2016 ACE: ATL - 134.7 - EPAC - 191.9 - WPAC - 258.2125

[cycloneye]

15z update is up.Atlantic continues to get some more ACE with Nicole hanging on and WPAC will surpass the 200 mark shortly with SARIKA and HAIMA.

[NDG]

This morning:

North Atlantic 131.532

[cycloneye]

This morning:

North Atlantic 131.532

That is from Maue.I was using the Maue numbers but changed to CSU.I guess they will be the same as the adjustments come after the season is over.

[euro6208]

WPAC current YTD is 213.518. Normal YTD is 228 so after Haima is all said and done, we will likely surpassed this.

[1900hurricane]

The third and fourth decimal in a standard ACE sum can only be one of four number combos: 00, 25, 50, or 75.

[NotoSans]

According to the CSU website, the ATL ACE is now at 128.1, which means the 2016 season has surpassed the 2011 one in terms of ACE. (2011 was at 126)

[cycloneye]

Unless a monster forms in EPAC in the next few weeks,it will be very difficult to surpass WPAC as the Cat 5 SuperTyphoon is pumping very fast the ACE.

[abajan]

According to the CSU website, the ATL ACE is now at 128.1, which means the 2016 season has surpassed the 2011 one in terms of ACE. (2011 was at 126)

And I fully expect to see Otto and Paula before the season ends. Who knows, there might even be an out of season cyclone in December. As always, time will tell.

[euro6208]

According to Maue's site, the WPAC has now surpassed the Normal YTD of 230. 2016 ACE now at 233.79.

[cycloneye]

Now with no Tropical Cyclones in the globe,here are the stats for Atlantic and WPAC after the big activity of the past few weeks.EPAC may sneak a development in the next few days Invest 91E but still will not surpsass WPAC. Stats via CSU

[Darvince]

The NIO is also likely to generate a strong TS or Cat 1 out of 99B

[Ntxw]

EPAC is adding points with cat 4 Seymour

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/791333118988869632

[hurricanes1234]

We're just 3 units away from surpassing 2014's EPAC ACE. With Seymour still out there, we should be past 182 very very soon.

[1900hurricane]

Didn't 2014 have an ACE of around 200?

[hurricanes1234]

Didn't 2014 have an ACE of around 200?

According to the Storm2K 2014 ACE thread, it says it was around 182. But now that I think of it, it could just be an error in the thread title.

Storm2k thread: http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=31&t=116210

You're right, there's no way 2014 could've been only 182 units in the EPAC.

[1900hurricane]

Didn't 2014 have an ACE of around 200?

According to the Storm2K 2014 ACE thread, it says it was around 182. But now that I think of it, it could just be an error in the thread title.

Storm2k thread: http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?f=31&t=116210

You're right, there's no way 2014 could've been only 182 units in the EPAC.

I wonder if the count in that thread is for the true EPac east of 140*W (excluding CPac). Most numbers I come across are for the entire Eastern Pacific Basin (EPac + CPac), which could result in different numbers. For the record, Wiki lists 2014's Eastern Pacific Basin ACE (east of Dateline) at about 198, while CSU lists it at 203.2. I'm not sure what the breakdown between EPac and CPac is that year though.

[Alyono]

should see 7 to 10 points from Otto before all is said and done

[wxmann_91]

If you told me at the beginning of the year that the Atlantic would output more than 2/3 of the ACE that the EPAC would output this year, I would've scoffed at you. But there it is. Atlantic has been impressive this year. Three high-end cyclones and three (possibly four) other fairly decent ones as well.

[TheAustinMan]

2016 has been a pretty significant oddball in terms of ACE distribution this year. Generally the rule of thumb is that the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific have an inverse relationship when it comes to their activity, and this idea has held true for the most part. However, this year we've seen both the Atlantic and Eastern Pacific feature above average ACE values, and with nearly equal deviations from the mean: the Atlantic is currently running at 38% above the 1971-2016 average, while the Eastern Pacific is at 35% above the norm. 2016 joins 1971 as the only year in the last 45 years to feature above average ACE in both basins, though 1971 only marginally met this criteria (+1.9% for the ATL, +3.3% for the EPAC).

For reference the average 1971-2016 ACE for the ATL is 94.9, and 134.9 for the EPAC+CPAC.