GWO predicts strong hurricane season

[stormlover2013]

don't know how good these people are but here is the link..

http://www.prweb.com/releases/2016/01/prweb13191018.htm

http://www.globalweatheroscillations.com/

[Hurricaneman]

If the area sw of the Baja cools those numbers aren't out of the question but I don't get this climate hurricane pulse stuff

[Ntxw]

GWO appears every year, but they are a private company and at best sketchy. We've had discussions about them and their verification seems fishy as it changes even after the fact. I mean anyone can claim they are right if at the end of their season the numbers match closely to the result but doesn't match what you predicted in the beginning. So it's not so much their predictions it's stuff they put out doesn't stick as they claim.

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=116998&start=20

With the other experts and groups you can go back and cross check their claims. We cannot verify their predictions and results thus we don't include them in the experts forecasts.

In their early season forecast a blog posted this for last season (2015)

GWO predicts the 2015 hurricane season to be a little above average and more dangerous, with 14 named
storms, 8 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes. In addition; GWO is predicting three Hurricane Hot Spots along
the United States coastline that are at high risk for hurricane activity this year, with at least 1 major hurricane
likely.

But their post analysis claims they were the best of the experts claiming 10 Named, 5 hurricanes, and 2 majors all one off of the actual numbers on their site.

[Alyono]

Before we cna evaluate their 10/5/2 forecast, we would need to know if they made any revisions and when the revisions took place

To be fair, their 14/8/3 forecast was really only off in terms of hurricanes. The named storms and cat 3+ hurricanes were not too bad.

We should discount them because they are a private company. Private companies are the present and future of meteorology. They often provide different services than NWS and have a bit more flexibility to be innovative. The government still has its role, especially in data collection, modeling, and public warning (private warnings usually come with a steep cost in order to receive them), and likely always will have its role, along with the academic sector

[Ntxw]

Before we cna evaluate their 10/5/2 forecast, we would need to know if they made any revisions and when the revisions took place

To be fair, their 14/8/3 forecast was really only off in terms of hurricanes. The named storms and cat 3+ hurricanes were not too bad.

We should discount them because they are a private company. Private companies are the present and future of meteorology. They often provide different services than NWS and have a bit more flexibility to be innovative. The government still has its role, especially in data collection, modeling, and public warning (private warnings usually come with a steep cost in order to receive them), and likely always will have its role, along with the academic sector

Their prediction wasn't bad at all. We just have to be able to verify and match based on information put here in the forums. The stuff they do put out is public however so it is fair game for checking as WSi, Wxbell and other private companies as well.

[WPBWeather]

Weatherbell and Joe B. also predict (as of today 3/1) an active ATL with lots of ACE.