Gustywind wrote:Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
538 AM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017
A tropical wave is in the central Atlc associated with a 1010 mb
low centered near 09N43W. Its axis extends from 14N43W to the low
to 04N43W, moving W at 5 kt within the last 24 hours. The wave is
in a region of favorable wind shear S of 11N, is mainly in a very
moist environment with some patches of dry air according to CIRA
LPW, and is under a region of upper level divergence. These
factors support scattered heavy showers and tstms from 0N to 05N
W of 41W, and isolated showers within 210 nm of the low center.
Well, we shall see if the trend of less shear continues. If the wave stays far enough south, may do what its predecessor, Bret did and stay in at least a marginally conducive environment for development.