Tracks of 26 10/11-20 W Carib geneses: Cuba/FL/Bah. hit most

[LarryWx]

With the modeled threat of a W. Caribbean (west of 80W) genesis showing for mid Oct., I thought some history based stats would be interesting to some since so many (26) have formed then since 1851. Cuba has been hit the most followed by FL and the Bahamas, which were hit at about the same frequency:

26 TC's with 10/11-20 (per Zulu) geneses in Caribbean 80W or further west 1851-2014:

CONUS hits/near miss (14):
- 10 FL hits: 1 cat 4 (King of 1950, 2 cat 3's (1926 and 1921), 2 cat 2's (1944 and 1865), 4 cat 1's (Irene of 1999, which also just missed NC; Gladys of 1968, which also just missed NC; 1924; 1870), 1 TS (Judith of 1959)
- 1 center just missed FL (Fabian of 1991)
- 1 hit S TX as a cat 2 (1912)
- 1 hit MD as a TS (1893)
- 1 hit AL as a TD (1922)

Other countries' # hits from these 26 storms:
- Cuba 18
- Bahamas 11
- Caymans 4
- Belize 3
- Honduras 3
- Mexico 2
- Nicaragua 2
- Guatemala 1
- Jamaica 1

**Only 7 of 26 (27%) had a strong westerly component of motion toward MX/Central America.**

Edit: Some FL climo since 1851: H hit dates 17, 18, 18, 19, 20, 20, 20, 20, 22, 23, 24, 25

All from W. Caribbean geneses. 12 H hits in just 9 day elapsed period is quite possibly if not likely the most concentrated 9 day period of season for FL H hits. 10/20, with four H hits, may have the most FL hits of any day of the season.

Fwiw, note that none of these 12 H hits were during a moderate or stronger El Nino though 3 were during a weak Nino.