Wave WSW of Cabo Verde Islands (Is INVEST 97L)

[Hurricaneman]

Since the GFS and its ensembles show development with this it will have to be watched especially since the GFS is not throwing out a ton of phantom storms and it currently has good spin, let's see if it maintains at splashdown or if other models pick up on it

[Kingarabian]

Euro has some development 240 hours out. It's much weaker and close to Africa. Will be interesting what the EPS shows as it goes at 16day out.

[AutoPenalti]

Euro has some development 240 hours out. It's much weaker and close to Africa. Will be interesting what the EPS shows as it goes at 16day out.

Should this be the thread for what the GFS, UKMET and CMC is developing?

[Hurricaneman]

Euro has some development 240 hours out. It's much weaker and close to Africa. Will be interesting what the EPS shows as it goes at 16day out.

Should this be the thread for what the GFS, UKMET and CMC is developing?

And Euro too so let's make it that

[cycloneye]

NHC dosen't bite at 8 PM.

[AutoPenalti]

NHC dosen't bite at 8 PM.

Most likely at 2am.

[gatorcane]

Saved floater loop:
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12

GFS ensembles are further south with the track than the GFS OP and closer to the ECMWF track.

By the way, I think the wave in question is already over water (see floater loop above) so thread title should be changed?

[AutoPenalti]

Saved floater loop:
http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... display=12

GFS ensembles are further south with the track than the GFS OP and closer to the ECMWF track.

By the way, I think the wave in question is already over water (see floater loop above) so thread title should be changed?

Is the wave embedded in the ITCZ?

[AutoPenalti]

Time to pour our first of many lemons!


ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A tropical wave, located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde
Islands, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some
slow development of this system is possible this weekend as it moves
westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Roberts

[Alyono]

preliminarily, the models are showing major troughing off of the East Coast. Nothing would get close with the pattern being depicted

[AtlanticWind]

Time to pour our first of many lemons!


ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A tropical wave, located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde
Islands, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some
slow development of this system is possible this weekend as it moves
westward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Roberts

Shouldn't we change the name of this thread, system the NHC Is talking about is in the Atlantic.

[abajan]

[ouragans]

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

A few showers and thunderstorms south of the Cabo Verde Islands
are associated with a tropical wave moving westward at 10 to 15
mph. Development of this system, if any, will be slow to occur.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Avila

[RL3AO]

preliminarily, the models are showing major troughing off of the East Coast. Nothing would get close with the pattern being depicted

You won't see me complaining about temps in the 80s.

[abajan]

Just to put an image to the 8 AM update:


(Not that it's markedly different from the 2 AM one )

[wxman57]

The GFS isn't developing this wave, it is developing the wave that moves offshore on Sunday.

[SFLcane]

preliminarily, the models are showing major troughing off of the East Coast. Nothing would get close with the pattern being depicted

Yep.. been that way for yrs lol.

[Blown Away]

preliminarily, the models are showing major troughing off of the East Coast. Nothing would get close with the pattern being depicted

How much time needs to pass before a pattern becomes the normal, the EC troughing has been a near permanent feature for 10+ years... When it comes to the EC landfall drought, I'm puzzled why this troughing isn't discussed more?

[SFLcane]

preliminarily, the models are showing major troughing off of the East Coast. Nothing would get close with the pattern being depicted

How much time needs to pass before a pattern becomes the normal, the EC troughing has been a near permanent feature for 10+ years... When it comes to the EC landfall drought, I'm puzzled why this troughing isn't discussed more?

In my book that's what makes 2004,2005 unique in every imaginable way.

[AutoPenalti]

The GFS isn't developing this wave, it is developing the wave that moves offshore on Sunday.

Where have I seen this before...