PNJ story on Danny

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AJC3
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#21 Postby AJC3 » Thu Aug 20, 2015 12:54 am

*saved for future reference*

"Calaci said NSC meteorologists study data that enables them to say with confidence that Tropical Storm Danny will miss the Panhandle. He said all evidence suggests the storm will approach Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic and curve north up the East Coast in the next seven days.

“The timing of when it turns and where it turns is extremely critical,” Calaci said. “We understand that if it turns 12 hours later than expected it will come a little bit closer, but it’s going to turn.”

The National Hurricane Center forecast states Danny will likely hit landfill (sic) in the Caribbean’s eastern islands on Monday."
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#22 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Thu Aug 20, 2015 1:13 am

I saved a copy of the new article too:
http://imgur.com/9XZexk5

It's reposted to Facebook again:
https://www.facebook.com/pnjnews/posts/ ... 4335315096
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#23 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Thu Aug 20, 2015 1:19 am

Original Article:



NSC: Tropical Storm Danny no threat to Florida
Thomas St. Myer, pnj.com 3:54 p.m. CDT August 19, 2015



FORT WALTON BEACH – Tropical Storm Danny is no threat to Florida. Rocco Calaci says that with absolute certainty.

Calaci is the chief meteorologist for the newly established National Storm Center, and he possesses at his fingertips state-of-the-art, military-grade technology with up to date, site specific, uninterpolated data.

That data shows him Danny will approach Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic and curve north up the East Coast.

“The timing of when it turns and where it turns is extremely critical,” Calaci said. “We understand that if it turns 12 hours later than expected it will come a little bit closer, but it’s going to turn.”

The National Storm Center obtained exclusive rights to the same weather data used by the military. NSC claims to be the only weather company in the world in which its meteorologists are Nexrad certified, experienced in military, operational forecasting, and forecasting in situations where 90-plus percent accuracy is required. NSC promises 95-percent accuracy.

Executive director Dave Carlson says its forensic technology detects precise path, power and location of a storm in real time, and Tropical Danny is barely a blip on the radar.

“We’re not even concerned,” he says, “but if you watch the news, it’s all over the news. ‘Oh, what’s going to happen? This is the same track, Hurricane Opal took or something.’ Yeah, but the winds are different. It’s not the same scenario.

“They get everybody worked up. Why do they do that? The media does it because any time there’s severe weather ratings go up, and if the ratings go up, they charge more for commercials. It’s good for business. It’s unfortunate because people who are watching it don’t know any better.”



New Article:



Consumer advocacy group touts new weather technology
Thomas St. Myer, pnj.com 11:18 p.m. CDT August 19, 2015



FORT WALTON BEACH – A consumer advocacy organization is investing millions in weather technology with the promise to save lives.

The National Storm Damage Center (NSC) possesses state-of-the-art, military-grade technology with up to date, site specific, uninterpolated data.

NSC executive director Dave Carlson said the organization obtained exclusive rights to the same weather data utilized by the military and repurposed the data for civilian applications. Carlson promises 95 percent accuracy, as opposed to the 60 to 70 percent rate of other weather services.

NSC claims to be the only weather company whose meteorologists are Nexrad certified and experienced in military, operational forecasting, and forecasting in situations where 90-plus accuracy is required. Its forensic technology detects precise path, power and location of a storm in real time.

“We can tell you exactly what things are going to happen,” chief meteorologist Rocco Calaci said.

NSC meteorologist Josh Cahall demoed the program Wednesday morning for the media. In one example, he zeroed in on a storm in Little Rock, Ark. Cahall zoomed in to street level and found heavy wind but no hail within the storm.

Carlson said this information will soon be readily available to the public. The weather company will provide its services with a website launch within the next three weeks and a mobile app launch within six months. Carlson said anyone capable of affording a smart phone will be able to afford the NSC products.

Customers will be alerted to weather conditions in their specific locations, and Carlson promises NSC data will be better than the National Weather Service, which focuses on regions as opposed to specific locations.

The NSC data will potentially solve disputes between homeowners and insurance companies, too. NSC is launching an interactive portal for homeowners to be paired up with contractors and public insurance adjusters. The weather company will be able to tell exactly what damaged a house, whether that be wind, hail, hurricane or the sort, and identify if a homeowner is making a fraudulent claim.

(PHOTO)
National Storm Center Executive Director Dave Carlson points to an image on the monitor during a demo Wednesday morning in the weather company’s Fort Walton Beach station. (Photo: Submitted photo)

“I guarantee we’re going to save more lives, we’re going to protect more properties,” Carlson said, ”and the ones that get hit, we’re going to be there to help mobilize. We know which homes got hit, so they can get there and take care of the people who got hit.”

Calaci said NSC meteorologists study data that enables them to say with confidence that Tropical Storm Danny will miss the Panhandle. He said all evidence suggests the storm will approach Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic and curve north up the East Coast in the next seven days.

“The timing of when it turns and where it turns is extremely critical,” Calaci said. “We understand that if it turns 12 hours later than expected it will come a little bit closer, but it’s going to turn.”

The National Hurricane Center forecast states Danny will likely hit landfill in the Caribbean’s eastern islands on Monday.

NSC will offer its programs for free to schools. Carlson said with this technology they would have been able to notify the elementary school in Moore, Okla., three minutes before the tornado struck the school in 2013.

Carlson is a former roof contractor who founded EagleView Technologies, a leading technology provider of aerial imagery, data analytics and GIS solutions, which sold for $715 million. He says a tornado striking down in Arlington motivated him to establish NSC.

Carlson says in the 90 days he lived in Arlington, sirens sounded seven times without a tornado hitting once. Then one day, without any sirens sounding or media warnings, a tornado swept through Arlington only a block away from his rental house and struck a nursing home.

“There were no sirens because everyone uses algorithms, and if that tornado is small enough it doesn’t get picked up,” Carlson says. “I said, ‘This can’t happen. There’s got to be a better way to do this.’ I used to be in the military. I know what we use to run missions and I know the weather (data) that we had was on point.”

Carlson partnered with former EagleView partner Trevor Leeds to form NSC, and their search for the best meteorologist possible brought them to Fort Walton Beach, where Calaci lives.

Calaci served as a meteorologist in the military for 20 years. He then developed weather systems for the government and foreign countries and provided cite specific forecasting for the White House when George W. Bush was president.

When Carlson asked for his suggestion on what weather program to use for the company, Calaci suggested the same used by the military.

“I said, ‘Well, can we get it?’ Carlson said. “And he said, ‘Well, let’s find out.’”

NSC secured the exclusive rights for a costly sum. Carlson declined to state the amount. When asked if the rights cost in the millions, Carlson said, “It was very costly — $50-60 million was used to develop this process for the government.”

The weather company currently employs six meteorologists at its Fort Walton Beach station. Carlson said that number will surpass 75 in the next 90 days. Two other NSC stations are located in Denver and Round Rock, Texas.

NSC is in the process of patenting another project that Carlson said will revolutionize the entire weather industry.

“Once we do this, there’s no going back. It’s gone,” he said. “The way people are using today will be obsolete. It’s going to make everybody more accurate.”
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Re: PNJ story on Danny

#24 Postby fwbbreeze » Thu Aug 20, 2015 9:42 am

I was invited to their open house/ribbon cutting yesterday but was unable to attend due to a scheduling conflict. However my wife did attend and after reading the PNJ article, and speaking with her, I do believe much of what was quoted in the article was part of the presentation. I will wait and reserve judgement after they are up and running at full capacity. However bringing 70 qualified meteorologists to our area of the panhandle is an economic coup and a much needed diversification of our local economy.


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