2017 ACE: NATL - 226.0 | EPAC - 98.2 | WPAC - 154.5 | NIO - 16.1

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Kingarabian
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 2.925 - EPAC - 30.7825- WPAC - 5.62 - NIO - 3.945

#61 Postby Kingarabian » Sun Jul 16, 2017 6:56 pm

1900hurricane wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:Lots of fuel in the WPac but no spark. Maybe we'll get some CPac-WPac systems going soon to get some ACE there.

The Western Pacific has been unusually hostile this year. Active TUTT, lots of subsidence, and a largely missing monsoon trough. That could change towards the end of July though. I've mentioned it in the blog entry I posted earlier today, but it might be possible to see some activity to close out the month. At the very least, the background state appears to be shifting a little more favorably.


Great blog!
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 3.0475 - EPAC - 35.295 - WPAC - 5.53 - NIO - 3.945

#62 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 17, 2017 5:54 pm

The North Atlantic begins to get some ACE units with TS DON.I say Don gets around 2 units.
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 3.0475 - EPAC - 35.295 - WPAC - 5.53 - NIO - 3.945

#63 Postby Ntxw » Mon Jul 17, 2017 6:52 pm

I'm going to guess 0.5-1 units similar to Bret for Don.
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 3.0475 - EPAC - 35.295 - WPAC - 5.53 - NIO - 3.945

#64 Postby RL3AO » Mon Jul 17, 2017 7:56 pm

Updated through 0z.

East Pacific Accumulated Cyclone Energy
Name System ACE Max Intensity
-------------- ------------ ---------------
Adrian (01E) 0.565 40
Beatriz (02E) 0.6025 40
Calvin (03E) 0.245 35
Dora (04E) 4.665 80
Eugene (05E) 8.1125 100
Fernanda (06E) 21.1175 125
Seven-E (07E) 0 30

Season Total 35.3075


Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Energy
Name System ACE Max Intensity
------------ ------------ ---------------
Arlene (01L) 0.565 45
Bret (02L) 0.6875 40
Cindy (03L) 1.55 50
Four (04L) 0 25
Don (05L) 0.2825 40

Season Total 3.085
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 3.73 - EPAC - 38.2675 - WPAC - 5.53 - NIO - 3.945

#65 Postby RL3AO » Tue Jul 18, 2017 3:42 pm

Atlantic Accumulated Cyclone Energy
Name System ACE Max Intensity
------------ ------------ ---------------
Arlene (01L) 0.565 45
Bret (02L) 0.6875 40
Cindy (03L) 1.55 50
Four (04L) 0 25
Don (05L) 0.6875 40

Season Total 3.49


East Pacific Accumulated Cyclone Energy
Name System ACE Max Intensity
-------------- ------------ ---------------
Adrian (01E) 0.565 40
Beatriz (02E) 0.6025 40
Calvin (03E) 0.245 35
Dora (04E) 4.665 80
Eugene (05E) 8.1125 100
Fernanda (06E) 23.5575 125
Greg (07E) 0.245 35
Eight-E (08E) 0 30

Season Total 37.9925
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 4.14 - EPAC - 44.6625 - WPAC - 5.53 - NIO - 3.945

#66 Postby RL3AO » Thu Jul 20, 2017 3:14 pm

The TCR of Arlene adds a little bit.

Accumulated Cyclone Energy for Arlene
Date Intensity Type 6-hr ACE Total ACE
---------------- ----------- ---------------------- ---------- -----------
2017 APR 16 0600 55 Extratropical Cyclone 0 0
2017 APR 16 1200 55 Extratropical Cyclone 0 0
2017 APR 16 1800 55 Extratropical Cyclone 0 0
2017 APR 17 0000 50 Extratropical Cyclone 0 0
2017 APR 17 0600 45 Extratropical Cyclone 0 0
2017 APR 17 1200 45 Extratropical Cyclone 0 0
2017 APR 17 1800 40 Extratropical Cyclone 0 0
2017 APR 18 0000 40 Extratropical Cyclone 0 0
2017 APR 18 0600 35 Extratropical Cyclone 0 0
2017 APR 18 1200 35 Extratropical Cyclone 0 0
2017 APR 18 1800 30 Extratropical Cyclone 0 0
2017 APR 19 0000 30 Subtropical Depression 0 0
2017 APR 19 0600 30 Subtropical Depression 0 0
2017 APR 19 1200 30 Subtropical Depression 0 0
2017 APR 19 1800 30 Subtropical Depression 0 0
2017 APR 20 0000 30 Tropical Depression 0 0
2017 APR 20 0600 35 Tropical Storm 0.1225 0.1225
2017 APR 20 1200 35 Tropical Storm 0.1225 0.245
2017 APR 20 1800 40 Tropical Storm 0.16 0.405
2017 APR 21 0000 45 Tropical Storm 0.2025 0.6075
2017 APR 21 0600 45 Tropical Storm 0.2025 0.81
2017 APR 21 1200 45 Extratropical Cyclone 0 0.81
2017 APR 21 1800 40 Extratropical Cyclone 0 0.81
2017 APR 22 0000 40 Extratropical Cyclone 0 0.81
2017 APR 22 0600 40 Extratropical Cyclone 0 0.81
2017 APR 22 1200 35 Extratropical Cyclone 0 0.81
2017 APR 22 1800 30 Extratropical Cyclone 0 0.81

Operational ACE: 0.565
TCR ACE: 0.81



No changes for Beatriz.

