This thread will remained locked for a little while longer so everyone can read this.
I think good points were made about recon, Dvorak, over estimating and under estimating. We are done with it here. WPAC does not have recon and unless someone pays for it there will be no recon. End of story. NATL and to some extend the EPAC has recon. I think, objectively, we have seen Dvorak make mistakes in both directions. Doesn't really matter since the data we get is the data we have to work with, period. This is not a thread for arguing about it, this is a thread to record the currently accepted ACE values.
Personally I could care less if the NATL broke some kind of ACE record, it's a meaningless number backed up by improved observational techniques. For all we know the actual record month was back in the 1800's in name-your-basin. So let's just not go there please. Thanks.
M a r k
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