Dangerous 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predicted - GWO

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smithtim
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Re: Dangerous 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predicted - GWO

#21 Postby smithtim » Thu Sep 28, 2017 9:32 pm

xtyphooncyclonex wrote:
chaser1 wrote:
xtyphooncyclonex wrote:It's not yet even October, but here we are at 13 storms, 8 hurricanes, 5 majors and 2 category 5's (possibly 3) with an ACE approaching 200 for the first time in over the decade. Another noteworthy feature: Harvey broke the US drought of major hurricanes after 11 years, with Irma following the former a few weeks later over South Florida. All predictions have underestimated this season and sadly, it is a dangerous one indeed.


Not "all" predictions :wink: Take a look back at the pre-season Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll (though, if "all" referring to professional organizations than yes i'd agree with that statement)

I don't think anyone expected 200 ACE. I'm focused on the ACE/intensity over the storm count itself


Likewise...
And does anyone know how many years back ( if so where to find ) the data for ACE is available? I'd be interested to see if it fits some sort of sine wave function? Would be interesting as that'd shead some light into the cyclical nature of seasons overall
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Disclaimer: while I am PhD who does research I'm rambling here so this post should be taken only for entertainment...use nhc.noaa.gov for official forecasts!

FLoridian living round here for a while: 2016 Matthew & 1998 Earl lived barrier island landfall. Also lived nearby/inland for: 2017 Irma & 2004 Frances,Jeanne & 1992 Andrew

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NotSparta
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Re: Dangerous 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predicted - GWO

#22 Postby NotSparta » Fri Sep 29, 2017 5:03 am

smithtim wrote:
xtyphooncyclonex wrote:
chaser1 wrote:[/b]

Not "all" predictions :wink: Take a look back at the pre-season Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll (though, if "all" referring to professional organizations than yes i'd agree with that statement)

I don't think anyone expected 200 ACE. I'm focused on the ACE/intensity over the storm count itself


Likewise...
And does anyone know how many years back ( if so where to find ) the data for ACE is available? I'd be interested to see if it fits some sort of sine wave function? Would be interesting as that'd shead some light into the cyclical nature of seasons overall


http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/Rea ... thatlantic
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This post was probably an opinion of mine, and in no way is official. Please refer to http://www.hurricanes.gov for tropical systems, or http://www.weather.gov for general meteorology related stuff.

Also, I am not Sparta :lol:

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Re: Dangerous 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predicted - GWO

#23 Postby smithtim » Sat Sep 30, 2017 8:06 pm

NotSparta wrote:
smithtim wrote:
xtyphooncyclonex wrote:I don't think anyone expected 200 ACE. I'm focused on the ACE/intensity over the storm count itself


Likewise...
And does anyone know how many years back ( if so where to find ) the data for ACE is available? I'd be interested to see if it fits some sort of sine wave function? Would be interesting as that'd shead some light into the cyclical nature of seasons overall


http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/Rea ... thatlantic


Thanks!!!
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Disclaimer: while I am PhD who does research I'm rambling here so this post should be taken only for entertainment...use nhc.noaa.gov for official forecasts!

FLoridian living round here for a while: 2016 Matthew & 1998 Earl lived barrier island landfall. Also lived nearby/inland for: 2017 Irma & 2004 Frances,Jeanne & 1992 Andrew

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Re: Dangerous 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predicted - GWO

#24 Postby SuperMarioBros99thx » Sun Oct 01, 2017 12:27 am

As of 1 October, GWO managed to got it on hurricanes, but we managed to pass MH's. It's pretty likely that it will also nail on landfalls pretty soon (also named storms) and we also got THREE MAJOR IMPACT HURRICANES. Wow GWO....
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I am an Indonesian who likes TC's alot recently. May i join in the discussion? Also i am big FAN of FORCE THIRTEEN! :D

But thanks to it please beware of my judgement if i am crusading these names to retirement (Like Harvey, Haitang, etc.). That could be incredibly offensive and please remove my posts if it's offensive as i said before. Ugh... :double:

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Re: Dangerous 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predicted - GWO

#25 Postby Dean_175 » Sun Oct 01, 2017 5:14 pm

Season shows signs of quieting down though- it has been over 2 weeks now without a new name. But we will probably see another burst of activity later this month.
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All posts by Dean_175 are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

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Re: Dangerous 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predicted - GWO

#26 Postby tolakram » Tue Oct 03, 2017 4:22 pm

Dean_175 wrote:Season shows signs of quieting down though- it has been over 2 weeks now without a new name. But we will probably see another burst of activity later this month.

Except now another one is developing.

Don't trust anyone that can't provide past verification. Anyone can predict a bad season and if you do it enough one year you'll be right.

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
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Re: Dangerous 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predicted - GWO

#27 Postby stormlover2013 » Fri Oct 20, 2017 3:40 pm

Maybe GWO isn't bad after all!!! they have been pretty consistent.
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