Halola is predicted to reintensify possibly into a typhoon and reforming a new circulation.

Meanwhile in the other side of the Pacific, the EPAC finished with 77.3125 which is among the highest on record YTD and is nearly thrice the average of 27. Dolores concluded with 14.82 units.
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