Accumulated Cyclone Energy for Beatriz
Date Intensity Type 6-hr ACE Total ACE
---------------- ----------- ------------------- ---------- -----------
2017 MAY 31 1200 25 Tropical Depression 0 0
2017 MAY 31 1800 30 Tropical Depression 0 0
2017 JUN 1 0000 30 Tropical Depression 0 0
2017 JUN 1 0600 35 Tropical Storm 0.1225 0.1225
2017 JUN 1 1200 40 Tropical Storm 0.16 0.2825
2017 JUN 1 1800 40 Tropical Storm 0.16 0.4425
2017 JUN 2 0000 40 Tropical Storm 0.16 0.6025
2017 JUN 2 0600 30 Tropical Depression 0 0.6025

Operational ACE: 0.6025
TCR ACE: 0.6025
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 4.14 - EPAC - 43.5175 - WPAC - 5.53 - NIO - 3.945

#67 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jul 20, 2017 7:48 pm

Greg, if it gradually strengthens looks like maybe a 10-15 unit system. 90E's potential track as a big Hurricane in this area tends to yield 15-20 units. 99E is uncertain but could develop so EPAC will be adding most to the global ACE the next week. WPAC has some areas of interest that might tack some also. Atlantic likely won't add much till mid August.
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 4.14 - EPAC - 47.4875 - WPAC - 8.72 - NIO - 3.945

#68 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 23, 2017 10:42 am

EPAC continues to rack up the ACE units while WPAC begins to wake up.Let's see how both basins perform at the end of the current outbreaks.And with the help of these basins,the northern Hemisphere will get a jump as it is below average.As of July 23rd it should be at 110 units to be normal while is right now at 63.8875.
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 4.14 - EPAC - 47.4875 - WPAC - 8.72 - NIO - 3.945

#69 Postby Ntxw » Sun Jul 23, 2017 11:46 am

Yeah EPAC will add, but WPAC will likely make the biggest jump. Pacific is quite active at the moment
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 4.14 - EPAC - 47.4875 - WPAC - 8.72 - NIO - 3.945

#70 Postby WeatherGuesser » Sun Jul 23, 2017 1:17 pm

4.14 + 8.72 + 3.945 = 16.805 x 3 = 50.415

E at 47.4875 remains almost 3 times the combined total of the others.
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 4.14 - EPAC - 48.0525 - WPAC - 9.725 - NIO - 3.945

#71 Postby storminabox » Sun Jul 23, 2017 5:14 pm

Wpac is going to start racking up major ACE points very soon.
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 4.14 - EPAC - 48.0525 - WPAC - 9.725 - NIO - 3.945

#72 Postby MGC » Sun Jul 23, 2017 6:24 pm

Hilary should add quite a bit of ACE to the EPAC numbers the next few days.....MGC
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 4.14 - EPAC - 48.76 - WPAC - 10.8975 - NIO - 3.945

#73 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 23, 2017 10:04 pm

WPAC finnally surpases the 10 ACE mark.Let's see after the present activity is over how much it gets as is way behind the average to this date (July 23) that is 66 units.
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 3.735 - EPAC - 48.76 - WPAC - 10.8975 - NIO - 3.945

#74 Postby RL3AO » Mon Jul 24, 2017 9:38 am

East Pacific Accumulated Cyclone Energy
Name System ACE Max Intensity
------------------- ------------ ---------------
Adrian (01E) 0.565 40
Beatriz (02E) [TCR] 0.6025 40
Calvin (03E) 0.245 35
Dora (04E) 4.665 80
Eugene (05E) 8.1125 100
Fernanda (06E) 28.7475 125
Greg (07E) 4.54 50
TD Eight-E (08E) 0 30
Hillary (09E) 1.755 65
Irwin (10E) 1.06 50

Season Total 50.2925
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 3.735 - EPAC - 50.2925 - WPAC - 13.9475 - NIO - 3.945

#75 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 24, 2017 9:47 am

Updated the title with the new ACE numbers for EPAC and WPAC.
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 3.735 - EPAC - 61.51 - WPAC - 19.8275 - NIO - 3.945

#76 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 26, 2017 8:10 pm

@wxjerdman
Per @philklotzbach, Atlantic ACE below admittedly low season-to-date pace. Climatological ramp-up begins mid-August. #tropics #hurricanes


 https://twitter.com/wxjerdman/status/890197480515743744


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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 3.735 - EPAC - 64.1675 - WPAC - 22.4525 - NIO - 3.945

#77 Postby Ntxw » Thu Jul 27, 2017 12:10 pm

The NHEM is picking up steam. WPAC and EPAC have taken the levels out of the basement and getting closer to normal percentile, that should continue. Atlantic may join in and add some in the coming weeks
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 3.735 - EPAC - 69.43 - WPAC - 31.7075 - NIO - 3.945

#78 Postby euro6208 » Sat Jul 29, 2017 7:27 am

Image
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 3.735 - EPAC - 69.43 - WPAC - 31.7075 - NIO - 3.945

#79 Postby euro6208 » Sat Jul 29, 2017 7:31 am

At this time last year, the WPAC was at 26.935 and had a deficit of 63.3775 to the EPAC's 90.3125. We know how the season ended.
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Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 3.735 - EPAC - 69.43 - WPAC - 31.7075 - NIO - 3.945

#80 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jul 29, 2017 5:50 pm

NORU has at the momernt of this post 17.1875 ACE units.

 https://twitter.com/philklotzbach/status/891427566099329024


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