original poll

[wzrgirl1]

Where can I find this year's original poll for our storm predictions? I am curious how close I am. I know we have two or so months left but I would like to see it. Thanks!!

[cycloneye]

Where can I find this year's original poll for our storm predictions? I am curious how close I am. I know we have two or so months left but I would like to see it. Thanks!!

Here is the forum where all the polls are archieved.

viewforum.php?f=25

2016 poll

[wzrgirl1]

Thank you kindly!

[chaser1]

Where can I find this year's original poll for our storm predictions? I am curious how close I am. I know we have two or so months left but I would like to see it. Thanks!!

Here is the forum where all the polls are archived.

viewforum.php?f=25

2016 poll

Out of boredom I figured hey, lets take a look at the original S2K Member pole and see how close I was, now that we are truly winding down here to the "final minutes in the 4th quarter". Right now, the season stands at 14/6/3 (14 named storms, 6 hurricanes, 3 which attained Major level intensity). Okay I was slightly impressed with my guess of 16/8/4, I mean two more named storms that both acquired hurricane strength during the next 35 or so days is unlikely but plausible. One of 'em would have to be a major 'cane for my guess to have nailed it though. Then I took a longer look at the entire list of forecasts and was amazed. I"m not sure I can recall SO MANY others who are so close and more likely to have accurately guessed at least 2 of the 3 fields!!

If the season ended right now, the following would have nailed it with accurately guessing 3 for 3!:
Annie Oakley=14/6/3
fci=14/6/3
Downdraft=14/6/3
(plus, 15 others who at this point accurately predicted 2 of 3 fields).

Of course, everything changes "if" we "eek out" simply 1 more named storm that reaches hurricane strength AND becomes a major 'cane, OR 1 more named storm that reaches hurricane strength but NOT reaching major intensity, or finally 1 more named storm that simply does not reach hurricane strength. Furthermore and less likely at this point, perhaps there will be 2 more named storms still to form. Regardless, there appears to be MANY who will have at least accurate predicted 2 of 3 fields correctly in practically any of the remaining possible outcomes. Seems pretty impressive to me. Maybe a S2K member average poll result should be considered as (or more) accurate than most other professional pre-season forecast products