Disturbed Weather in Gulf of Mexico

[tropicwatch]

A fairly impressive area of disturbed weather has formed in the northeast Gulf of Mexico. Pressures are steady at the moment in the area but might be something to watch if it persists.

[floridasun78]

A fairly impressive area of disturbed weather has formed in the northeast Gulf of Mexico. Pressures are steady at the moment in the area but might be something to watch if it persists.

http://tropicwatch.info/GOES16302015193hRa1FG.jpg

that likely weakening as day go by

[tropicwatch]

From the current tropical weather discussion:
GULF OF MEXICO...

MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING CENTERED OVER TX CONTINUES TO
PRODUCE NW WINDS ALOFT ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE GULF EXCEPT FOR
THE SW BASIN. AT THE SURFACE...A CONVECTION FREE TROUGH IS OVER
THE SW GULF FROM 22N92W TO 18N94W AND IS A DIURNAL EFFECT OF THE
YUCATAN COAST PRODUCING WINDS TO 25 KT. A 1020 MB HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 28N92W SUPPORTS LIGHT TO MODERATE ANTICYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS
THE MAJORITY OF THE GULF BASIN. A SURFACE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM
31N83W TO 25N84W IS INTERACTING WITH A MOIST AIRMASS TO SUPPORT
CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION FROM 25N TO 29N
BETWEEN 82W AND 88W...INCLUDING THE WEST-CENTRAL FL COAST. OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE OVER
THE EASTERN GULF IN THE VICINITY OF THE SURFACE TROUGH.

[Dave C]

huge outflow boundry lifting north rapidly from area, firing new storms over Florida.

[northjaxpro]

Ilit is a good looking mesoscale complex This feature has to sustain itself for a duration of time and pressures have to lower a bit for it to become invest worthy. however it is definitely worth monitoring wow this entity is in the Gulf of Mexicoas it should be of course .these features can spin up into tropical cyclones if the atmospheric conditions are conducive for potential development

[tropicwatch]

Pressures are falling in the eastern GOM as they normally do in the afternoon but they appear to be at the lowest point during the past 24hrs.

[wxman57]

Shear will be on the increase tonight and tomorrow. Development chances are very low.

[tropicwatch]

Shear has increased alright, 20-30kts. Storms are re-firing this morning, still think might be something to keep an eye on the next couple of days.

[northjaxpro]

Shear has increased alright, 20-30kts. Storms are re-firing this morning, still think might be something to keep an eye on the next couple of days.

Very slim prospects panamatropicwatch. Shear will kill it.

[Nimbus]

Buoy 42003 in the eastern gulf dropped from 30.15 to 29.94 over the last day or so.
There is still convection being fanned up.
Unless the Texas high rapidly bridges over mid gulf there is too much shear.

[MGC]

Shear is a big issue over the entire basin.......MGC

[Sanibel]

Weak, unfavorable environment.

[tropicwatch]

Pressures in the GOM our at there lowest point in two days. The wind shear is kicking butt on any shower activity.

http://tropicwatch.info/SEL_50_20150713.2200.goes_13.visir.bckgr.NorthAmerica-CONUS-East_GulfOfMexico-x-x.DAY.avi

[Sanibel]

Lingering front. Weak, but overcast all day - which is something that should be watched.

[Sanibel]

Rain bursts and overcast. Bands off Gulf.

[Hammy]

Not to say this particular situation will have development at all, but how are the models generally in picking up something that would happen to form from one of these stalled Gulf troughs?

[Siker]

Not to say this particular situation will have development at all, but how are the models generally in picking up something that would happen to form from one of these stalled Gulf troughs?

I'm curious about this too, as I haven't been around long enough to witness similar developments. Yesterday's 18z GFS had minor gulf homerew development in the 8-9 day range, which was promptly dropped.

[Sanibel]

Slight twist there in North Florida. 3rd day of overcast/rain here.

[lovingseason2013]

There is a spin just off the coast of St. Pete. and the storms here in Pcola are coming from NNE which is abnormal unless a low is in the gulf.

[cycloneye]

Well folks,I think this thread was made by member panamatropicwatch for an area of convection that was present west of Florida peninsula on July 12 but as there is anything at this point on July 17,is better to let this thread go down the pages and if something new appears that may look good to develop and models show it then make a thread for that.