New B.O.C. blow up

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lrak
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New B.O.C. blow up

#1 Postby lrak » Sun Sep 25, 2016 12:13 pm

#2 Postby OntarioEggplant » Thu Sep 22, 2016 6:27 am

06Z GFS has a tropical cyclone moving up from the BOC towards Texas as the big front approaches.

Do any of the models show this?

The front didn't push as far south as I thought. Hopefully a little storm then inland to Mexico.
Last edited by lrak on Tue Sep 27, 2016 12:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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AKA karl

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Re: New B.O.C. blow up

#2 Postby tailgater » Mon Sep 26, 2016 6:47 pm

Pressure slowly dropping at BOC buoy with a south wind now. Vorticity seems to have some northwestward drift to it. Probably nothing but in this area a small system can spin up rather quickly. Lets check it out it the morning.


3. Widespread cloudiness and thunderstorms over the southwestern Gulf
of Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure that is
drifting westward. Upper-level winds are not expected to be
conducive for significant development before this system moves
inland over northeastern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent
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