9 years without a Cat.5 (2007-2016)

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Hammy
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Re: 9 years without a Cat.5

#21 Postby Hammy » Sat Oct 01, 2016 2:04 am

Steve820 wrote:Excluding the period from 1938 to 1953, 9 years was the longest streak AFAIK. It is really incredible how the Atlantic went this long without a single C5. I was very surprised when Matthew RI'd to this category. Now that Matthew pulled off this stunt, our streak is reset. Unless a miracle occurs, the next streak shouldn't be nearly as long as the 2007-2016 steak of no C5s.


We had Igor in 2010 which was at 155mph based solely on satellite, so it's not entirely out of the question that it was a Cat 5 for some period of time, but we'll never know 100%. Also reading some of the reanalysis papers, it appears that 1955-67 was a longer streak (the four in 1960-61 were lowered in intensity).
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Re: 9 years without a Cat.5

#22 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sun Nov 12, 2017 12:02 am

Irma and Maria.... at least 175 mph. And we may get Jose upgraded as well. That means after a long streak we've had at least 2 Category 5's (and 3 if Jose gets upgraded) in 2017. All 3 storms accrued over 40 ACE each. Irma was a near-average season herself!
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Re: 9 years without a Cat.5

#23 Postby WeatherGuesser » Sun Nov 12, 2017 5:07 am

Steve820 wrote:Unless a miracle occurs, the next streak shouldn't be nearly as long as the 2007-2016 steak of no C5s.


I would hope the stretch beginning in '18 will be MUCH longer.
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Re: 9 years without a Cat.5 (2007-2016)

#24 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Nov 29, 2017 10:59 pm

For all we know, we may not even begin a streak in 2018.
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