2016 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out to Day 16)

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Hammy
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Re: 2016 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out to Day 16)

#2021 Postby Hammy » Fri Nov 25, 2016 2:51 am

GFS seems to be showing a possible hybrid storm in the opening days of December, it has a hybrid/warm core appearance on simulated IR.
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Re: 2016 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out to Day 16)

#2022 Postby MetroMike » Fri Nov 25, 2016 6:40 pm

Hammy wrote:GFS seems to be showing a possible hybrid storm in the opening days of December, it has a hybrid/warm core appearance on simulated IR.

Can't happen, hurricane season will be over. :roll:
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Re: 2016 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out to Day 16)

#2023 Postby abajan » Sat Nov 26, 2016 7:41 am

MetroMike wrote:
Hammy wrote:GFS seems to be showing a possible hybrid storm in the opening days of December, it has a hybrid/warm core appearance on simulated IR.

Can't happen, hurricane season will be over. :roll:
Of course, you're joking or being sarcastic, right? Once conditions are right, cyclones can form at any time of the year - even in the South Atlantic, as Brazil discovered not that long ago.
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Re: 2016 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out to Day 16)

#2024 Postby BZSTORM » Sun Nov 27, 2016 10:19 pm

off season tropical and hybrid subtropical storms are not as uncommon as one would think. Because this season ahs had so many unusual systems I did a bit of googling and found this wikipedia page on the subject there has been 17 recorded cyclone systems in Atlantic in DEc since records began. Just to put the freaky on it all 1887 was the year 2 such systems developed and one was a system which dissipated off the Costa Rica coast. Makes for interesting reading, makes you wonder what was so special about 1887 climatic wise.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_o ... hurricanes
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Re: 2016 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out to Day 16)

#2025 Postby Exalt » Sun Nov 27, 2016 10:31 pm

MetroMike wrote:
Hammy wrote:GFS seems to be showing a possible hybrid storm in the opening days of December, it has a hybrid/warm core appearance on simulated IR.

Can't happen, hurricane season will be over. :roll:


You have to be joking right..? The first hurricane of the season was an offseason.
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Re: 2016 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out to Day 16)

#2026 Postby tolakram » Mon Nov 28, 2016 11:15 am

Yes, I think he was joking since Mike has experienced a number of seasons.
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Re: 2016 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out to Day 16)

#2027 Postby MetroMike » Mon Nov 28, 2016 7:38 pm

tolakram wrote:Yes, I think he was joking since Mike has experienced a number of seasons.


Yes I would never let my guard down just because the official season is about over. I've been on this board since 2004 and sometimes I have to poke fun. :P
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Re: 2016 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out to Day 16)

#2028 Postby abajan » Mon Nov 28, 2016 8:16 pm

MetroMike wrote:
tolakram wrote:Yes, I think he was joking since Mike has experienced a number of seasons.


Yes I would never let my guard down just because the official season is about over. I've been on this board since 2004 and sometimes I have to poke fun. :P
Thanks for clearing that up. I wasn't sure.
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Re: 2016 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out to Day 16)

#2029 Postby abajan » Wed Dec 07, 2016 7:11 pm

Any of you heard anything about the models hinting at development in the SW Caribbean? It's mentioned here and I was just wondering.
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Re: 2016 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out to Day 16)

#2030 Postby Macrocane » Fri Dec 09, 2016 11:13 am

GFS develops a trough that is righ now in the eastern Caribbean into a possible tropical cyclone in the EPAC early next week.
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Re: 2016 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out to Day 16)

#2031 Postby hurricanes1234 » Fri Dec 09, 2016 7:34 pm

Macrocane wrote:GFS develops a trough that is righ now in the eastern Caribbean into a possible tropical cyclone in the EPAC early next week.


What?! :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

Sure would be a rare occurrence if it does happen! :ggreen:
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Re: 2016 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out to Day 16)

#2032 Postby Frank2 » Sat Dec 10, 2016 12:30 pm

We're stuck in a weak monsoon trough here in South Florida - raining since sunrise, though not heavily, so perhaps the models are correct as there is enough moisture with each passing trough...
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Re: 2016 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out to Day 16)

#2033 Postby cycloneye » Sat Dec 10, 2016 1:48 pm

Fantasy or reallity?

Image
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Re: 2016 Global Model Runs Discussion (Out to Day 16)

#2034 Postby gatorcane » Sat Dec 10, 2016 2:26 pm

The ECMWF which just ran shows something too albeit weaker

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