Paper: Periods of Greater Atlantic Hurricane Activity Linked to Weaker U.S. Landfalls

[tolakram]

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/news/periods- ... -landfalls

 https://twitter.com/NOAANCEIclimate/status/816719096112906240

[AJC3]

I look forward to reading this. My first thought is this: comparing the intensity of Matthew, a major October hurricane at two points with a north-south distance of about 900 miles, seems a little questionable as far as verifying this "effect". But I really should read the paper in full before shooting from the hip like this...

[Alyono]

I want to read this as well. Seems interesting

[Blown Away]

How are they indentifying this buffer?

[terstorm1012]

You should be able to read this paper in full here (but not print it or download it): http://www.nature.com/articles/nature20 ... ytimes.com
I'm going to read it this morning but I do want to say it doesn't quite pass the sniff-test for me...just yet...but I haven't made the time to read it yet.

[Calasanjy]

Without having read the paper, would this potentially indicate that more tropical cyclones/hurricanes are forming in areas deeper into the tropical Atlantic/Caribbean and reaching their maxima before impacting the US (assuming they even reach the US) during more active seasons/decades as opposed to directly off the coastline and/or in the Gulf of Mexico? That would be my guess; however I would be interested in reading this study and doing further research on this matter.

[Patrick99]

Interesting. I mean, hurricanes Charley, Katrina 1.0, Jeanne and Wilma in particular might beg to differ with this in that they all intensified prior to landfall, and were within the period of greater hurricane activity. Same with several other storms that impacted South Florida in the 1920-1950 time frame.

It might be that South Florida isn't necessarily part of the U.S. "buffer zone" as set out in this article.