2017 ACE: NATL - 226.0 | EPAC - 98.2 | WPAC - 154.5 | NIO - 16.1

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138885
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 2.925 - EPAC - 1.0925 - WPAC - 2.1375

#21 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 22, 2017 12:37 pm

The units between Bret and Cindy were not too many as the total for North Atlantic only rises to 2.925.
1 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cainjamin
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 158
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 17, 2017 1:38 pm
Location: Nova Scotia, Canada

Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 2.925 - EPAC - 1.0925 - WPAC - 2.1375

#22 Postby cainjamin » Thu Jun 22, 2017 2:57 pm

Not very often you see the Atlantic leading the Northern hemisphere at the end of June.
0 likes   
Noel '07, Kyle '08, Earl '10, Arthur '14, Dorian '19, Teddy '20

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138885
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 2.925 - EPAC - 1.0925 - WPAC - 2.1375

#23 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 22, 2017 3:03 pm

cainjamin wrote:Not very often you see the Atlantic leading the Northern hemisphere at the end of June.


It wont last long as EPAC may turn a little bit busy if the models are right.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 15948
Age: 25
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:

Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 2.925 - EPAC - 1.0925 - WPAC - 2.1375

#24 Postby Yellow Evan » Thu Jun 22, 2017 3:06 pm

What is the NIO ACE?
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138885
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 2.925 - EPAC - 1.0925 - WPAC - 2.1375

#25 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 22, 2017 3:16 pm

Yellow Evan wrote:What is the NIO ACE?


3.945
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 21470
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 2.925 - EPAC - 1.0925 - WPAC - 2.1375 - NIO - 3.945

#26 Postby Ntxw » Fri Jun 23, 2017 10:11 pm

CSU is a little different than wxbell but not my much. For the Atlantic Cindy was 1.6 units, Bret was 0.7 units. Globe and NHEM to date is still much below normal.

93E (maybe Dora?) has a shot at becoming a hurricane with ideal conditions above it. Lets see if we can get some significant ACE to help the values.
0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.

  Help support Storm2K!
Help Support Storm2K

User avatar
gfsperpendicular
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 383
Age: 19
Joined: Mon Jun 19, 2017 3:04 pm
Location: Northern Virginia

Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 0.565 - EPAC - 1.0925 - WPAC - 2.1375

#27 Postby gfsperpendicular » Sat Jun 24, 2017 10:58 am

HurricaneRyan wrote:How many points did Bret and Cindy bring?


According to this website: http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/Rea ... thatlantic, Bret added 0.7, and Cindy put in 1.6. Both are nearly negligible.
0 likes   
I'm not sleeping, I'm waiting for the 0900 UTC advisory!

#1 CMC stan

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138885
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 2.925 - EPAC - 1.0925 - WPAC - 2.1375 - NIO - 3.945

#28 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jun 25, 2017 8:16 am

EPAC will get plenty of ACE units from DORA to take a good lead from the other basins.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

RL3AO
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 16308
Joined: Thu Jun 14, 2007 10:03 pm
Location: NC

Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 2.925 - EPAC - 1.5 - WPAC - 2.1375 - NIO - 3.945

#29 Postby RL3AO » Sun Jun 25, 2017 8:33 am

What a pathetic start to the WPac season. It's being beat by the Atlantic in late -June.
0 likes   

User avatar
1900hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6044
Age: 32
Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 12:04 pm
Location: Houston, TX
Contact:

Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 2.925 - EPAC - 1.5 - WPAC - 2.1375 - NIO - 3.945

#30 Postby 1900hurricane » Sun Jun 25, 2017 12:40 pm

Yep, it's been pretty lame. It has some company with recent years though.

Image
0 likes   
Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.

Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138885
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 2.925 - EPAC - 1.9 - WPAC - 2.1375 - NIO - 3.945

#31 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jun 25, 2017 8:42 pm

I am using the CSU data (1.9) as Weatherbell was without Dora until the 6/26/17 00z Best Track data of 55 kts so it missed the first ones.I am sure WB will correct it and have the full ACE units soon.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138885
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 2.925 - EPAC - 7.4675 - WPAC - 2.1375 - NIO - 3.945

#32 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jun 28, 2017 12:24 pm

EPAC got some ACE units from Dora (6.375) rising the basin numbers to (7.4675) to take the lead among all the basins so far in 2017 but still is below average for late June.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
1900hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6044
Age: 32
Joined: Fri Feb 06, 2015 12:04 pm
Location: Houston, TX
Contact:

Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 2.925 - EPAC - 7.4675 - WPAC - 2.1375 - NIO - 3.945

#33 Postby 1900hurricane » Wed Jun 28, 2017 12:38 pm

Through June 28th, I have 2.8025, 6.0775, 2.015, and 3.54 for the NATL, EPac, WPac and NIO, respectively. Quite a tepid start to the Northern Hemisphere tropics in general. Only two SSHWS Category 1 storms have been observed so far, Mora and Dora.

Image
0 likes   
Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.

Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138885
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 2.925 - EPAC - 5.7575 - WPAC - 4.3375 - NIO - 3.945

#34 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 05, 2017 9:26 am

After NANMADOL(2.2),WPAC still is below normal for July 5th and EPAC still has a slim lead among all the basins in 2017. Speaking of EPAC,it has a chance to take a more larger lead if the next system (Future 95E) turns strong.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138885
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 2.925 - EPAC - 13.3375 - WPAC - 4.3375 - NIO - 3.945

#35 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 11, 2017 9:24 am

EPAC has taken a good lead over WPAC with Eugene and has the big potential to get plenty of ACE units as INVEST 96E that will be TC Fernanda moves west potentially crossing into the Central Pacific basin.The only question is how strong it may get as it moves west to get great ACE units. WPAC continues to struggle to move up in the ACE and is way below normal as of July 11.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

storminabox
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 260
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2017 10:50 pm

Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 2.925 - EPAC - 13.3375 - WPAC - 4.3375 - NIO - 3.945

#36 Postby storminabox » Tue Jul 11, 2017 11:25 pm

The western Pacific is in no real hurry to start cranking out storms this year. The Eastern Pacific is doing better so far and TD 6 should produce plenty of ACE in its future.
0 likes   

dexterlabio
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3405
Joined: Sat Oct 24, 2009 11:50 pm

Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 2.925 - EPAC - 13.3375 - WPAC - 4.3375 - NIO - 3.945

#37 Postby dexterlabio » Wed Jul 12, 2017 3:52 am

Hopefully Eugene does cross into WPAC for fresh and stolen ACE points. :lol:
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138885
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 2.925 - EPAC - 13.3375 - WPAC - 4.3375 - NIO - 3.945

#38 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 12, 2017 5:17 am

dexterlabio wrote:Hopefully Eugene does cross into WPAC for fresh and stolen ACE points. :lol:


Is Fernanda. :D
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

Ntxw
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 21470
Joined: Wed Oct 21, 2009 6:34 pm
Location: DFW, Texas

Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 2.925 - EPAC - 13.87 - WPAC - 4.3375 - NIO - 3.945

#39 Postby Ntxw » Wed Jul 12, 2017 4:03 pm

All basins (including the Atlantic but is close to near normal however ACE average will be rising) are now below normal. Only the EPAC should add ACE the next week or two with Fernanda (possible major) and possible systems behind it. WPAC and Atlantic both look to remain quiet during this period.

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/884962194982670336


0 likes   
The above post and any post by Ntxw is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including Storm2k. For official information, please refer to NWS products.



  Help support Storm2K!

Help Support Storm2K


User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138885
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: 2017 ACE: N.Atlantic - 2.925 - EPAC - 13.9925 - WPAC - 4.3375 - NIO - 3.945

#40 Postby cycloneye » Wed Jul 12, 2017 4:20 pm

WPAC is way below normal in the ACE so far in 2017. As of July 12 is only at 4.3375 compared with the 51 that is the average as of this date.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Beef Stew, Google Adsense [Bot] and 64 guests