2017 ACE: NATL - 226.0 | EPAC - 98.2 | WPAC - 154.5 | NIO - 16.1

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1900hurricane
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 11.6875 - EPAC - 73.0675 - WPAC - 73.355 - NIO - 3.945

#121 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Aug 16, 2017 7:06 am

Hammy wrote:
1900hurricane wrote:
RL3AO wrote:

Code: Select all

Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Energy
Name                  System ACE    Max Intensity
------------------  ------------  ---------------
Arlene (01L) [TCR]        0.81                 45
Bret (02L)                0.6875               40
Cindy (03L)               1.55                 50
Four (04L)                0                    25
Don (05L)                 0.6875               40
Emily (06L)               0.405                45
Franklin (07L)            3.685                75
Gert (08L)                3.3725               75

Season Total             11.1975


Does that match up with that you have 1900? Took a fun little bit of programming to check the string for synoptic times. :lol:

Looks good, those are the numbers I have. Image


When was Emily 45kt? Advisory archive has 40.

14Z July 31st.

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tcdat/tc17/ATL/06L.EMILY/trackfile.txt
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 12.3275 - EPAC - 73.0675 - WPAC - 73.355 - NIO - 3.945

#122 Postby euro6208 » Wed Aug 16, 2017 8:14 am

Slow start fast finish something unusual for the WPAC. Nothing usual. :lol:
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 13.9225 - EPAC - 73.0675 - WPAC - 74.8 - NIO - 3.945

#123 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 16, 2017 4:23 pm

Thanks to Gert,ACE in North Atlantic is near normal for August 16th.
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 14.7325 - EPAC - 73.0675 - WPAC - 74.8 - NIO - 3.945

#124 Postby RL3AO » Wed Aug 16, 2017 9:44 pm

Climo starts ramping up quickly though. Average ACE by date.

Code: Select all

16 Aug = 13.57
23 Aug = 19.13
30 Aug = 27.66
06 Sep = 40.97
13 Sep = 54.6
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 14.7325 - EPAC - 73.0675 - WPAC - 74.8 - NIO - 3.945

#125 Postby Thetxhurricanemaster » Thu Aug 17, 2017 5:49 am

RL3AO wrote:Climo starts ramping up quickly though. Average ACE by date.

Code: Select all

16 Aug = 13.57
23 Aug = 19.13
30 Aug = 27.66
06 Sep = 40.97
13 Sep = 54.6

Lol hopefully Ace will be above average this year
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 16.37 - EPAC - 73.0675 - WPAC - 74.8 - NIO - 3.945

#126 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 17, 2017 4:52 pm

Gert is gone but Harvey is up so let's see how much ACE it gets.North Atlantic is now above the average for August 17 that is 15 units.It has as of 21:00 UTC advisory 16.37
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 16.7475 - EPAC - 74.1325 - WPAC - 76.015 - NIO - 3.945

#127 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 19, 2017 7:04 pm

North Atlantic has fallen again behind the average ACE for August 19 and it looks like it will fall much more behind as things look to be quiet for now.
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 16.7475 - EPAC - 79.57 - WPAC - 76.75 - NIO - 3.945

#128 Postby 1900hurricane » Thu Aug 24, 2017 12:10 am

Kenneth helped push the EPac back above the WPac, despite the presence of Hato over there.
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 16.7475 - EPAC - 83.8925 - WPAC - 86.3375 - NIO - 3.945

#129 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 24, 2017 10:45 am

Harvey should help the North Atlantic to be above average on ACE.
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 24.4475 - EPAC - 83.77 - WPAC - 83.095 - NIO - 3.945

#130 Postby RL3AO » Sun Aug 27, 2017 3:05 am

Here's what I have using best track data.

