xtyphooncyclonex wrote:chaser1 wrote:xtyphooncyclonex wrote:It's not yet even October, but here we are at 13 storms, 8 hurricanes, 5 majors and 2 category 5's (possibly 3) with an ACE approaching 200 for the first time in over the decade. Another noteworthy feature: Harvey broke the US drought of major hurricanes after 11 years, with Irma following the former a few weeks later over South Florida. All predictions have underestimated this season and sadly, it is a dangerous one indeed.
Not "all" predictions Take a look back at the pre-season Atlantic Hurricane Season Poll (though, if "all" referring to professional organizations than yes i'd agree with that statement)
I don't think anyone expected 200 ACE. I'm focused on the ACE/intensity over the storm count itself
And does anyone know how many years back ( if so where to find ) the data for ACE is available? I'd be interested to see if it fits some sort of sine wave function? Would be interesting as that'd shead some light into the cyclical nature of seasons overall