Disturbed weather in the Central Gulf

[CFLHurricane]

Tis the season for Gulf activity, and just on cue it appears a piece of energy has been left behind in the central Gulf. It shows some cyclonic rotation on the MMIC-TPW, so perhaps it bears watching.

[tailgater]

Looks like the remains of the remains of the remains etc. of 92L
watch the 5 day loop of 850mb vorticity.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/a ... 4java.html

[northjaxpro]

This is an interesting little vort feature. Dry air is all around it though, so it will struggle to get going.

[lrak]

Looks like the remains of the remains of the remains etc. of 92L
watch the 5 day loop of 850mb vorticity.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/a ... 4java.html

I can't believe this thing still exist. It's been a fighter that's for sure.

[tropicwatch]

Could be interesting if the gulf moistens up during the next day or two.

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

It is an interesting little feature. Is that banding trying to develop?! lol

[robbielyn]

That explains the rain I got this morning. You can see the clouds stretching all the way to FL.

[tropicwatch]

Convection building nicely today. Question is, can it hold it?

[Dean4Storms]

Tail end of the trough stretching down from remnants of Julia across north Florida out into the Gulf, we've had a few of these years past that went on and developed. Definitely needs convection to increase and the atmosphere to moisten, if it sits there a couple days it might have a chance. I know one thing, models often miss these small vorts going on to develop, see Julia!

[tropicwatch]

There is some 850mb vorticity under the convection but the 700mb and 500mb are off a little to its west and southwest. There are 200mb vorticity's farther to the west, northeast and southeast. I wonder if locations of the 200mb vorticity's could help with an outflow?

[Dean4Storms]

Looks like the shear and dry air is going to be too much for it to overcome!

[BigB0882]

If anything were to come of it, where is it likely to head? Just curious since Louisiana has already had complete devastation from an un-named system.

[La Breeze]

If anything were to come of it, where is it likely to head? Just curious since Louisiana has already had complete devastation from an un-named system.

I was going to ask the same question.

[Steve]

Models mostly not doing jack with it. Maybe it goes west southwest into Mexico? What's better or worse is the CMC hits SELA at the end of the run after stretching an almost North-South oriented front just west of here for a few days. GFS has a similar setup but brings a monster cane up from the Caribbean toward the fantasy land end of its run. Maybe the strongest ridge of the season precedes it, but I think if it's locking onto anything legit, the real threat would still be east of here. JMO and 2-3 weeks

[Hurricaneman]

Models mostly not doing jack with it. Maybe it goes west southwest into Mexico? What's better or worse is the CMC hits SELA at the end of the run after stretching an almost North-South oriented front just west of here for a few days. GFS has a similar setup but brings a monster cane up from the Caribbean toward the fantasy land end of its run. Maybe the strongest ridge of the season precedes it, but I think if it's locking onto anything legit, the real threat would still be east of here. JMO and 2-3 weeks

We're talking about ex92L in this thread, the system you're talking about is pouch 39L

[Steve]

Models mostly not doing jack with it. Maybe it goes west southwest into Mexico? What's better or worse is the CMC hits SELA at the end of the run after stretching an almost North-South oriented front just west of here for a few days. GFS has a similar setup but brings a monster cane up from the Caribbean toward the fantasy land end of its run. Maybe the strongest ridge of the season precedes it, but I think if it's locking onto anything legit, the real threat would still be east of here. JMO and 2-3 weeks

We're talking about ex92L in this thread, the system you're talking about is pouch 39L

Yeah. I kind of figured that since it's the Disturbed Weather in the Central Gulf Thread. Also since I said the models mostly weren't doing jack with it except maybe ease the remnants WSW over to Mexico, I thought that was pretty clear. The further comments were from the end of the global runs of the CMC and GFS as you noted.

[lrak]

whoops have the flu

[lrak]

I think she finally may have her chance. Has been meandering around the general location for 4 days and the wind shear has really dropped. It switched directions fast west winds to about E 10 Mph now. Pressures are still high all over the place but you never know. The long range base loop radar out of Houston has looked that way for 4 days, yet this day much more convection and movement to the West. I was also wondering if the little swirl behind the convection in front of it would get underneath it would that be considered stacking?

Well I guess this isn't of interest, the satellites are looking good

On water vapor it looks like the BOC moisture is feeding old 92L

[NWFL56]

Convection building nicely today. Question is, can it hold it?

Nice little swirl building some convection out of those warm SSTs.

[lrak]

There is still a nice tower plus the long range radar out of Houston looks likes banding is occurring. Y'all must know something I don't because the satellites create a COC right next to the tower. Visible ones. And if it keeps moving W it's got a lot of water before landfall.

as of 6:41pm 9-21-16 i think the battery died