Disturbance over the SW GOMEX

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lrak
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Disturbance over the SW GOMEX

#1 Postby lrak » Fri Jul 07, 2017 11:40 am

I was looking at all the convection in the W GOM and noticed a LL swirl just NE of Villahermosa? Now at 4:50 CDT pressure has dropped at the BOC buoy. Does this have lots of shear or something?
Last edited by lrak on Fri Jul 07, 2017 5:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Disturbance over the SW GOMEX

#2 Postby tropicwatch » Fri Jul 07, 2017 2:13 pm

The convection in the southwest gom and boc have caught my attention this afternoon.

Image
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Re: Disturbance over the SW GOMEX

#3 Postby Blinhart » Sat Jul 08, 2017 1:01 am

From just looking at that satellite loop, the shear is way too high, and I don't see any circulation at any level.
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Re: Disturbance over the SW GOMEX

#4 Postby lrak » Sat Jul 08, 2017 12:00 pm

https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/g ... lor=yellow

New hot tower visible.
Last edited by lrak on Sat Jul 08, 2017 5:02 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Disturbance over the SW GOMEX

#5 Postby Nimbus » Sat Jul 08, 2017 12:20 pm

Looks mostly inland so it may not be destined for the gulf.
Is there any model support?
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Re: Disturbance over the SW GOMEX

#6 Postby lrak » Sat Jul 08, 2017 1:53 pm

Nimbus wrote:Looks mostly inland so it may not be destined for the gulf.
Is there any model support?



None that I know of? It's really starting to look like a center is trying to form. I only use the satellites and radars for my forecast LOL :oops: and this forum of course!

Also I see a lot of inflow into that large blob. Maybe the low is getting sucked under it?
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Re: Disturbance over the SW GOMEX

#7 Postby lrak » Sat Jul 08, 2017 5:01 pm

as the BOC churns....that new tower has my interest. See if it persists tonight, so much rain with so much high pressure?

Well now it looks like the S BOC is starting back up. Last evening all the convection was waning but this evening we still have some convection.
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Re: Disturbance over the SW GOMEX

#8 Postby Dean4Storms » Sat Jul 08, 2017 6:06 pm

Stu Ostro on Twitter posted a pic about there being a spin at mid level and something to keep an eye on for now that in the tropics surprises are always possible.
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Re: Disturbance over the SW GOMEX

#9 Postby Nimbus » Sat Jul 08, 2017 6:16 pm

The GFS has high pressure north of it in 24 hours which might steer whatever is on the coast inland.
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