Code: Select all

Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Energy
Name                  System ACE    Max Intensity
------------------  ------------  ---------------
Arlene (01L) [TCR]        0.81                 45
Bret (02L)                0.6875               40
Cindy (03L)               1.55                 50
Four (04L)                0                    25
Don (05L)                 0.6875               40
Emily (06L)               0.405                45
Franklin (07L)            3.685                75
Gert (08L)                7.2675               90
Harvey (09L)              9.0225              115

Season Total             24.115


Avg ACE through 27 August for 1950-2016 is 23.24.
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 25.455 - EPAC - 83.77 - WPAC - 83.095 - NIO - 3.945

#131 Postby euro6208 » Tue Aug 29, 2017 5:56 am

Image

The WPAC with Sanvu has taken the lead.
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 26.455 - EPAC - 83.77 - WPAC - 84.51 - NIO - 3.945

#132 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 30, 2017 9:16 am

Let's see how much ACE Irma gets to run away from the average status to make the basin way above average.
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 26.455 - EPAC - 83.77 - WPAC - 84.51 - NIO - 3.945

#133 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 30, 2017 2:30 pm

RL3AO,do you have the latest data?
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 26.9225 - EPAC - 83.77 - WPAC - 86.7775 - NIO - 3.945

#134 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 30, 2017 9:15 pm

WPAC will get some ACE units from SANVU but will stay below average for 2017 so far.
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 26.9225 - EPAC - 83.77 - WPAC - 86.7775 - NIO - 3.945

#135 Postby RL3AO » Wed Aug 30, 2017 9:17 pm

The Atlantic has 27 units so far this year. The Atlantic averages 27 units during the next 14 days. Goes to show how active the peak of the season is.
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 26.9225 - EPAC - 83.77 - WPAC - 86.7775 - NIO - 3.945

#136 Postby Alyono » Wed Aug 30, 2017 11:27 pm

not that I give a you know what at this point given Harvey, but it is now clear this is not a 2013 repeat
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 26.9225 - EPAC - 83.77 - WPAC - 86.7775 - NIO - 3.945

#137 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 31, 2017 12:55 pm

RL3AO wrote:The Atlantic has 27 units so far this year. The Atlantic averages 27 units during the next 14 days. Goes to show how active the peak of the season is.


Irma will produce all that and more on its own, regardless of whether a system forms from the BoC system or any follow up behind Irma.

Well worth watching how high this goes in the all time list, I'm pretty confident it'll go into the books as a top 10 ACE producer in the Atlantic. The right track could even challenge Ivan's record given Ivan didn't become a cat-2 till 50W.
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 29.475 - EPAC - 84.8025 - WPAC - 89.3725 - - NIO - 3.945

#138 Postby RL3AO » Thu Aug 31, 2017 4:32 pm

If the 5 day NHC forecast verifies, it would add an additional 24 units or so of ACE. That means five days from now, Irma could have more ACE than the rest of the Atlantic season combined.
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 31.475 - EPAC - 86.07 - WPAC - 92.2725 - - NIO - 3.945

#139 Postby RL3AO » Fri Sep 01, 2017 1:14 pm

Accumulated Cyclone Energy for Irma (11L)
Time Intensity Adv. ACE Storm ACE
----------- ----------- ---------- -----------
2017083012 45 0.2025 0.2025
2017083018 50 0.25 0.4525
2017083100 55 0.3025 0.755
2017083106 65 0.4225 1.1775
2017083112 80 0.64 1.8175
2017083118 100 1 2.8175
2017090100 100 1 3.8175
2017090106 100 1 4.8175
2017090112 95 0.9025 5.72


Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Energy
Name System ACE Max Intensity
------------------ ------------ ---------------
Arlene (01L) [TCR] 0.81 45
Bret (02L) 0.6875 40
Cindy (03L) 1.55 50
Four (04L) 0 25
Don (05L) 0.6875 40
Emily (06L) 0.405 45
Franklin (07L) 3.685 75
Gert (08L) 7.2675 90
Harvey (09L) 11.1225 115
Irma (11L) 5.72 100

Season Total 31.935
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 34.5 - EPAC - 85.6 - WPAC - 85.0 - - NIO - 3.5

#140 Postby RL3AO » Sat Sep 02, 2017 8:46 am

Irma will pass Harvey in ACE later today.

Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Energy
Name System ACE Max Intensity
------------------ ------------ ---------------
Arlene (01L) [TCR] 0.81 45
Bret (02L) 0.6875 40
Cindy (03L) 1.55 50
Four (04L) 0 25
Don (05L) 0.6875 40
Emily (06L) 0.405 45
Franklin (07L) 3.685 75
Gert (08L) 7.2675 90
Harvey (09L) 11.1225 115
Irma (11L) 9.525 100

Season Total 35.74
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