2016 TCRs

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 117610
Age: 63
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

2016 TCRs

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jan 16, 2016 7:40 pm

Is possible that the TC report of ALEX may be released before the 2016 North Atlantic season begins so that is why I made the topic at this time.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Hurricaneman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6538
Age: 39
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 3:24 pm
Location: central florida

Re: 2016 TCRs

#2 Postby Hurricaneman » Sat Jan 16, 2016 9:20 pm

Its a good idea, wouldnt be surprised if the report is out before hurricane season
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 28078
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: 2016 TCRs

#3 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Jan 21, 2016 9:31 am

I agree it will likely be out before the season starts, probably right after all the 2015 reports are completed.
0 likes   

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16137
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

Re: 2016 TCRs

#4 Postby RL3AO » Wed Jan 27, 2016 12:43 pm

It'll be out before the season.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 117610
Age: 63
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2016 TCRs

#5 Postby cycloneye » Sun Mar 27, 2016 11:56 am

CrazyC83 wrote:I agree it will likely be out before the season starts, probably right after all the 2015 reports are completed.


Is now a matter of time for the report to be released.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 117610
Age: 63
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2016 TCRs

#6 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 13, 2016 4:34 pm

RL3AO,any inside rumors of when the Alex report will be released? :)
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16137
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

Re: 2016 TCRs

#7 Postby RL3AO » Mon Jun 13, 2016 4:44 pm

cycloneye wrote:RL3AO,any inside rumors of when the Alex report will be released? :)


I haven't heard anything. I kinda figured it would have been out by now.
0 likes   

NotoSans
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1027
Age: 19
Joined: Sun Sep 27, 2015 1:15 am
Location: Hong Kong
Contact:

Re: 2016 TCRs

#8 Postby NotoSans » Sat Aug 13, 2016 2:07 am

The first one is out - TD 01E from the EPAC.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP012016_One-E.pdf
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the RSMC and NWS products.

User avatar
1900hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5330
Age: 28
Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 12:04 pm
Location: College Station, TX
Contact:

Re: 2016 TCRs

#9 Postby 1900hurricane » Tue Sep 13, 2016 3:40 pm

After eight months, we have Alex.
1 likes   
Wayward meteorology student on a journey back to the promised land.

Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 28078
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: 2016 TCRs

#10 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Sep 13, 2016 7:10 pm

Nothing really changed regarding Alex. Landfall intensity decreased a tad to 55 kt (although that is a very uncertain estimate to begin with).

I would have argued for an 80 or 85 kt peak intensity due to the ADT and baroclinic forcing at its peak personally, and also wonder if it was ever subtropical (instead would have gone tropical right away).
0 likes   

User avatar
galaxy401
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1588
Age: 24
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:04 pm
Location: Casa Grande, Arizona

Re: 2016 TCRs

#11 Postby galaxy401 » Thu Sep 22, 2016 4:43 pm

They're coming out now. Danielle from the Atlantic and Estelle from the Pacific are out.
0 likes   
I don't get hurricanes here but I do get their remnants.

User avatar
galaxy401
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1588
Age: 24
Joined: Sat Aug 25, 2012 9:04 pm
Location: Casa Grande, Arizona

Re: 2016 TCRs

#12 Postby galaxy401 » Wed Oct 05, 2016 11:25 am

Agatha is out for the EPAC though it has been out for awhile.
0 likes   
I don't get hurricanes here but I do get their remnants.

NotoSans
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1027
Age: 19
Joined: Sun Sep 27, 2015 1:15 am
Location: Hong Kong
Contact:

Re: 2016 TCRs

#13 Postby NotoSans » Wed Oct 19, 2016 1:49 pm

0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the RSMC and NWS products.

NotoSans
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1027
Age: 19
Joined: Sun Sep 27, 2015 1:15 am
Location: Hong Kong
Contact:

Re: 2016 TCRs

#14 Postby NotoSans » Sat Oct 22, 2016 5:24 am

0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the RSMC and NWS products.

Florida1118
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1784
Age: 23
Joined: Sat Jun 19, 2010 12:57 pm
Location: Tampa, Florida

Re: 2016 TCRs

#15 Postby Florida1118 » Mon Nov 28, 2016 12:04 pm

Been a hot minute since any TCR's have come out. Hopefully we can get them soon as things calm down again.
0 likes   

User avatar
Hammy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4181
Age: 36
Joined: Fri May 25, 2012 5:25 pm
Contact:

Re: 2016 TCRs

#16 Postby Hammy » Mon Nov 28, 2016 9:00 pm

Florida1118 wrote:Been a hot minute since any TCR's have come out. Hopefully we can get them soon as things calm down again.


I think I remember there being a dump of weaker storms' reports about midway between Thanksgiving and Christmas last year.
0 likes   
The above post is not official and should not be used as such. It is the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
---
My comics.
http://tba.cfw.me/
http://tbakids.cfw.me/

Florida1118
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1784
Age: 23
Joined: Sat Jun 19, 2010 12:57 pm
Location: Tampa, Florida

Re: 2016 TCRs

#17 Postby Florida1118 » Tue Nov 29, 2016 1:20 pm

Speak of the devil, they released a bunch of TCR's.

Atlantic:
Fiona

Pacific:
Darby
Georgette
Ivette
Kay
1 likes   

hurricanes1234
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2751
Joined: Sat Jul 28, 2012 6:19 pm
Location: Southern Caribbean

Re: 2016 TCRs

#18 Postby hurricanes1234 » Tue Nov 29, 2016 3:25 pm

Darby upped to 105 knots at peak. Was also a major hurricane for 18 hours, as opposed to 6 hours which was what they operationally recognised.
0 likes   
PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.

hurricanes1234
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2751
Joined: Sat Jul 28, 2012 6:19 pm
Location: Southern Caribbean

Re: 2016 TCRs

#19 Postby hurricanes1234 » Tue Dec 06, 2016 3:53 pm

Hurricane Madeline (EPAC) and Tropical Depression Eight (ATL) now out.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/EP142016_Madeline.pdf

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/AL082016_Eight.pdf

Note: For Madeline, an analysis hasn't yet been done for the portion of its existence west of 140°W.
0 likes   
PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 28078
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

Re: 2016 TCRs

#20 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Dec 12, 2016 1:23 pm

I'd expect the last of the NHC reports to come in February or March. A long break may mean they are working on a major one (such as Matthew).
1 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 15 guests