Atlantic tropical wave along 54W

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AtlanticWind
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Atlantic tropical wave along 54W

#1 Postby AtlanticWind » Wed Jun 14, 2017 3:13 pm

The wave near 35 west seems to be getting better organized, wonder if this has a chance to surprise us.
Last edited by AtlanticWind on Thu Jun 15, 2017 7:24 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Tropical wave in central atlantic near 35w

#2 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Wed Jun 14, 2017 4:28 pm

NHC has a yellow X over it now. It also looks like its got some spin to it.
Actually the one I'm looking at is just south of the Cabo Verde Islands about 6N 26w

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/eumet/eatl/ir4-l.jpg
Last edited by ScottNAtlanta on Wed Jun 14, 2017 4:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Tropical wave in central atlantic near 35w

#3 Postby weathaguyry » Wed Jun 14, 2017 4:32 pm

ScottNAtlanta wrote:NHC has a yellow X over it now. It also looks like its got some spin to it


I believe that is for the wave in the other thread, South of the Cabo Verde Islands around 6N 25W :cheesy:
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Re: Tropical wave in central atlantic near 35w

#4 Postby ScottNAtlanta » Wed Jun 14, 2017 4:35 pm

Yeah...just figured that out
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Re: Tropical wave in central atlantic near 35w

#5 Postby AtlanticWind » Thu Jun 15, 2017 3:54 am

Wave riding convection tonight, no model support tho.
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Re: Tropical wave in central atlantic near 35w

#6 Postby Gustywind » Thu Jun 15, 2017 7:04 am

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EDT Thu Jun 15 2017

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 38W/39W from 15N
southward moving westward 10 knots. Scattered moderate to strong
from 10N to 12N between 36W and 39W.
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Re: Tropical wave in central atlantic near 39w

#7 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 15, 2017 9:15 am

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Re: Tropical wave in central atlantic near 39w

#8 Postby RL3AO » Thu Jun 15, 2017 9:41 am

I agree with Levi. The quality of the tropical waves and the impressive amount of moisture in mid-June is very scary if the trend holds on into July and August.
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Re: Tropical wave in central atlantic near 39w

#9 Postby NDG » Thu Jun 15, 2017 11:06 am

If I am not wrong, it looks like 12z GFS has dropped formation with this tropical wave, just a small weak vorticity on this run.
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Re: Tropical wave in central atlantic near 39w

#10 Postby NDG » Thu Jun 15, 2017 11:25 am

Image
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Re: Tropical wave in central atlantic near 39w

#11 Postby weathaguyry » Thu Jun 15, 2017 12:18 pm

There is a lot of spin to it, and the shear isn't too bad, the water is certainly warm enough, so is there any chance an LLC could form?
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Re: Tropical wave in central atlantic near 39w

#12 Postby Gustywind » Thu Jun 15, 2017 1:25 pm

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
212 PM EDT Thu Jun 15 2017


The tropical wave situated along 39W on the 1200 UTC surface map
is re-located farther east along 37W based on a recent ASCAT pass
that indicates the wind shift associated with the wave axis. Now,
the wave extends from 15N37W to 06N37W moving westward at around
10 kt. The wave remains embedded within an area of deep-layer
moisture as depicted on the TPW product. The wave also coincides
with an inverted trough at 700 mb. Satellite imagery shows a
cluster of moderate to isolated strong convection with some
cyclonic turning covering the area from 10N to 12.5N between 35W
and 40W
.
this wave is forecast to cross 55W Saturday night, and
move across the Windward Islands Sunday night.
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Re: Tropical wave in central atlantic near 39w

#13 Postby Socalhurcnegirl227 » Thu Jun 15, 2017 1:35 pm

RL3AO wrote:I agree with Levi. The quality of the tropical waves and the impressive amount of moisture in mid-June is very scary if the trend holds on into July and August.

Yeah this is is something i would think is normally seen in early mid august right before peak season. Silver lining is that it will get everyone in a hurricane zone to prepare earlier rather than waiting till the end of july to suddenly remember its hurricane season.
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Re: Tropical wave in central atlantic near 39w

#14 Postby Gustywind » Fri Jun 16, 2017 1:50 pm

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
145 PM EDT Fri Jun 16 2017

A tropical wave extends from 14N41W to a 1012 mb low pressure near
08N41W to 06N41W. Visible satellite imagery shows a swirl of low
clouds associated with the low center forecast to dissipate in
about 24 hours.
A small cluster of moderate convection is within
about 90 nm NW of the low center. The wave is well defined in the
TPW animation and 700 streamline analysis.
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Re: Tropical wave in central atlantic near 39w

#15 Postby Gustywind » Fri Jun 16, 2017 1:52 pm

Two strong twaves between the 32W and 42W ....with each attached with a distinct low pressure in mid June... is pretty rare for my untrained eyes :roll: :oops: ?!
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Re: Tropical wave in central atlantic near 39w

#16 Postby TheAustinMan » Fri Jun 16, 2017 2:31 pm

Just in case anyone is a bit overwhelmed by all the waves we're following on Storm2K, I've circled the tropical wave being discussed in this thread:
Image
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Re: Tropical wave in central atlantic near 39w

#17 Postby AutoPenalti » Fri Jun 16, 2017 3:06 pm

TheAustinMan wrote:Just in case anyone is a bit overwhelmed by all the waves we're following on Storm2K, I've circled the tropical wave being discussed in this thread:
Image

Wow, compared to other waves, this one is a bit underwhelming. :lol:
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Re: Tropical wave in central atlantic near 39w

#18 Postby Hurricaneman » Fri Jun 16, 2017 6:10 pm

AutoPenalti wrote:
TheAustinMan wrote:Just in case anyone is a bit overwhelmed by all the waves we're following on Storm2K, I've circled the tropical wave being discussed in this thread:
Image

Wow, compared to other waves, this one is a bit underwhelming. :lol:

It does have a low pressure itself with some convection over it, I'm surprised it's not lemoned
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Re: Tropical wave in central atlantic near 39w

#19 Postby floridasun78 » Fri Jun 16, 2017 7:43 pm

Hurricaneman wrote:
AutoPenalti wrote:
TheAustinMan wrote:Just in case anyone is a bit overwhelmed by all the waves we're following on Storm2K, I've circled the tropical wave being discussed in this thread:
Image

Wow, compared to other waves, this one is a bit underwhelming. :lol:

It does have a low pressure itself with some convection over it, I'm surprised it's not lemoned

don't much storm with it as 92l and don't model support that nhc look at
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Re: Tropical wave in central Atlantic along 45w

#20 Postby Gustywind » Sat Jun 17, 2017 8:22 am

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
721 AM EDT Sat Jun 17 2017

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 44W/45W from 15N
southward moving westward 10 knots. A 1011 mb low pressure center
is along the wave near 08N. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
rainshowers are from 09N to 11N between 46W and 50W.
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