North Central GOM
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
- tropicwatch
- Category 5
- Posts: 3205
- Age: 60
- Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
- Location: Panama City Florida
- Contact:
There are two area's of vorticity but the shear is probably going to be the inhibiter.
0 likes
Tropicwatch
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
- tropicwatch
- Category 5
- Posts: 3205
- Age: 60
- Joined: Sat Jun 02, 2007 10:01 am
- Location: Panama City Florida
- Contact:
Northern gulf 20-30kts.
0 likes
Tropicwatch
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
Agnes 72', Eloise 75, Elena 85', Kate 85', Charley 86', Florence 88', Beryl 94', Dean 95', Erin 95', Opal 95', Earl 98', Georges 98', Ivan 2004', Arlene 2005', Dennis 2005', Ida 2009' Debby 2012' Irma 2017' Michael 2018'
Re:
MGC wrote:Low SE of mouth of river should be inland soon. Moderate shear over it too. Low chance of development.....MGC
I sure hope it brings some rain to my parched brown yard
0 likes
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: North Central GOM
Anything worth looking at directly South of Houston out in the gulf?
Looking on my phone, so I can't really tell.
Looking on my phone, so I can't really tell.
0 likes
Re: North Central GOM
TexWx wrote:Anything worth looking at directly South of Houston out in the gulf?
Looking on my phone, so I can't really tell.
I personally think something is trying to get going in the center of the Gulf of Mexico.
0 likes
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 1171
- Joined: Sat Jul 19, 2008 4:28 pm
- Location: Nederland, TX
Re: Re:
NCSTORMMAN wrote:panamatropicwatch wrote:There are two area's of vorticity but the shear is probably going to be the inhibiter.
What shear? Not saying you are wrong but these updated maps here shows a different story.
Are those maps 850mb level or upper level?
0 likes
Nice little train setting up tonight pointing from south of Mobile Bay toward the Chandeleur Islands and St. Bernard Parish. We have had a couple of showers move through. It's all coming out the east/ese. Air is different and wind is different than it has been in a while. As an aside, up until Thursday, we had 7 days in 1997 which were 95 or above. This year it's in the 20s. That is statistically different at least for SELA.
0 likes
- northjaxpro
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 8900
- Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
- Location: Jacksonville, FL
Lots of unsettled weather this morning in the Northern GOM region. This morning, a very impressive convective complex has developed just to the south of the Mississippi coast. There is also a second area of convection beginning to increase down across the NW GOM a couple of hundred miles south of the Louisiana coast.
There is no model support for development I can find, but it does show that moisture is rapidly returning into the GOM . We are now seeing subtle changes in the GOM that may signal down the road that may allow tropical cyclone development down there soon, especially as we get into September.
There is no model support for development I can find, but it does show that moisture is rapidly returning into the GOM . We are now seeing subtle changes in the GOM that may signal down the road that may allow tropical cyclone development down there soon, especially as we get into September.
0 likes
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
-
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 6355
- Age: 61
- Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
- Location: Miramar Bch. FL
Re:
Steve wrote:Nice little train setting up tonight pointing from south of Mobile Bay toward the Chandeleur Islands and St. Bernard Parish. We have had a couple of showers move through. It's all coming out the east/ese. Air is different and wind is different than it has been in a while. As an aside, up until Thursday, we had 7 days in 1997 which were 95 or above. This year it's in the 20s. That is statistically different at least for SELA.
Hello Steve! We've also had some pretty good squalls the past 24 hours.. had a great stiff ESE wind yesterday afternoon keeping the temps in the mid 85s, very tropical yesterday and today.. would love to see a couple more squalls today... Lots of new construction happening on my Biloxi beach block this year.. 3 new homes going up, and for the first time in 10 years I will actually have a neighbor in the lot next to mine... not sure why he build basically on the ground in lieu of going up on pilings, guess he must have lots of money for insurance... but this weather sure in the hell beats all the massive heat issues we've had of late... would love to see a TD (and no more) form and deluge us with copious amounts of needed rain...
0 likes
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 2183
- Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 6:04 pm
- Location: Gonzales, LA
Re: North Central GOM
Might be getting the first storm to roll through here in just a little while. It's been weeks without rain. Of more importance is the cloud cover and rain could keep the temps from breaking 90 since June.
0 likes
I've been watching the models closely and I think this system is what will contribute to whatever low pressure forms over the western Atlantic in 3-5 days.
0 likes
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.